Delaware Blue Hens at Bucknell Bison: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 3, 7:00 PM ETSojka Pavilion · at Bucknell

#206DELDelaware70final

Final

#299BUCKBucknell78▲ winner

Closing lineBUCK -2.5✓ BUCK covered by 5.5

Closing total149.5Under by 1.5

Season records: Delaware and Bucknell
DEL	This season	BUCK
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: DEL 73–75 BUCK · ✓ BUCK (57%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
DEL	28	42	70
BUCK	34	44	78

1st half: DEL 28, BUCK 34 (BUCK by 6). The model had BUCK by 1.1 and a total of 69.3 (actual 62).

Team stats

DEL		BUCK
25-64 39%	Field goals	28-62 45%
9-27 33%	3-pointers	10-24 42%
11-18 61%	Free throws	12-14 86%
34 12 off	Rebounds	42 12 off
12	Assists	14
10	Steals	7
5	Blocks	4
12	Turnovers	13
17	Fouls	20
30	Points in paint	30
8	Fast-break points	8

Players

DEL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Christian Bliss G	36	16	3	6	6-15	2-4
Macon Emory F	34	13	10	1	5-12	0-5
Jameel Brown G	30	19	5	1	6-12	4-6
Tyler Houser F	28	12	6	0	5-12	2-4
Cavan Reilly G	23	3	1	1	1-8	0-5
Bench
Mason Ellison G	27	6	1	1	2-5	1-3
Houston Emory F	12	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Jayden Taylor F	6	1	2	1	0-0	0-0
Alex Kazanecki G	4	0	0	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Lance Piper, Bouna Kebe, Alex McFadden, Nnanna Njoku, Brandon Baffone, Justyn Fernandez

BUCK	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ruot Bijiek F	36	14	7	1	5-13	2-5
Jayden Williams G	34	13	4	6	3-8	3-5
Achile Spadone G	33	7	5	1	3-10	1-5
Brandon McCreesh G	25	8	5	2	2-6	1-2
Amon Dorries C	23	20	5	2	8-10	1-3
Bench
Grgur Brcic F	16	4	5	0	2-6	0-0
Pat Curtin G	13	7	0	1	3-7	1-3
Quin Berger G	8	3	3	1	1-1	1-1
Aleksander Pachucki G	8	2	1	0	1-1	0-0
Josh Fulton G	4	0	2	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jacob Meachem, Kellen Welch, Matt Lange, Patrick O'Brien, Brady Muller

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	BUCK -2.5	BUCK -2.1	DEL +0.4	L BUCK covered
Total	149.5	148.1	Under 1.4	W Under
Projected score	—	DEL 73 · BUCK 75.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BUCK -1.1	BUCK -6.0
1H total	69.3	62
1H projected score	DEL 34.1 · BUCK 35.2	DEL 28 · BUCK 34

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2024-25 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL LWWWW	17-17	50%	6-8	13-9
BUCK WWWLL	21-12	64%	8-8	11-10

Venue/role: DEL away, as underdog; BUCK home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2024-25 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL OUOOU	23-11	68%	14-20
BUCK UUOOO	19-14	58%	18-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2024-25

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DEL	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
BUCK	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

DEL 1–1 BUCKSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · DEL 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 4, 2024-25	BUCK 85 @ DEL 73	DEL -4.5	BUCK W
Nov 6, 2023-24	DEL 78 @ BUCK 57	BUCK +6.5	DEL W

ATS History · 2024-25

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Delaware

34 games played

Straight up

14-20

41% wins

Against the spread

17-17

50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

23-11

68% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-2041%

L W W L L W W W L L L L W W L W W L L L L L W L L L L L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1750%

L L W W W W W W L L W W W W L L W L L L L L W W L L L L L L W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

