Scheels Center · at N Dakota St
Closing line
NDSU -1.5✓ NDSU covered by 5.5
NDSU -1.5✓ NDSU covered by 5.5Closing total153.5Over by 23.5
 SIU | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 77–79 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 46 | 39 | 85 |
| NDSU | 53 | 39 | 92 |
1st half: SIU 46, NDSU 53 (NDSU by 7). The model had NDSU by 0.9 and a total of 73.3 (actual 99).
Team stats
| SIU | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-66 55% | Field goals | 30-67 45% |
| 3-14 21% | 3-pointers | 16-35 46% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quel'Ron House G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 11-17 | 1-2 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 27 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Stafford G | 25 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Drew Steffe G | 23 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Sykes G | 26 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Max Pikaar F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh, Jaheem Webber
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 35 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 9-13 | 4-6 |
| Trevian Carson G | 33 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 26 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 22 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 21 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Carson Smith G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Max Majerle, Emil Skytt, Riley Massey, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -1.5
ModelNDSU -1.8
Model edgeNDSU +0.3
W NDSU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model156.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
W Over
Projected score
SIU 77.4 · NDSU 79.2
SIU 85 · NDSU 92
Win probability
NDSU 56%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -0.9
NDSU -7.0
Total
73.3
99 points
Projected score
SIU 36.2 · NDSU 37.1
SIU 46 · NDSU 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -2.5
4 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -1.5
4 pts toward NDSU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Close153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SIU -105 · NDSU -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -2.5 · closed NDSU -1.5 · moved 4 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -2
model NDSU -2
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
| NDSUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SIU 2–0 NDSUSIU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · SIU has won the last 2 meetings · SIU 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024-25 | NDSU 44 @ SIU 69 | SIU -7.5 | SIU W |
| Dec 19, 2023-24 | NDSU 63 @ SIU 76 | SIU -8.5 | SIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +26 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
KC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@
NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
over 2under 0avg +26 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@
UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vs
CSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
over 2under 1avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada81–86
- Wvs Kansas City101–78
5 days since their last game.
N Dakota St
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge90–68
- L@ UC Davis68–80
- L@ Oregon St65–67
6 days since their last game.