1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. UAB @ JXST
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State
#102UABUAB
@
#198JXSTJax State
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UABThis seasonJXST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UAB 77–72 · win probability UAB 69%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UAB has more of the edges

UAB 5, JXST 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
JXSTBig
Three-pointers
UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%; JXST hits 35.7% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 30.5% and 38.1% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: UAB plays 71.2 a game (61st fastest), JXST 66.3 (302nd). Faster games mean more points
UABSmall
JXST offense vs UAB defense
Offense 245th of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings
UABSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UAB 12.6%, JXST 17.0%. Forced: UAB 16.1%, JXST 16.2%
UABSmall
UAB offense vs JXST defense
Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 172nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UAB has played the 129th-hardest schedule, JXST the 196th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UABSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UAB 36.4, JXST 43.1. Allowed: UAB 28.6, JXST 38.7
UABSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UAB 32.5%, JXST 29.8%. Defensive: UAB 72.3%, JXST 72.0%
JXSTSmall
Home court
JXST at home. This season: JXST 0-0 at home, UAB 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0; JXST 49.7 and allows 49.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UAB 10%, JXST 0%. Transfers in: UAB 6, JXST 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UAB -5.6—
Total—149.1—
Projected score—UAB 77.4 · JXST 71.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUAB -3.5—
1H total69.7—
1H projected scoreUAB 36.6 · JXST 33.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UAB has the better starters

Position by position: UAB 3, Jax State 0, even 2
UABBetterJax State
G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 56
UABSmall
G J. Stiemke TR9.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 61
Even
G C. Lockett TR9.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 49
G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast Score 91
UABBig
F N. Cunningham TR5.1 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 38
G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast Score 74
UABBig
F M. Hill TR2.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 7
G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 56
No call
F B. Walker TR4.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
UABBetterJax State
UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4
UABSmall
JXST defense172nd of 366 · -3.9
UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1
UABSmall
JXST offense245th of 366 · -7.4
Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players
UABBig
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-0.9 · 3 players
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
JXSTSmall
Bench+0.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUAB betterJXST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UAB
Guards
J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min
Forwards
A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew
Centers
M. MboleNewK. DavisNew
Jax State
Guards
J. Stiemke28 min · TRC. Lockett25 min · TRL. Horner9 min · TRG. GondrezickNewJ. VickNewN. HernandezNew
Forwards
N. Cunningham13 min · TRM. Hill10 min · TRB. Walker9 min · TRE. Croley5 min · TRK. Polk1 min · TRA. CurryNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UABJXST
Scoring
78.2 #92Points per game69.9 #287
1.10 #141Points per possession1.05 #241
71.2 #61Pace (possessions)66.3 #302
Shooting
48.4 #305Effective FG%49.7 #253
27.8 #3643-point %35.7 #76
30.5 #3503-point attempt rate38.1 #209
36.4 #141Free throw rate43.1 #21
Possessions
12.6 #2Turnover rate17.0 #204
32.5 #104Offensive rebound rate29.8 #208
14.2 #135Assists per game11.6 #310
Defense
74.3 #168Points allowed70.6 #66
1.04 #79Points allowed per possession1.06 #120
50.0 #98Opponent effective FG%49.6 #85
32.6 #95Opponent 3-point %33.3 #141
16.1 #217Turnovers forced16.2 #208
72.3 #53Defensive rebound rate72.0 #67
7.5 #74Steals per game5.8 #252
3.5 #139Blocks per game3.0 #233
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UAB

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte78–83
  • Wvs East Carolina90–83
  • W@ Charlotte80–74
  • Lvs North Texas58–62
  • W@ Memphis78–67

A week or more of rest.

Jax State

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs New Mexico St63–68
  • W@ UTEP64–61
  • L@ New Mexico St75–77
  • Lvs Liberty78–81
  • Wvs Delaware80–70

A week or more of rest.