UAB Blazers vs Southern Illinois Salukis: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 24, 1:30 PM ETJohn Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site

#102UABUAB81▲ winner

Final

Closing lineUAB -2.5✓ UAB covered by 5.5

Closing total161.5Under by 7.5

Season records: UAB and S Illinois
UAB	This season	SIU
3-2	Record	2-2
3-2	ATS	3-1
3-2	O/U	3-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: UAB 84–81 SIU · ✓ UAB (60%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
UAB	36	45	81
SIU	35	38	73

1st half: UAB 36, SIU 35 (UAB by 1). The model had UAB by 2.0 and a total of 77.4 (actual 71).

Team stats

UAB		SIU
30-67 45%	Field goals	29-67 43%
7-21 33%	3-pointers	4-23 17%
14-20 70%	Free throws	11-13 85%
45 16 off	Rebounds	36 10 off
13	Assists	12
6	Steals	7
4	Blocks	3
9	Turnovers	8
10	Fouls	17
40	Points in paint	38
16	Fast-break points	12

Players

UAB	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Chance Westry G	34	6	6	5	1-9	0-0
Jacob Meyer G	32	20	8	1	7-16	4-8
Ahmad Robinson G	32	11	4	4	5-13	1-5
Evan Chatman F	29	11	8	0	3-7	2-4
Daniel Rivera F	22	6	3	1	3-5	0-0
Bench
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin F	29	25	10	0	10-11	0-0
Dayjaun Anderson G	9	2	0	0	1-2	0-1
Salim London G	9	0	1	2	0-3	0-2
Quaran McPherson G	4	0	2	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Joao Das Chagas, Lance Carr, Ari Gooch, Jorden Pittman, Justin Holloway, Joey Kahn

SIU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Drew Steffe G	31	6	2	2	2-9	2-9
Quel'Ron House G	28	18	1	1	5-10	1-5
Prince Aligbe F	24	13	7	2	6-12	0-2
Rolyns Aligbe F	23	4	7	0	2-5	0-0
Damien Mayo Jr. G	18	5	2	2	2-3	1-1
Bench
Isaiah Stafford G	22	8	0	0	3-8	0-4
Davion Sykes G	21	10	4	1	5-9	0-0
Jalen Haynes G	21	6	4	4	3-8	0-2
Jorge Moreno F	9	2	5	0	1-2	0-0
Jaheem Webber C	3	1	2	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Max Pikaar, Caden Hawkins, Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	UAB -2.5	UAB -3.0	UAB +0.5	W UAB covered
Total	161.5	165.2	Over 3.7	L Under
Projected score	—	UAB 84.1 · SIU 81.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UAB -2.0	UAB -1.0
1H total	77.4	71
1H projected score	UAB 39.7 · SIU 37.7	UAB 36 · SIU 35

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
UAB WLLWW	3-2	60%	—	2-1
SIU WWLW	3-1	75%	1-0	1-1

Venue/role: UAB neutral site, as favorite; SIU neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB OOUUO	3-2	60%	3-2
SIU OOOU	3-1	75%	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UABlast 5	3-2 60%	3-2 60%	3-2 60%
SIUlast 4	2-2 50%	3-1 75%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UAB

5 games played

Straight up

3-2

60% wins

Against the spread

3-2

60% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-260%

W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-260%

W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-260%

O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMVSU	W 106-55	-34.5	W +16.5	145.5	O 161
Nov 7	@NCSU	L 70-94	+19.5	L −4.5	162.5	O 164
Nov 11	vsALST	L 74-77	-19.5	L −22.5	164.5	U 151
Nov 14	vsHPU	W 91-74	+1.5	W +18.5	168.5	U 165
Nov 21	vsUSA	W 80-72	-7.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 152

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MVSU

W 106-55

+16.5

NCSU

L 70-94

−4.5

ALST

L 74-77

−22.5

HPU

W 91-74

+18.5

USA

W 80-72

+0.5

covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MVSU

W 106-55

+15.5

NCSU

L 70-94

+1.5

ALST

L 74-77

−13.5

HPU

W 91-74

−3.5

USA

W 80-72

+2.5

over 3under 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

S Illinois

4 games played

Straight up

2-2

50% wins

Against the spread

3-1

75% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +15 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-250%

W L L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-175%

W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-175%

O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsKC	W 101-78	-12.5	W +10.5	141.5	O 179
Nov 12	@NEV	L 81-86	+11.5	W +6.5	152.5	O 167
Nov 17	@NDSU	L 85-92	+1.5	L −5.5	153.5	O 177
Nov 23	vsDEL	W 79-59	-8.5	W +11.5	153.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

W 101-78

+10.5

NEV

L 81-86

+6.5

NDSU

L 85-92

−5.5

DEL

W 79-59

+11.5

covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

W 101-78

+37.5

NEV

L 81-86

+14.5

NDSU

L 85-92

+23.5

DEL

W 79-59

−15.5

over 3under 1avg +15 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UAB Blazers vs Southern Illinois Salukis

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

UAB

S Illinois

UAB

S Illinois