Yuengling Center · at South Florida · Conference game
Closing line
USF -15.5✓ USF covered by 12.5
USF -15.5✓ USF covered by 12.5Closing total155.5Under by 3.5
 TULN | This season | USF |
|---|---|---|
| 16-11 | Record | 19-8 |
| 13-14 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 11-16 | O/U | 13-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TULN 72–87 USF · ✓ USF (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 38 | 24 | 62 |
| USF | 49 | 41 | 90 |
1st half: TULN 38, USF 49 (USF by 11). The model had USF by 8.6 and a total of 74.3 (actual 87).
Team stats
| TULN | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-49 37% | Field goals | 30-67 45% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 21-25 84% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 22 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| TULN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Williams Jr. G | 38 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 6-16 | 5-12 |
| Rowan Brumbaugh G | 35 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-14 | 1-7 |
| Asher Woods G | 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Ringgold F | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Rasmussen G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Scotty Middleton F | 31 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Percy Daniels C | 21 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| KJ Greene G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Moore G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Robert Moore G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luke Cronin, Vasilije Kuridza, Joseph Teich, Jake Shapiro, Davion Bradford
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 36 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 9-14 | 5-10 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 35 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 35 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 31 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 5-15 | 0-3 |
| CJ Brown G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gavin Hightower G | 22 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Devin Haid G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Sanders, Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, De'Ante Green, Daimion Collins
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -14.5
1 → USF
CloseUSF -15.5
1 pt toward USF
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TULN +850 · USF -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -14.5 · closed USF -15.5 · moved 1 toward USFmodel USF -14.5
model USF -14.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USF -15.5 | USF -14.6 | TULN +0.9 | L USF covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 159.0 | Over 3.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TULN 72.2 · USF 86.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USF -8.6 | USF -11.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | TULN 32.9 · USF 41.4 | TULN 38 · USF 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| USF | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
TULN 4–2 USFTULN leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · TULN 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025-26 | USF 97 @ TULN 83 | TULN +8.5 | USF W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | USF 70 @ TULN 73 | TULN -3.5 | USF W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | TULN 72 @ USF 85 | USF -7.5 | USF W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | TULN 84 @ USF 66 | USF +4.5 | TULN W |
| Feb 15, 2021-22 | TULN 76 @ USF 57 | USF +4 | TULN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulane
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SAM | W 85-72 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs TXST | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 11 | @ UL | W 66-62 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | vs NOLA | L 63-85 | -11.5 | L −33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 21 | vs USU | L 75-96 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs BC | W 93-90 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 28 | vs NICH | W 82-72 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs GRAM | W 65-63 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 6 | vs AKR | L 71-88 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCSD | L 67-93 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LT | W 61-53 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 20 | vs PRST | W 63-61 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 31 | @ ECU | W 79-70 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 4 | vs FAU | W 69-66 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTSA | W 85-52 | -7.5 | W +25.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs UAB | L 69-82 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 18 | vs UNT | L 63-71 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 21 | @FAU | L 74-79 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @ CLT | L 70-73 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vsUSF | L 83-97 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 1 | @ MEM | W 78-76 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 8 | vs WICH | L 61-75 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 11 | vs TEM | W 77-66 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 15 | @UAB | W 55-54 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 19 | @UNT | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 22 | vs RICE | W 81-75 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 25 | vs TLSA | L 56-90 | +5.5 | L −28.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+5.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
−4.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−1.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−33.5
21
vsUSU
USUL 75-96
−12.5
23
vsBC
BCW 93-90
+5.5
28
vsNICH
NICHW 82-72
+1.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAMW 65-63
−9.5
6
vsAKR
AKRL 71-88
−10.5
13
vsUCSD
UCSDL 67-93
−20.5
17
vsLT
LTW 61-53
+3.5
20
vsPRST
PRSTW 63-61
−0.5
31
@ECU
ECUW 79-70
+7.5
4
vsFAU
FAUW 69-66
+6.5
10
@UTSA
UTSAW 85-52
+25.5
14
vsUAB
UABL 69-82
−11.5
18
vsUNT
UNTL 63-71
−9.5
21
@FAU
FAUL 74-79
+5.5
23
@CLT
CLTL 70-73
−0.5
28
vsUSF
USFL 83-97
−5.5
1
@MEM
MEMW 78-76
+10.5
8
vsWICH
WICHL 61-75
−8.5
11
vsTEM
TEMW 77-66
+9.5
15
@UAB
UABW 55-54
+7.5
19
@UNT
UNTW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsRICE
RICEW 81-75
+1.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 56-90
−28.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+2.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
+3.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−5.5
21
vsUSU
USUL 75-96
+19.5
23
vsBC
BCW 93-90
+42.5
28
vsNICH
NICHW 82-72
+5.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAMW 65-63
−20.5
6
vsAKR
AKRL 71-88
−3.5
13
vsUCSD
UCSDL 67-93
+10.5
17
vsLT
LTW 61-53
−26.5
20
vsPRST
PRSTW 63-61
−21.5
31
@ECU
ECUW 79-70
+3.5
4
vsFAU
FAUW 69-66
−23.5
10
@UTSA
UTSAW 85-52
−10.5
14
vsUAB
UABL 69-82
−2.5
18
vsUNT
UNTL 63-71
−3.5
21
@FAU
FAUL 74-79
−2.5
23
@CLT
CLTL 70-73
−0.5
28
vsUSF
USFL 83-97
+21.5
1
@MEM
MEMW 78-76
+2.5
8
vsWICH
WICHL 61-75
−12.5
11
vsTEM
TEMW 77-66
−1.5
15
@UAB
UABW 55-54
−43.5
19
@UNT
UNTW 77-71
+10.5
22
vsRICE
RICEW 81-75
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 56-90
−10.5
over 11under 16avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Florida
27 games played
Straight up
19-8
70% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vsUSU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vsECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vsWICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 22 | @UAB | W 82-69 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 25 | vsFAU | W 89-75 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 28 | @TULN | W 97-83 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | @TEM | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 4 | vsUTSA | W 109-88 | -23.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 8 | vsTLSA | W 80-74 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 170.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | @WICH | W 66-58 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 15 | @FAU | W 83-81 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsMEM | W 87-66 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 25 | @RICE | W 75-56 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
+10.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
+8.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+5.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
−10.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
−2.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
+1.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
+5.5
15
@FAU
FAUW 83-81
−2.5
19
vsMEM
MEMW 87-66
+11.5
25
@RICE
RICEW 75-56
+7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
−17.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
−2.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+21.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
+2.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
+32.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
−16.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
−36.5
15
@FAU
FAUW 83-81
−1.5
19
vsMEM
MEMW 87-66
−10.5
25
@RICE
RICEW 75-56
−26.5
over 13under 14avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulane
16-11 overall · 8-7 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tulsa56–90
- Wvs Rice81–75
- W@ North Texas77–71
- W@ UAB55–54
- Wvs Temple77–66
4 days since their last game.
South Florida
19-8 overall · 12-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rice75–56
- Wvs Memphis87–66
- W@ FAU83–81
- W@ Wichita St66–58
- Wvs Tulsa80–74
4 days since their last game.