Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence
Closing line
PROV -7.5✓ PROV covered by 11.5
PROV -7.5✓ PROV covered by 11.5Closing total159.5Over by 1.5
 URI | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 5-4 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: URI 78–85 PROV · ✓ PROV (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| URI | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| PROV | 41 | 49 | 90 |
1st half: URI 37, PROV 41 (PROV by 4). The model had PROV by 4.3 and a total of 75.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| URI | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 31-54 57% |
| 14-29 48% | 3-pointers | 14-29 48% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| URI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Hinton G | 36 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 8-17 | 7-14 |
| Keeyan Itejere F | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Myles Corey G | 29 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Cochran G | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Alex Crawford F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jahmere Tripp G | 26 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| RJ Johnson G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drissa Traore F | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Damone King G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Harper G | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Moek Icke, Jaymien Aponte, Barrett Loer, Jimmy Ball, Javon Perry, Mouhamed Sow
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 33 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Stefan Vaaks G | 33 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 6-11 | 5-10 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 30 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Ryan Mela G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jason Edwards G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Jamier Jones G | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 7-7 | 1-1 |
| Duncan Powell F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Nilavan Daniels, Daquan Davis, Jack Williams
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -7.5
no move
ClosePROV -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
URI +270 · PROV -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -7.5 · unchangedmodel PROV -7.5 matches the line
model PROV -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PROV -7.5 | PROV -7.4 | URI +0.1 | L PROV covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 162.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | URI 77.5 · PROV 84.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -4.3 | PROV -4.0 |
| 1H total | 75.9 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | URI 35.8 · PROV 40.1 | URI 37 · PROV 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| URIlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
| PROVlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
URI 1–3 PROVPROV leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · URI 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | PROV 63 @ URI 69 | URI +2.5 | URI W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | URI 69 @ PROV 84 | PROV -13.5 | PROV W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | PROV 88 @ URI 74 | URI +4.5 | PROV W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | URI 52 @ PROV 66 | PROV -4.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rhode Island
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STET | W 93-62 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs TLSA | L 65-82 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs STO | W 80-57 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | vs UALB | W 80-61 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 18 | @ YALE | W 86-77 | +8.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOW | L 55-62 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVM | W 80-65 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEM | W 90-75 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs BRWN | W 66-56 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-62
+12.5
7
vsTLSA
TLSAL 65-82
−20.5
11
vsSTO
STOW 80-57
+6.5
14
vsUALB
UALBW 80-61
+3.5
18
@YALE
YALEW 86-77
+17.5
24
vsTOW
TOWL 55-62
−9.5
25
vsUVM
UVMW 80-65
+10.5
26
vsTEM
TEMW 90-75
+11.5
2
vsBRWN
BRWNW 66-56
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-62
+2.5
7
vsTLSA
TLSAL 65-82
−6.5
11
vsSTO
STOW 80-57
−14.5
14
vsUALB
UALBW 80-61
−9.5
18
@YALE
YALEW 86-77
+9.5
24
vsTOW
TOWL 55-62
−23.5
25
vsUVM
UVMW 80-65
+0.5
26
vsTEM
TEMW 90-75
+15.5
2
vsBRWN
BRWNW 66-56
−16.5
over 4under 5avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +10.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
over 6under 3avg +10.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rhode Island
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown66–56
- Wvs Temple90–75
- Wvs Vermont80–65
- Lvs Towson55–62
- W@ Yale86–77
4 days since their last game.
Providence
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FDU94–64
- Lvs Florida78–90
- Lvs Wisconsin83–104
- Wvs Penn State77–65
- Wvs New Hampshire98–66
4 days since their last game.