Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St
Closing line
MOST -1.5✓ ARST covered by 2.5
MOST -1.5✓ ARST covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Over by 18.5
 ARST | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARST 77–75 MOST · ✓ ARST (56%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 33 | 53 | 86 |
| MOST | 46 | 39 | 85 |
1st half: ARST 33, MOST 46 (MOST by 13). The model had ARST by 1.2 and a total of 71.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| ARST | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-65 45% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 27-37 73% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 32 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 27 | Fouls | 23 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon G | 35 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 34 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Chandler Jackson G | 27 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 10-11 | 3-3 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 27 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 6-15 | 0-3 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Hayman G | 27 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-13 | 0-5 |
| Royal Blue Smith G | 20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Chudi Dioramma F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Weston Honeycutt, Tim Matthews, CJ Geathers, Grayson Bennett, Joey Chammaa, Jalen Hampton
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 37 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-5 |
| Zaxton King G | 37 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Kobi Williams G | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 24 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Keith Palek III F | 22 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darrion Sutton F | 25 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Logan Epes G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryder Cheesman, Cameron Boone, Melakih Cunningham, Collin Clark, Antwan Burnett, Amar Kuljuhovic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -2.5
1 → ARST
CloseMOST -1.5
1 pt toward ARST
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARST +110 · MOST -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -2.5 · closed MOST -1.5 · moved 1 toward ARSTmodel ARST -1.5
model ARST -1.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MOST -1.5 | ARST -1.7 | ARST +3.2 | W ARST covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 151.5 | Under 1.0 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | ARST 76.6 · MOST 74.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARST -1.2 | MOST -13.0 |
| 1H total | 71.0 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | ARST 36.1 · MOST 34.9 | ARST 33 · MOST 46 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| MOST | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas St
35 games played
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
19-16
54% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-18
49% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs AKR | W 80-75 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ ALA | L 79-88 | +24.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 80-63 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 16 | vs SFA | W 59-49 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 29 | vs INST | W 86-81 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 30 | vs RICE | L 67-75 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 1 | vs HOF | L 66-68 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | vs JKST | W 66-64 | -16.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 8 | @ MEM | W 85-72 | +11.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 12 | vs UTA | W 83-79 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 15 | @ UAB | W 98-89 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs CCU | W 97-67 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 2 | @ ODU | W 78-59 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +0.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 9 | @ USA | L 62-76 | +0.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 11 | @ TROY | W 84-78 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 16 | vs UL | W 83-63 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 18 | vs GAST | W 85-59 | -16.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 23 | vs APP | W 65-55 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | vs TXST | W 80-65 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 29 | @ USM | W 81-68 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 1 | @TXST | W 85-74 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 5 | @ MRSH | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 8 | @ KENT | L 75-76 | +0.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | vsUSM | W 101-67 | -15.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 15 | vsTROY | L 70-71 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 19 | vsUSA | L 56-60 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 22 | vs ULM | W 95-70 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 26 | @UL | W 83-64 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 28 | @ULM | W 94-67 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 8 | vsMRSH | W 77-74 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 9 | vsUSA | W 74-71 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 10 | vsTROY | L 81-94 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 18 | vs SLU | W 103-78 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 23 | @ UNT | L 63-65 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsAKR
AKRW 80-75
−0.5
8
@ALA
ALAL 79-88
+15.5
12
vsLR
LRW 80-63
+2.5
16
vsSFA
SFAW 59-49
−0.5
29
vsINST
INSTW 86-81
−3.5
30
vsRICE
RICEL 67-75
−16.5
1
vsHOF
HOFL 66-68
−8.5
5
vsJKST
JKSTW 66-64
−14.5
8
@MEM
MEMW 85-72
+24.5
12
vsUTA
UTAW 83-79
−4.5
15
@UAB
UABW 98-89
+12.5
21
vsCCU
CCUW 97-67
+15.5
2
@ODU
ODUW 78-59
+8.5
4
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−4.5
9
@USA
USAL 62-76
−13.5
11
@TROY
TROYW 84-78
+8.5
16
vsUL
ULW 83-63
+3.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 85-59
+9.5
23
vsAPP
APPW 65-55
+2.5
25
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-65
+4.5
29
@USM
USMW 81-68
+3.5
1
@TXST
TXSTW 85-74
+5.5
5
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−7.5
8
@KENT
KENTL 75-76
−0.5
