Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence
Closing line
PROV -19.5✓ PROV covered by 5.5
PROV -19.5✓ PROV covered by 5.5Closing total172.5Over by 14.5
 PENN | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 72–91 PROV · ✓ PROV (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 36 | 45 | 81 |
| PROV | 48 | 58 | 106 |
1st half: PENN 36, PROV 48 (PROV by 12). The model had PROV by 11.0 and a total of 76.2 (actual 84).
Team stats
| PENN | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-70 36% | Field goals | 36-67 54% |
| 12-28 43% | 3-pointers | 13-30 43% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 21-23 91% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 49 14 off |
| 18 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 34 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4-16 | 3-7 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 32 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 10-17 | 5-8 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 26 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| AJ Levine G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Thrower G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jay Jones G | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Payton Kamin G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Alex Massung G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Altman, William Kruse, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mela G | 28 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 8-10 | 2-4 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 26 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Jason Edwards G | 26 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 19 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stefan Vaaks G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Jamier Jones G | 23 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Harrell G | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Williams G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nilavan Daniels, Duncan Powell, Rich Barron, Daquan Davis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -16.5
3 → PROV
ClosePROV -19.5
3 pts toward PROV
Total
Open170.5
▲ 2
Close172.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +1500 · PROV -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -16.5 · closed PROV -19.5 · moved 3 toward PROVmodel PROV -18.5
model PROV -18.5
Opened 170.5 · closed 172.5 · moved 2 upmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PROV -19.5 | PROV -18.4 | PENN +1.1 | L PROV covered |
| Total | 172.5 | 162.7 | Under 9.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | PENN 72.2 · PROV 90.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -11.0 | PROV -12.0 |
| 1H total | 76.2 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | PENN 32.6 · PROV 43.6 | PENN 36 · PROV 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENNlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| PROVlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
over 1under 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −11 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +33 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vs
VT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −11 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
over 2under 0avg +33 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ American78–84
2 days since their last game.
Providence
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia Tech101–107
- Wvs Holy Cross89–79
3 days since their last game.