Wintrust Arena · at DePaul
Closing line
DEP -18.5✓ BUF covered by 31.5
DEP -18.5✓ BUF covered by 31.5Closing total153.5Under by 34.5
 BUF | This season | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUF 67–87 DEP · ✗ DEP (96%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 36 | 30 | 66 |
| DEP | 18 | 35 | 53 |
1st half: BUF 36, DEP 18 (BUF by 18). The model had DEP by 12.2 and a total of 72.2 (actual 54).
Team stats
| BUF | DEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-52 38% | Field goals | 17-51 33% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 19-27 70% | Free throws | 10-20 50% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 12 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Freitag G | 37 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Sabol G | 35 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6-16 | 3-7 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Tim Oboh F | 24 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 24 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikhali Pocknett F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Jones, Evan Romano, Aleksa Vlajic, Matas Buteliauskas, Daniel Shao, Omar Migues-Hibeljic
| DEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Gunn G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| Brandon Maclin G | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Layden Blocker G | 28 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-8 | 1-2 |
| NJ Benson F | 24 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Theo Pierre-Justin F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| RJ Smith G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Kaleb Banks F | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| Jeremy Lorenz F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kruz McClure G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Fabian Flores C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Khaman Maker C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ilija Milijasevic, Jonas Johnson, Isaiah Medina, Nate Kasher, Amsal Delalic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDEP -18.5
ModelDEP -20.3
Model edgeDEP +1.8
L BUF covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
L Under
Projected score
BUF 67 · DEP 87.2
BUF 66 · DEP 53
Win probability
DEP 96%
1st half
Spread
DEP -12.2
BUF -18.0
Total
72.2
54 points
Projected score
BUF 30 · DEP 42.2
BUF 36 · DEP 18
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDEP -17.5
1 → DEP
CloseDEP -18.5
1 pt toward DEP
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BUF +1800 · DEP -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DEP -17.5 · closed DEP -18.5 · moved 1 toward DEPmodel DEP -20.5
model DEP -20.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
| DEPlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Buffalo
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +11 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
USM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
7
vs
GB
GBW 83-76
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+11.5
over 2under 0avg +11 ptslonger = bigger margin
DePaul
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CHST
CHSTW 92-62
+5.5
7
vs
STO
STOW 72-64
−14.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+10.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−11.5
over 1under 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Buffalo
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Green Bay83–76
- Wvs Southern Miss85–79
4 days since their last game.
DePaul
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stonehill72–64
- Wvs Chicago St92–62
4 days since their last game.