23-1168%

O O U O O O U O O U O O U O O O O O U U O U U O O O O O U O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsBUCK	L 73-85	-4.5	L −16.5	141.5	O 158
Nov 7	vsRMU	W 81-77	-7.5	L −3.5	147.5	O 158
Nov 12	@IONA	W 64-58	+6.5	W +12.5	154.5	U 122
Nov 18	vsBRY	L 84-85	+2.5	W +1.5	160.5	O 169
Nov 23	vsUVM	L 71-75	+5.5	W +1.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 24	vsYALE	W 100-94	+9.5	W +15.5	147.5	O 194
Nov 30	@RID	W 72-66	+1.5	W +7.5	145.5	U 138
Dec 3	vsDSU	W 93-80	-12.5	W +0.5	150.5	O 173
Dec 6	@DUQ	L 66-80	+3.5	L −10.5	145.5	O 146
Dec 20	@SPU	L 64-72	+2.5	L −5.5	141.5	U 136
Dec 28	@SJU	L 76-97	+24.5	W +3.5	158.5	O 173
Jan 2	@NE	L 77-80	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 157
Jan 4	vsMONM	W 84-64	-4.5	W +15.5	152.5	U 148
Jan 9	@NCAT	W 98-88	-4.5	W +5.5	160.5	O 186
Jan 11	@HAMP	L 77-83	-2.5	L −8.5	147.5	O 160
Jan 16	vsSTBK	W 84-74	-10.5	L −0.5	147.5	O 158
Jan 18	vsELON	W 79-77	+1.5	W +3.5	151.5	O 156
Jan 23	@HOF	L 68-93	+4.5	L −20.5	140.5	O 161
Jan 25	@DREX	L 54-67	+4.5	L −8.5	145.5	U 121
Jan 30	vsTOW	L 66-76	+2.5	L −7.5	144.5	U 142
Feb 1	@MONM	L 83-92	+1.5	L −7.5	152.5	O 175
Feb 6	vsUNCW	L 67-77	+6.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 144
Feb 8	vsW&M	W 74-64	-1.5	W +8.5	165.5	U 138
Feb 13	@TOW	L 70-75	+6.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 145
Feb 15	vsCAM	L 91-96	-3.5	L −8.5	147.5	O 187
Feb 20	vsDREX	L 74-78	-2.5	L −6.5	141.5	O 152
Feb 22	vsHOF	L 65-78	-1.5	L −14.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 27	@COFC	L 84-94	+7.5	L −2.5	159.5	O 178
Mar 1	@UNCW	L 58-88	+10.5	L −19.5	155.5	U 146
Mar 7	vsSTBK	W 80-76	-7.5	L −3.5	147.5	O 156
Mar 8	vsCAM	W 79-62	+1.5	W +18.5	146.5	U 141
Mar 9	vsW&M	W 100-78	+3.5	W +25.5	161.5	O 178
Mar 10	vsTOW	W 82-72	+6.5	W +16.5	144.5	O 154
Mar 11	vsUNCW	L 72-76	+9.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 73-85

−16.5

RMU

W 81-77

−3.5

IONA

W 64-58

+12.5

BRY

L 84-85

+1.5

UVM

L 71-75

+1.5

YALE

W 100-94

+15.5

RID

W 72-66

+7.5

DSU

W 93-80

+0.5

DUQ

L 66-80

−10.5

SPU

L 64-72

−5.5

SJU

L 76-97

+3.5

L 77-80

+2.5

MONM

W 84-64

+15.5

NCAT

W 98-88

+5.5

HAMP

L 77-83

−8.5

STBK

W 84-74

−0.5

ELON

W 79-77

+3.5

HOF

L 68-93

−20.5

DREX

L 54-67

−8.5

TOW

L 66-76

−7.5

MONM

L 83-92

−7.5

UNCW

L 67-77

−3.5

W&M

W 74-64

+8.5

TOW

L 70-75

+1.5

CAM

L 91-96

−8.5

DREX

L 74-78

−6.5

HOF

L 65-78

−14.5

COFC

L 84-94

−2.5

UNCW

L 58-88

−19.5

STBK

W 80-76

−3.5

CAM

W 79-62

+18.5

W&M

W 100-78

+25.5

TOW

W 82-72

+16.5

UNCW

L 72-76

+5.5

covered 17didn’t cover 17avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 73-85

+16.5

RMU

W 81-77

+10.5

IONA

W 64-58

−32.5

BRY

L 84-85

+8.5

UVM

L 71-75

+6.5

YALE

W 100-94

+46.5

RID

W 72-66

−7.5

DSU

W 93-80

+22.5

DUQ

L 66-80

+0.5

SPU

L 64-72

−5.5

SJU

L 76-97

+14.5

L 77-80

+5.5

MONM

W 84-64

−4.5

NCAT

W 98-88

+25.5

HAMP

L 77-83

+12.5

STBK

W 84-74

+10.5

ELON

W 79-77

+4.5

HOF

L 68-93

+20.5

DREX

L 54-67

−24.5

TOW

L 66-76

−2.5

MONM

L 83-92

+22.5

UNCW

L 67-77

−8.5

W&M

W 74-64

−27.5

TOW

L 70-75

+1.5

CAM

L 91-96

+39.5

DREX

L 74-78

+10.5

HOF

L 65-78

+0.5

COFC

L 84-94

+18.5

UNCW

L 58-88

−9.5

STBK

W 80-76

+8.5

CAM

W 79-62

−5.5

W&M

W 100-78

+16.5

TOW

W 82-72

+9.5

UNCW

L 72-76

−1.5

over 23under 11avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Bucknell

33 games played

Straight up

18-15

55% wins

Against the spread

21-12

64% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-14

58% overs · avg +8.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

18-1555%

W W L L W W L L L L L L L L W W L W W L L W W W L W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

21-1264%

W W W L W W L W L L W W W W W L L L L W L W W W L W W W W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1458%

