Saint Peter's Peacocks at Delaware Blue Hens: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ETBob Carpenter Center · at Delaware

Final

#206DELDelaware81▲ winner

Closing lineDEL -4.5✓ DEL covered by 6.5

Closing total137.5Over by 13.5

Season records: Saint Peter's and Delaware
SPU	This season	DEL
1-2	Record	0-2
2-1	ATS	1-1
1-2	O/U	0-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: SPU 70–76 DEL · ✓ DEL (69%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
SPU	26	44	70
DEL	49	32	81

1st half: SPU 26, DEL 49 (DEL by 23). The model had DEL by 3.2 and a total of 68.3 (actual 75).

Team stats

SPU		DEL
26-63 41%	Field goals	28-52 54%
12-32 38%	3-pointers	11-21 52%
6-6 100%	Free throws	14-20 70%
26 7 off	Rebounds	38 8 off
15	Assists	18
9	Steals	7
2	Blocks	3
8	Turnovers	14
18	Fouls	12
22	Points in paint	26
19	Fast-break points	9

Players

SPU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
TJ Robinson G	32	11	6	8	4-13	1-3
Brent Bland G	32	21	3	0	7-17	6-16
Jahki Gupton F	31	8	4	1	4-7	0-0
J'Quan Ewing F	6	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Shaedon Simpson G	4	0	0	1	0-1	0-1
Bench
Bryce Eaton G	25	13	3	2	5-10	3-6
Bol Agu F	20	6	3	0	2-4	0-1
Eric Morgan Jr. G	16	3	1	2	1-5	1-2
Lucas Scroggins F	13	5	2	0	2-2	0-0
Adetokunbo Bakare G	11	3	1	1	1-3	1-3
Zaakir Williamson F	10	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Elijah Perkins, Akil Watson

DEL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Macon Emory F	39	17	11	3	6-11	2-4
Christian Bliss G	39	15	7	5	5-12	2-5
Justyn Fernandez G	35	18	3	5	6-11	2-5
Tyler Houser F	33	17	6	1	6-8	1-1
Jameel Brown G	8	6	2	1	2-2	2-2
Bench
Mason Ellison G	22	3	2	2	1-3	1-1
Alex Kazanecki G	13	5	1	0	2-4	1-3
Houston Emory F	5	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Jayden Taylor F	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Bouna Kebe F	2	0	0	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Brandon Baffone, Lance Piper, Cavan Reilly, Alex McFadden, Nnanna Njoku

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	DEL -4.5	DEL -5.5	DEL +1.0	W DEL covered
Total	137.5	145.6	Over 8.1	W Over
Projected score	—	SPU 70 · DEL 75.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DEL -3.2	DEL -23.0
1H total	68.3	75
1H projected score	SPU 32.5 · DEL 35.7	SPU 26 · DEL 49

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SPU LWW	2-1	67%	1-1	1-1
DEL LW	1-1	50%	—	—

Venue/role: SPU away, as underdog; DEL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
SPU UOU	1-2	33%	1-2
DEL UU	0-2	0%	0-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SPUlast 3	1-2 33%	2-1 67%	1-2 33%
DELlast 2	0-2 0%	1-1 50%	0-2 0%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

SPU 1–0 DELSPU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SPU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 20, 2024-25	DEL 64 @ SPU 72	SPU -2.5	SPU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Saint Peter's

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg +9.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-167%

L W W

2 straight covers2 of 3 covered

Over / Under

1-233%

U O U

1 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@HALL	L 50-77	+13.5	L −13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 8	vsFDU	W 93-83	-6.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 176
Nov 12	@VCU	L 61-78	+20.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−13.5

FDU

W 93-83

+3.5

VCU

L 61-78

+3.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−2.5

FDU

W 93-83

+38.5

VCU

L 61-78

−8.5

over 1under 2avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Delaware

2 games played

Straight up

0-2

0% wins

Against the spread

1-1

50% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

0-2

0% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-20%

L L

2 straight losses0 of 2 won

Against the spread

1-150%

L W

1 of 2 coveredno streak

Over / Under

0-20%

U U

2 straight unders0 of 2 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

over 0under 2avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Saint Peter's @ Delaware

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Saint Peter's

Delaware

Saint Peter's

Delaware