University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis
Closing line
UCD -1.5✓ UCD covered by 10.5
UCD -1.5✓ UCD covered by 10.5Closing total142.5Over by 5.5
 NDSU | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 71–73 UCD · ✓ UCD (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 26 | 42 | 68 |
| UCD | 26 | 54 | 80 |
1st half: NDSU 26, UCD 26 (tied). The model had UCD by 0.7 and a total of 67.2 (actual 52).
Team stats
| NDSU | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-71 37% | Field goals | 30-53 57% |
| 3-27 11% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 13-14 93% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 34 20 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Tay Smith G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Carson Smith G | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Max Majerle G | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Emil Skytt G | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 34 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 8-10 | 6-7 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Nils Cooper G | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Niko Rocak F | 26 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Chappell F | 22 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Chase Rawlins G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden Fagbemi, Cyril Franklin Jr., Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Abdullah Amzil, Carl Daughtery Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCD -1.5
ModelUCD -1.5
Model edge—
UCD covered
Total
Market142.5
Model143.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
NDSU 71 · UCD 72.5
NDSU 68 · UCD 80
Win probability
UCD 55%
1st half
Spread
UCD -0.7
tied
Total
67.2
52 points
Projected score
NDSU 33.3 · UCD 34
NDSU 26 · UCD 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -2.5
1 → NDSU
CloseUCD -1.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NDSU +110 · UCD -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -2.5 · closed UCD -1.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel UCD -1.5 matches the line
model UCD -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| UCD | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NDSU 0–1 UCDUCD leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NDSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023-24 | NDSU 53 vs UCD 68 | UCD -4.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
29 games played
Straight up
18-11
62% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-10
66% overs · avg +6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ILST | L 68-77 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ CSUB | L 81-86 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 13 | @ SCU | W 88-80 | +15.5 | W +23.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 18 | @ SIU | L 44-69 | +7.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 26 | @ SAM | L 98-103 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 27 | vs WGA | W 73-61 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs UVU | W 83-63 | +6.5 | W +26.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @ WEB | W 77-73 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNCO | W 82-70 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ BTLR | W 71-68 | +13.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 15 | vs WMU | W 98-62 | -8.5 | W +27.5 | 144.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 23 | vsCSUB | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | vs STMN | L 85-89 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 4 | vs OMA | L 80-85 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 9 | @ ORU | W 110-96 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 11 | @ DEN | W 69-50 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 16 | vs KC | W 71-64 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 18 | @ SDAK | W 103-77 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 25 | vs UND | W 87-82 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 30 | vs SDST | L 62-72 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 2 | @STMN | L 62-79 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 6 | @KC | W 78-72 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 8 | @OMA | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 13 | vsORU | W 94-88 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 15 | vsDEN | W 89-84 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | @SDST | W 77-68 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 22 | @UND | L 77-79 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 26 | vsSDAK | W 82-78 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 170.5 | U 160 |
| Mar 7 | vsSDAK | L 84-85 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsILST
ILSTL 68-77
−12.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 81-86
−2.5
13
@SCU
SCUW 88-80
+23.5
18
@SIU
SIUL 44-69
−17.5
26
@SAM
SAML 98-103
+5.5
27
vsWGA
WGAW 73-61
+3.5
28
vsUVU
UVUW 83-63
+26.5
4
@WEB
WEBW 77-73
+8.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOW 82-70
+10.5
10
@BTLR
BTLRW 71-68
+16.5
15
vsWMU
WMUW 98-62
+27.5
23
vsCSUB
CSUBW 94-60
+24.5
2
vsSTMN
STMNL 85-89
−6.5
4
vsOMA
OMAL 80-85
−17.5
9
@ORU
ORUW 110-96
+7.5
11
@DEN
DENW 69-50
+9.5
16
vsKC
KCW 71-64
−1.5
18
@SDAK
SDAKW 103-77
+22.5
25
vsUND
UNDW 87-82
−4.5
30
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-72
−12.5
2
@STMN
STMNL 62-79
−14.5
6
@KC
KCW 78-72
+4.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 74-85
−12.5
13
vsORU
ORUW 94-88
−7.5
15
vsDEN
DENW 89-84
−7.5
19
@SDST
SDSTW 77-68
+15.5
22
@UND
UNDL 77-79
−5.5
26
vsSDAK
SDAKW 82-78
−2.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKL 84-85
−2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsILST
