Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada
Closing line
NEV -11.5✓ SIU covered by 6.5
NEV -11.5✓ SIU covered by 6.5Closing total152.5Over by 14.5
 SIU | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 69–79 NEV · ✓ NEV (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 34 | 38 | 9 | 81 |
| NEV | 32 | 40 | 14 | 86 |
1st half: SIU 34, NEV 32 (SIU by 2). The model had NEV by 5.9 and a total of 69.4 (actual 66).
Team stats
| SIU | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 27-78 35% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 8-33 24% |
| 19-29 66% | Free throws | 24-33 73% |
| 49 10 off | Rebounds | 52 18 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 1 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 26 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quel'Ron House G | 44 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 10-21 | 0-2 |
| Drew Steffe G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 28 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Stafford G | 25 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jorge Moreno F | 26 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Davion Sykes G | 20 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaheem Webber C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caden Hawkins, Max Pikaar, Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Price F | 37 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-4 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 36 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 34 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 6-18 | 1-7 |
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 8-17 | 2-6 |
| Joel Armotrading C | 26 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chuck Bailey III G | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Amire Robinson G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Peyton White G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Walker, Vaughn Weems, Christopher Baudreau, Ethan Croley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEV -11.5
ModelNEV -10.1
Model edgeSIU +1.4
W SIU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model148.1
Model edgeUnder 4.4
L Over
Projected score
SIU 69 · NEV 79.1
SIU 81 · NEV 86
Win probability
NEV 81%
1st half
Spread
NEV -5.9
SIU -2.0
Total
69.4
66 points
Projected score
SIU 31.7 · NEV 37.7
SIU 34 · NEV 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -9.5
2 → NEV
CloseNEV -11.5
2 pts toward NEV
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SIU +500 · NEV -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -9.5 · closed NEV -11.5 · moved 2 toward NEVmodel NEV -10
model NEV -10
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| NEVlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +37.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
over 1under 0avg +37.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vs
PAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
over 1under 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas City101–78
5 days since their last game.
Nevada
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pacific78–77
- Wvs Louisiana Tech77–50
4 days since their last game.