1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. URI @ TULN
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Rhode Island Rams at Tulane Green Wave

Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse · at Tulane
#105URIRhode Island
@
#130TULNTulane
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
URIThis seasonTULN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects URI 74–73 · win probability URI 54%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TULN has more of the edges

URI 2, TULN 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
URIBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: URI 31.0%, TULN 22.8%. Defensive: URI 68.2%, TULN 64.2%
TULNSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: URI 38.4, TULN 43.5. Allowed: URI 42.6, TULN 38.1
URISmall
URI offense vs TULN defense
Offense 123rd of 366 against a defense 180th, on the model’s ratings
TULNSmall
Home court
TULN at home. This season: TULN 0-0 at home, URI 0-0 away
TULNSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: URI 19.1%, TULN 15.4%. Forced: URI 21.2%, TULN 17.1%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: URI plays 66.5 a game (293rd fastest), TULN 68.5 (205th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: URI 50.1 and allows 50.4; TULN 49.4 and allows 50.7
Even
TULN offense vs URI defense
Offense 114th of 366 against a defense 86th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
URI hits 31.1% and allows 34.7%; TULN hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 43.5% and 45.0% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: URI 46%, TULN 40%. Transfers in: URI 3, TULN 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
URI has played the 117th-hardest schedule, TULN the 115th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—URI -1.1—
Total—146.5—
Projected score—URI 73.8 · TULN 72.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadURI -0.8—
1H total68.5—
1H projected scoreURI 34.6 · TULN 33.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rhode Island has the better starters

Position by position: Rhode Island 2, Tulane 1, even 2
Rhode IslandBetterTulane
G D. Williamson TR14.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast Score 63
Even
G K. Lewis TR18.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.1 ast Score 65
G J. Hinton12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 51
TULNSmall
G T. Nadeau TR13.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
G J. Fontenet TR6.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F T. Ringgold9.6 pts · 4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 57
G J. Tripp12 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 90
URIBig
F C. Schwieger10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 32
F M. Deniusas TR12.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 70
URISmall
F J. Chappelle TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
Rhode IslandBetterTulane
URI offense123rd of 366 · -3.2
URISmall
TULN defense180th of 366 · -4.1
URI defense86th of 366 · -0.0
Even
TULN offense114th of 366 · -2.4
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
TULNSmall
Backcourt+1.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
URIBig
Frontcourt-2.2 · 3 players
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestURI betterTULN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Rhode Island
Guards
D. Williamson37 min · TRJ. Hinton32 minJ. Fontenet28 min · TRJ. Tripp25 minJ. Harper12 minB. Loer4 min
Forwards
M. Deniusas27 min · TRM. Sow20 minJ. PerryNewN. RaupelisNewT. MartinNewD. MabilonNew
Tulane
Guards
K. Lewis36 min · TRT. Nadeau27 min · TRK. Greene15 minJ. Moore12 minR. Moore2 minR. BlountNew
Forwards
T. Ringgold25 minC. Schwieger25 minJ. Chappelle24 min · TRJ. Dumont2 min · TRL. Cronin2 min
Centers
D. SalaneNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
URITULN
Scoring
69.9 #288Points per game72.0 #239
1.05 #255Points per possession1.05 #245
66.5 #293Pace (possessions)68.5 #205
Shooting
50.1 #231Effective FG%49.4 #275
31.1 #3183-point %32.0 #279
43.5 #1033-point attempt rate45.0 #68
38.4 #92Free throw rate43.5 #14
Possessions
19.1 #326Turnover rate15.4 #99
31.0 #163Offensive rebound rate22.8 #352
11.3 #321Assists per game12.6 #244
Defense
68.2 #33Points allowed75.7 #208
1.03 #53Points allowed per possession1.11 #229
50.4 #124Opponent effective FG%50.7 #140
34.7 #232Opponent 3-point %34.5 #216
21.2 #10Turnovers forced17.1 #139
68.2 #248Defensive rebound rate64.2 #352
8.4 #20Steals per game7.5 #85
3.7 #117Blocks per game4.5 #38
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Rhode Island

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duquesne61–67
  • L@ Fordham49–61
  • Wvs Duquesne64–52
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's55–61
  • L@ St Bonaventure76–94

A week or more of rest.

Tulane

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte60–74
  • Wvs Memphis81–69
  • Lvs Memphis95–96
  • L@ Temple60–89
  • L@ South Florida62–90

A week or more of rest.