Scheels Center · at N Dakota St
Closing line
NDSU -4.5✓ NDSU covered by 17.5
Closing total156.5Over by 1.5
| This season | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 77–80 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 33 | 35 | 68 |
| NDSU | 30 | 60 | 90 |
1st half: CSUN 33, NDSU 30 (CSUN by 3). The model had NDSU by 1.9 and a total of 73.4 (actual 63).
Team stats
| CSUN | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-66 39% | Field goals | 30-76 39% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 10-39 26% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 47 18 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 14 |
| 0 | Blocks | 9 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II G | 36 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Josiah Davis G | 32 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 30 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-1 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 26 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Grady Lewis F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 23 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Brinson G | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Greg Gazarian G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Barrio, Jalen Barbee, Robert Thibiant, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan, Quinton Webb
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 35 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 5-13 | 3-9 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 33 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 7-15 | 4-10 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 28 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Trevian Carson G | 28 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 17 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Smith G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Tay Smith G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-11 | 1-9 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 11 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Max Majerle G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Riley Massey G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Emil Skytt G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Saunders G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Caleb Schoenrock, Dom Clay
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -4.5
ModelNDSU -3.5
Model edgeCSUN +1.0
L NDSU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model156.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
CSUN 76.6 · NDSU 80.1
CSUN 68 · NDSU 90
Win probability
NDSU 62%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -1.9
CSUN -3.0
Total
73.4
63 points
Projected score
CSUN 35.7 · NDSU 37.7
CSUN 33 · NDSU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -1.5
3 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -4.5
3 pts toward NDSU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 6
Close156.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +165 · NDSU -195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -1.5 · closed NDSU -4.5 · moved 3 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -3.5
model NDSU -3.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 6 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | |
| 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CSUN 0–1 NDSUNDSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021-22 | CSUN 54 @ NDSU 68 | NDSU -14 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−19.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−10.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+19.5
over 1under 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ORST
L 65-67
+7.5
5
@
UCD
L 68-80
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
ORST
L 65-67
−12.5
5
@
UCD
L 68-80
+5.5
over 1under 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ North Dakota93–85
- L@ Northern Iowa57–86
2 days since their last game.
N Dakota St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Davis68–80
- L@ Oregon St65–67
6 days since their last game.