Lavietes Pavilion · at Harvard
Closing line
HARV -5.5✓ NE covered by 22.5
HARV -5.5✓ NE covered by 22.5Closing total144.5Under by 7.5
 NE | This season | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 72–76 HARV · ✗ HARV (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 34 | 43 | 77 |
| HARV | 27 | 33 | 60 |
1st half: NE 34, HARV 27 (NE by 7). The model had HARV by 2.4 and a total of 69.3 (actual 61).
Team stats
| NE | HARV | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 17-46 37% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 14-23 61% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Alarie F | 35 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 9-13 | 1-2 |
| Youri Fritz F | 30 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| LA Pratt G | 17 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| William Kermoury G | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Miles Newton G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JB Frankel G | 30 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4-11 | 4-7 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 25 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Mike Loughnane G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Williams G | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Petar Pinter C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ty Francis F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Haris Elezovic
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Pigge G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 27 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Robert Hinton G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Tey Barbour G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Austin Hunt G | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Eisendrath G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 17 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski F | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kenan Parrish F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Quartey G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dutch Dowdell G | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Alex Touomou, Payton Pitts, Greg Cooper, Avner Dror
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHARV -5.5
ModelHARV -4.3
Model edgeNE +1.3
W NE covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
L Under
Projected score
NE 71.8 · HARV 76.1
NE 77 · HARV 60
Win probability
HARV 64%
1st half
Spread
HARV -2.4
NE -7.0
Total
69.3
61 points
Projected score
NE 33.4 · HARV 35.8
NE 34 · HARV 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHARV -4.5
1 → HARV
CloseHARV -5.5
1 pt toward HARV
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NE +195 · HARV -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HARV -4.5 · closed HARV -5.5 · moved 1 toward HARVmodel HARV -4.5
model HARV -4.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NElast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| HARVlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 1–3 HARVHARV leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · NE 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024-25 | HARV 56 @ NE 78 | NE -2.5 | NE W |
| Nov 14, 2023-24 | NE 56 @ HARV 80 | HARV -4.5 | HARV W |
| Nov 16, 2022-23 | HARV 70 @ NE 69 | NE +1.5 | NE W |
| Nov 27, 2021-22 | NE 57 @ HARV 77 | HARV -2 | HARV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@
COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
over 1under 1avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Harvard
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
over 1under 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Colgate68–65
- Lvs Boston U75–76
4 days since their last game.
Harvard
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Hampshire86–75
2 days since their last game.