ILSTL 68-77
+6.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 81-86
+27.5
13
@SCU
SCUW 88-80
+14.5
18
@SIU
SIUL 44-69
−38.5
26
@SAM
SAML 98-103
+46.5
27
vsWGA
WGAW 73-61
−4.5
28
vsUVU
UVUW 83-63
+4.5
4
@WEB
WEBW 77-73
+9.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOW 82-70
+0.5
10
@BTLR
BTLRW 71-68
−3.5
15
vsWMU
WMUW 98-62
+15.5
23
vsCSUB
CSUBW 94-60
+15.5
2
vsSTMN
STMNL 85-89
+22.5
4
vsOMA
OMAL 80-85
+15.5
9
@ORU
ORUW 110-96
+53.5
11
@DEN
DENW 69-50
−34.5
16
vsKC
KCW 71-64
−5.5
18
@SDAK
SDAKW 103-77
+10.5
25
vsUND
UNDW 87-82
+8.5
30
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-72
−23.5
2
@STMN
STMNL 62-79
−12.5
6
@KC
KCW 78-72
+9.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 74-85
+9.5
13
vsORU
ORUW 94-88
+27.5
15
vsDEN
DENW 89-84
+26.5
19
@SDST
SDSTW 77-68
−12.5
22
@UND
UNDL 77-79
−1.5
26
vsSDAK
SDAKW 82-78
−10.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKL 84-85
+4.5
over 19under 10avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
30 games played
Straight up
13-17
43% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ WASH | L 73-79 | +15.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 7 | @ IDHO | W 79-75 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 17 | @ STAN | L 65-79 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 20 | @ GCU | W 75-68 | +17.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | vs NORF | L 55-76 | -6.5 | L −27.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 30 | @ ORST | L 57-90 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | vs CP | W 77-66 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 7 | vs UCSB | W 71-60 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | @ SAC | W 69-62 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 18 | vsIDHO | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 21 | @ PEPP | L 46-85 | +1.5 | L −37.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | @CSUB | L 64-75 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ CSUN | L 61-73 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 9 | vs CSUF | W 63-53 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 11 | vs LBSU | L 73-84 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 135.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 16 | @CP | W 65-54 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 18 | @UCSB | W 64-60 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs HAW | W 68-66 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 30 | @ UCR | L 58-60 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 1 | @ UCI | L 66-73 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 6 | @LBSU | W 73-65 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 8 | @CSUF | W 65-49 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 13 | vsUCR | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 15 | @ UCSD | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 20 | vsCSUB | L 66-71 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 22 | vsCSUN | L 62-65 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 1 | @HAW | L 70-78 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 6 | vsUCI | L 59-88 | +6.5 | L −22.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Mar 8 | vsUCSD | L 57-68 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 12 | vsCP | L 76-86 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@WASH
WASHL 73-79
+9.5
7
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-75
+2.5
17
@STAN
STANL 65-79
−0.5
20
@GCU
GCUW 75-68
+24.5
25
vsNORF
NORFL 55-76
−27.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 57-90
−21.5
5
vsCP
CPW 77-66
+8.5
7
vsUCSB
UCSBW 71-60
+13.5
14
@SAC
SACW 69-62
+0.5
18
vsIDHO
IDHOW 74-66
+1.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPL 46-85
−37.5
2
@CSUB
CSUBL 64-75
−9.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 61-73
−3.5
9
vsCSUF
CSUFW 63-53
+1.5
11
vsLBSU
LBSUL 73-84
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 65-54
+16.5
18
@UCSB
UCSBW 64-60
+12.5
23
vsHAW
HAWW 68-66
−0.5
30
@UCR
UCRL 58-60
+3.5
1
@UCI
UCIL 66-73
+5.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 73-65
+5.5
8
@CSUF
CSUFW 65-49
+9.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 75-74
−0.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-85
−10.5
20
vsCSUB
CSUBL 66-71
−8.5
22
vsCSUN
CSUNL 62-65
+0.5
1
@HAW
HAWL 70-78
−4.5
6
vsUCI
UCIL 59-88
−22.5
8
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-68
+1.5
12
vsCP
CPL 76-86
−8.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@WASH
WASHL 73-79
+4.5
7
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-75
+10.5
17
@STAN
STANL 65-79
−4.5
20
@GCU
GCUW 75-68
−9.5
25
vsNORF
NORFL 55-76
−15.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 57-90
+6.5
5
vsCP
CPW 77-66
−15.5
7
vsUCSB
UCSBW 71-60
−13.5
14
@SAC
SACW 69-62
−6.5
18
vsIDHO
IDHOW 74-66
−2.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPL 46-85
−16.5
2
@CSUB
CSUBL 64-75
+3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 61-73
−16.5
9
vsCSUF
CSUFW 63-53
−19.5
11
vsLBSU
LBSUL 73-84
+21.5
16
@CP
CPW 65-54
−36.5
18
@UCSB
UCSBW 64-60
−12.5
23
vsHAW
HAWW 68-66
−0.5
30
@UCR
UCRL 58-60
−18.5
1
@UCI
UCIL 66-73
+5.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 73-65
+7.5
8
@CSUF
CSUFW 65-49
−20.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 75-74
+13.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-85
+10.5
20
vsCSUB
CSUBL 66-71
−0.5
22
vsCSUN
CSUNL 62-65
−19.5
1
@HAW
HAWL 70-78
+15.5
6
vsUCI
UCIL 59-88
+12.5
8
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-68
−11.5
12
vsCP
CPL 76-86
+12.5
over 12under 18avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon St65–67
2 days since their last game.
UC Davis
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.