Bartow Arena · at UAB
Closing line
HPU -1.5✓ UAB covered by 18.5
HPU -1.5✓ UAB covered by 18.5Closing total168.5Under by 3.5
| HPU | This season | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 84–83 UAB · ✗ HPU (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 38 | 36 | 74 |
| UAB | 35 | 56 | 91 |
1st half: HPU 38, UAB 35 (HPU by 3). The model had HPU by 0.9 and a total of 78.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| HPU | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 4-13 31% |
| 22-31 71% | Free throws | 27-35 77% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 24 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Martin G | 39 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7-17 | 2-5 |
| Owen Aquino F | 35 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 33 | 20 | 12 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-4 |
| Scotty Washington G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Chase Johnston G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terry Anderson F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Vincent Brady II G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Braden Hausen F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Babacar Diallo G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mavrick Miller, Kasen Krueger, Dorian Grosber, Caden Miller, Birgir Irving, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Liam Carney
| UAB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 4-5 |
| Jacob Meyer G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Daniel Rivera F | 31 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Evan Chatman F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Chance Westry G | 20 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KyeRon Lindsay-Martin F | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Quaran McPherson G | 18 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Dayjaun Anderson G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Salim London G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Holloway, Jorden Pittman, Ari Gooch, Lance Carr, Joey Kahn, Joao Das Chagas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -1.5
ModelHPU -1.2
Model edgeUAB +0.3
W UAB covered
Total
Market168.5
Model166.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
W Under
Projected score
HPU 84 · UAB 82.8
HPU 74 · UAB 91
Win probability
HPU 54%
1st half
Spread
HPU -0.9
HPU -3.0
Total
78.1
73 points
Projected score
HPU 39.5 · UAB 38.6
HPU 38 · UAB 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -2.5
1 → UAB
CloseHPU -1.5
1 pt toward UAB
Total
Open169.5
▼ 1
Close168.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HPU -125 · UAB +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -2.5 · closed HPU -1.5 · moved 1 toward UABmodel HPU -1
model HPU -1
Opened 169.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 1 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
| UABlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HPU 1–0 UABHPU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · HPU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024-25 | UAB 65 @ HPU 68 | HPU -2.5 | HPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +13 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vs
JAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +13 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
over 1under 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UAB
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+16.5
7
@
NCSU
NCSUL 70-94
−4.5
11
vs
ALST
ALSTL 74-77
−22.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+15.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 70-94
+1.5
11
vsALST
ALSTL 74-77
−13.5
over 2under 1avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jacksonville85–64
- Wvs Furman97–71
3 days since their last game.
UAB
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Alabama St74–77
- L@ NC State70–94
- Wvs Miss Valley St106–55
3 days since their last game.