12
vsUSM
USMW 101-67
+18.5
15
vsTROY
TROYL 70-71
−7.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 56-60
−11.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 95-70
+2.5
26
@UL
ULW 83-64
+7.5
28
@ULM
ULMW 94-67
+9.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHW 77-74
−5.5
9
vsUSA
USAW 74-71
−0.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 81-94
−15.5
18
vsSLU
SLUW 103-78
+19.5
23
@UNT
UNTL 63-65
+1.5
covered 19didn’t cover 16avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsAKR
AKRW 80-75
+6.5
8
@ALA
ALAL 79-88
−4.5
12
vsLR
LRW 80-63
−14.5
16
vsSFA
SFAW 59-49
−40.5
29
vsINST
INSTW 86-81
+10.5
30
vsRICE
RICEL 67-75
+0.5
1
vsHOF
HOFL 66-68
−6.5
5
vsJKST
JKSTW 66-64
−18.5
8
@MEM
MEMW 85-72
+4.5
12
vsUTA
UTAW 83-79
+4.5
15
@UAB
UABW 98-89
+26.5
21
vsCCU
CCUW 97-67
+22.5
2
@ODU
ODUW 78-59
−16.5
4
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−19.5
9
@USA
USAL 62-76
−1.5
11
@TROY
TROYW 84-78
+17.5
16
vsUL
ULW 83-63
−2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 85-59
−10.5
23
vsAPP
APPW 65-55
−18.5
25
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-65
−5.5
29
@USM
USMW 81-68
−3.5
1
@TXST
TXSTW 85-74
+9.5
5
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−4.5
8
@KENT
KENTL 75-76
+9.5
12
vsUSM
USMW 101-67
+13.5
15
vsTROY
TROYL 70-71
−4.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 56-60
−27.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 95-70
+17.5
26
@UL
ULW 83-64
−1.5
28
@ULM
ULMW 94-67
+9.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHW 77-74
+1.5
9
vsUSA
USAW 74-71
+7.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 81-94
+32.5
18
vsSLU
SLUW 103-78
+26.5
23
@UNT
UNTL 63-65
−9.5
over 17under 18avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
30 games played
Straight up
7-23
23% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ BTLR | L 65-72 | +16.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | vs TLSA | W 111-106 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 217 |
| Nov 19 | vsUTA | W 78-68 | -0.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs HPU | W 71-61 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs BC | L 74-76 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | L 55-75 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 1 | @ ORU | W 72-67 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vsINST | L 77-80 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 14 | @ WSU | L 78-91 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 22 | vs UCSB | W 68-56 | -0.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 29 | @ EVAN | L 40-57 | -4.5 | L −21.5 | 133.5 | U 97 |
| Jan 1 | vs VAL | L 72-73 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ BRAD | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 7 | vs UIC | L 63-80 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 11 | @ SIU | L 78-88 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 15 | vsSIU | L 51-73 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 18 | @ ILST | L 68-74 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNI | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 25 | vs DRKE | L 62-69 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 118.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 29 | @INST | L 67-72 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs MUR | W 77-56 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 131.5 | O 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsUNI | L 61-66 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 8 | @ BEL | L 68-85 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 12 | vsEVAN | W 71-54 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 16 | @UIC | L 58-63 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 19 | @VAL | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 22 | vsILST | L 68-70 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 26 | vsBEL | L 65-74 | -0.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 2 | @DRKE | L 60-68 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 121.5 | O 128 |
| Mar 6 | vsILST | L 54-70 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 133.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@BTLR
BTLRL 65-72
+9.5
16
vsTLSA
TLSAW 111-106
+8.5
19
vsUTA
UTAW 78-68
+9.5
24
vsHPU
HPUW 71-61
+17.5
25
vsBC
BCL 74-76
+0.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTL 55-75
−16.5
1
@ORU
ORUW 72-67
+3.5
7
vsINST
INSTL 77-80
−7.5
14
@WSU
WSUL 78-91
−2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 68-56
+11.5
29
@EVAN
EVANL 40-57
−21.5
1
vsVAL
VALL 72-73
−5.5
4
@BRAD
BRADL 60-69
+2.5
7
vsUIC
UICL 63-80
−19.5
11
@SIU
SIUL 78-88
−8.5
15
vsSIU
SIUL 51-73
−23.5
18
@ILST
ILSTL 68-74
+3.5
21
@UNI
UNIL 68-79
−1.5
25
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-69
+1.5
29
@INST
INSTL 67-72
+0.5
1
vsMUR
MURW 77-56
+24.5
5
vsUNI
UNIL 61-66
−0.5
8
@BEL
BELL 68-85
−9.5
12
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-54
+13.5
16
@UIC
UICL 58-63
+0.5
19
@VAL
VALL 64-66
+0.5
22
vsILST
ILSTL 68-70
+0.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 65-74
−9.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 60-68
+6.5
6
vsILST
ILSTL 54-70
−10.5
covered 17didn’t cover 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@BTLR
BTLRL 65-72
−3.5
16
vsTLSA
TLSAW 111-106
+73.5
19
vsUTA
UTAW 78-68
−4.5
24
vsHPU
HPUW 71-61
−9.5
25
vsBC
BCL 74-76
+16.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTL 55-75
−13.5
1
@ORU
ORUW 72-67
−1.5
7
vsINST
INSTL 77-80
+8.5
14
@WSU
WSUL 78-91
+27.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 68-56
−13.5
29
@EVAN
EVANL 40-57
−36.5
1
vsVAL
VALL 72-73
+5.5
4
@BRAD
BRADL 60-69
−5.5
7
vsUIC
UICL 63-80
+4.5
11
@SIU
SIUL 78-88
+30.5
15
vsSIU
SIUL 51-73
−11.5
18
@ILST
ILSTL 68-74
+9.5
21
@UNI
UNIL 68-79
+11.5
25
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-69
+12.5
29
@INST
INSTL 67-72
−7.5
1
vsMUR
MURW 77-56
+1.5
5
vsUNI
UNIL 61-66
−5.5
8
@BEL
BELL 68-85
+5.5
12
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-54
−7.5
16
@UIC
UICL 58-63
−21.5
19
@VAL
VALL 64-66
−9.5
22
vsILST
ILSTL 68-70
+2.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 65-74
−9.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 60-68
+6.5
6
vsILST
ILSTL 54-70
−9.5
over 14under 16avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas St
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SF Austin65–90
- W@ Ohio89–85
4 days since their last game.
Missouri St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.