John Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
SIU -8.5✓ SIU covered by 11.5
SIU -8.5✓ SIU covered by 11.5Closing total153.5Under by 15.5
| SIU | This season | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 82–78 DEL · ✓ SIU (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 33 | 46 | 79 |
| DEL | 24 | 35 | 59 |
1st half: SIU 33, DEL 24 (SIU by 9). The model had SIU by 3.0 and a total of 74.9 (actual 57).
Team stats
| SIU | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 3-15 20% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 5-7 71% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Aligbe F | 29 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 25 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Drew Steffe G | 25 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Stafford G | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Davion Sykes G | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Pikaar F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaheem Webber C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Walsh, Daniel Pauliukonis
| DEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macon Emory F | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Christian Bliss G | 34 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 2-10 | 1-8 |
| Justyn Fernandez G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-6 |
| Tyler Houser F | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Mason Ellison G | 27 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Kazanecki G | 26 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Houston Emory F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Taylor F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nnanna Njoku, Bouna Kebe, Alex McFadden, Lance Piper, Brandon Baffone, Jameel Brown, Cavan Reilly
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIU -8.5
ModelSIU -4.7
Model edgeDEL +3.8
L SIU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model159.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
L Under
Projected score
SIU 82.3 · DEL 77.6
SIU 79 · DEL 59
Win probability
SIU 66%
1st half
Spread
SIU -3.0
SIU -9.0
Total
74.9
57 points
Projected score
SIU 38.9 · DEL 35.9
SIU 33 · DEL 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -6.5
2 → SIU
CloseSIU -8.5
2 pts toward SIU
Total
Open159.5
▼ 6
Close153.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
SIU -380 · DEL +290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -6.5 · closed SIU -8.5 · moved 2 toward SIUmodel SIU -4.5
model SIU -4.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 6 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
| DELlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +25.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
KC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@
NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@
NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
over 3under 0avg +25.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Delaware
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−5.5
11
@
BYU
BYUL 68-85
+18.5
18
vs
SPU
SPUW 81-70
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−1.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
−11.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+13.5
over 1under 2avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Dakota St85–92
- L@ Nevada81–86
- Wvs Kansas City101–78
6 days since their last game.
Delaware
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Peter's81–70
- L@ BYU68–85
- L@ Bucknell70–78
5 days since their last game.