1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. URI vs UAB
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Rhode Island Rams vs UAB Blazers

Colonial Hall · Neutral site
#105URIRhode Island
vs
#102UABUAB
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
URIThis seasonUAB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UAB 74–74 · win probability UAB 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UAB has more of the edges

URI 1, UAB 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UABBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: URI 31.0%, UAB 32.5%. Defensive: URI 68.2%, UAB 72.3%
UABBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: URI 38.4, UAB 36.4. Allowed: URI 42.6, UAB 28.6
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: URI plays 66.5 a game (293rd fastest), UAB 71.2 (61st). Faster games mean more points
URISmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: URI 46%, UAB 10%. Transfers in: URI 3, UAB 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
UABSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: URI 19.1%, UAB 12.6%. Forced: URI 21.2%, UAB 16.1%
UABSmall
Three-pointers
URI hits 31.1% and allows 34.7%; UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 43.5% and 30.5% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: URI 50.1 and allows 50.4; UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0
Even
URI offense vs UAB defense
Offense 123rd of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
URI has played the 117th-hardest schedule, UAB the 129th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
UAB offense vs URI defense
Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 86th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—URI -0.1—
Total—148.2—
Projected score—URI 74.2 · UAB 74.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadURI -0.2—
1H total69.3—
1H projected scoreURI 34.8 · UAB 34.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rhode Island has the better starters

Position by position: Rhode Island 1, UAB 0, even 4
Rhode IslandBetterUAB
G D. Williamson TR14.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast Score 63
Even
G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 56
G J. Hinton12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51
Even
G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 61
G J. Fontenet TR6.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast Score 91
G J. Tripp12 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 90
URISmall
G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast Score 74
F M. Deniusas TR12.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 70
Even
G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 56
Rhode IslandBetterUAB
URI offense123rd of 366 · -3.2
Even
UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1
URI defense86th of 366 · -0.0
Even
UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
UABBig
Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestURI betterUAB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Rhode Island
Guards
D. Williamson37 min · TRJ. Hinton32 minJ. Fontenet28 min · TRJ. Tripp25 minJ. Harper12 minB. Loer4 min
Forwards
M. Deniusas27 min · TRM. Sow20 minJ. PerryNewN. RaupelisNewT. MartinNewD. MabilonNew
UAB
Guards
J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min
Forwards
A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew
Centers
M. MboleNewK. DavisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
URIUAB
Scoring
69.9 #288Points per game78.2 #92
1.05 #255Points per possession1.10 #141
66.5 #293Pace (possessions)71.2 #61
Shooting
50.1 #231Effective FG%48.4 #305
31.1 #3183-point %27.8 #364
43.5 #1033-point attempt rate30.5 #350
38.4 #92Free throw rate36.4 #141
Possessions
19.1 #326Turnover rate12.6 #2
31.0 #163Offensive rebound rate32.5 #104
11.3 #321Assists per game14.2 #135
Defense
68.2 #33Points allowed74.3 #168
1.03 #53Points allowed per possession1.04 #79
50.4 #124Opponent effective FG%50.0 #98
34.7 #232Opponent 3-point %32.6 #95
21.2 #10Turnovers forced16.1 #217
68.2 #248Defensive rebound rate72.3 #53
8.4 #20Steals per game7.5 #74
3.7 #117Blocks per game3.5 #139
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Rhode Island

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duquesne61–67
  • L@ Fordham49–61
  • Wvs Duquesne64–52
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's55–61
  • L@ St Bonaventure76–94

A week or more of rest.

UAB

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte78–83
  • Wvs East Carolina90–83
  • W@ Charlotte80–74
  • Lvs North Texas58–62
  • W@ Memphis78–67

A week or more of rest.