Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama
Closing line
ALA -14.5✓ USF covered by 3.5
ALA -14.5✓ USF covered by 3.5Closing total178.5Over by 18.5
 USF | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 7-3 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 81–98 ALA · ✓ ALA (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 39 | 54 | 93 |
| ALA | 46 | 58 | 104 |
1st half: USF 39, ALA 46 (ALA by 7). The model had ALA by 9.8 and a total of 83.7 (actual 85).
Team stats
| USF | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-72 39% | Field goals | 31-69 45% |
| 10-30 33% | 3-pointers | 13-33 39% |
| 27-34 79% | Free throws | 29-35 83% |
| 46 25 off | Rebounds | 45 20 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 6 | Blocks | 7 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 25 | Fouls | 27 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 37 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 7-17 | 6-15 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 32 | 25 | 12 | 0 | 9-12 | 0-1 |
| CJ Brown G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2-11 | 0-3 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-8 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Omojafo G | 31 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Daimion Collins F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Sanders, Xavier Brown, Devin Haid, Onyx Nnani, Gavin Hightower, De'Ante Green
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 31 | 29 | 3 | 7 | 10-15 | 3-5 |
| Houston Mallette G | 25 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 24 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| London Jemison F | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aden Holloway G | 29 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 8-14 | 4-9 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 20 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Davion Hannah G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Noah Williamson C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Klark James, Jack Fagan, Collins Onyejiaka, Amari Allen, Preston Murphy Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -14.5
no move
CloseALA -14.5
No change since the open
Total
Open180.5
▼ 2
Close178.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
USF +850 · ALA -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -14.5 · unchangedmodel ALA -16.5
model ALA -16.5
Opened 180.5 · closed 178.5 · moved 2 downmodel 179
model 179
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ALA -14.5 | ALA -16.5 | ALA +2.0 | L USF covered |
| Total | 178.5 | 179.1 | Over 0.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USF 81.3 · ALA 97.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ALA -9.8 | ALA -7.0 |
| 1H total | 83.7 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | USF 37 · ALA 46.7 | USF 39 · ALA 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| ALA | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
over 5under 5avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
over 5under 5avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charleston81–75
- Wvs Utah State74–61
- Lvs Colorado St68–83
- Wvs Western KY97–91
- Lvs VCU66–78
A week or more of rest.
Alabama
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona75–96
- Wvs UTSA97–55
- Wvs Clemson90–84
- Wvs Maryland105–72
- Wvs UNLV115–76
4 days since their last game.