O U O O O O U O U U O U U U U U U O O O O O O U O O O U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@DEL	W 85-73	+4.5	W +16.5	141.5	O 158
Nov 7	@USI	W 75-69	-3.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 144
Nov 9	@UK	L 72-100	+28.5	W +0.5	153.5	O 172
Nov 13	vsMSM	L 89-93	-5.5	L −9.5	144.5	O 182
Nov 16	vsRICH	W 80-76	+3.5	W +7.5	139.5	O 156
Nov 21	vsNJIT	W 81-64	-12.5	W +4.5	135.5	O 145
Nov 23	vsRID	L 53-57	-4.5	L −8.5	141.5	U 110
Nov 27	@MD	L 67-91	+25.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 158
Nov 30	vsSIE	L 58-71	-3.5	L −16.5	133.5	U 129
Dec 4	vsSBU	L 47-64	+7.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 111
Dec 8	@RAD	L 70-74	+6.5	W +2.5	133.5	O 144
Dec 21	@GONZ	L 65-86	+34.5	W +13.5	153.5	U 151
Dec 28	@SYR	L 63-75	+12.5	W +0.5	147.5	U 138
Jan 2	@LEH	L 64-66	+3.5	W +1.5	139.5	U 130
Jan 5	vsCOLG	W 66-60	-2.5	W +3.5	135.5	U 126
Jan 8	vsLAF	W 65-62	-3.5	L −0.5	132.5	U 127
Jan 11	@AMER	L 58-68	+3.5	L −6.5	130.5	U 126
Jan 15	vsHC	W 86-82	-5.5	L −1.5	134.5	O 168
Jan 18	vsNAVY	W 73-69	-4.5	L −0.5	136.5	O 142
Jan 20	@COLG	L 80-87	+7.5	W +0.5	136.5	O 167
Jan 25	@BU	L 82-85	-0.5	L −3.5	125.5	O 167
Jan 29	vsL-MD	W 79-67	-5.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 146
Feb 1	@NAVY	W 85-75	+3.5	W +13.5	137.5	O 160
Feb 5	vsAMER	W 71-49	-3.5	W +18.5	136.5	U 120
Feb 8	@ARMY	L 110-116	-1.5	L −7.5	141.5	O 226
Feb 12	vsBU	W 76-60	-5.5	W +10.5	131.5	O 136
Feb 15	@LAF	W 75-69	-1.5	W +4.5	134.5	O 144
Feb 17	vsLEH	W 67-50	-6.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 117
Feb 23	vsARMY	W 84-53	-6.5	W +24.5	142.5	U 137
Feb 26	@L-MD	W 70-67	-2.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Mar 1	@HC	W 94-81	-5.5	W +7.5	139.5	O 175
Mar 6	vsL-MD	W 76-72	-9.5	L −5.5	138.5	O 148
Mar 9	vsNAVY	L 77-83	-5.5	L −11.5	139.5	O 160

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEL

W 85-73

+16.5

USI

W 75-69

+2.5

L 72-100

+0.5

MSM

L 89-93

−9.5

RICH

W 80-76

+7.5

NJIT

W 81-64

+4.5

RID

L 53-57

−8.5

L 67-91

+1.5

SIE

L 58-71

−16.5

SBU

L 47-64

−9.5

RAD

L 70-74

+2.5

GONZ

L 65-86

+13.5

SYR

L 63-75

+0.5

LEH

L 64-66

+1.5

COLG

W 66-60

+3.5

LAF

W 65-62

−0.5

AMER

L 58-68

−6.5

W 86-82

−1.5

NAVY

W 73-69

−0.5

COLG

L 80-87

+0.5

L 82-85

−3.5

L-MD

W 79-67

+6.5

NAVY

W 85-75

+13.5

AMER

W 71-49

+18.5

ARMY

L 110-116

−7.5

W 76-60

+10.5

LAF

W 75-69

+4.5

LEH

W 67-50

+10.5

ARMY

W 84-53

+24.5

L-MD

W 70-67

+0.5

W 94-81

+7.5

L-MD

W 76-72

−5.5

NAVY

L 77-83

−11.5

covered 21didn’t cover 12avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEL

W 85-73

+16.5

USI

W 75-69

−2.5

L 72-100

+18.5

MSM

L 89-93

+37.5

RICH

W 80-76

+16.5

NJIT

W 81-64

+9.5

RID

L 53-57

−31.5

L 67-91

+17.5

SIE

L 58-71

−4.5

SBU

L 47-64

−24.5

RAD

L 70-74

+10.5

GONZ

L 65-86

−2.5

SYR

L 63-75

−9.5

LEH

L 64-66

−9.5

COLG

W 66-60

−9.5

LAF

W 65-62

−5.5

AMER

L 58-68

−4.5

W 86-82

+33.5

NAVY

W 73-69

+5.5

COLG

L 80-87

+30.5

L 82-85

+41.5

L-MD

W 79-67

+8.5

NAVY

W 85-75

+22.5

AMER

W 71-49

−16.5

ARMY

L 110-116

+84.5

W 76-60

+4.5

LAF

W 75-69

+9.5

LEH

W 67-50

−24.5

ARMY

W 84-53

−5.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−3.5

W 94-81

+35.5

L-MD

W 76-72

+9.5

NAVY

L 77-83

+20.5

over 19under 14avg +8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Delaware Blue Hens at Bucknell Bison

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2024-25

Delaware

Bucknell

Delaware

Bucknell