Madison Square Garden · at St John's
Closing line
SJU -4.5✓ ALA covered by 11.5
SJU -4.5✓ ALA covered by 11.5Closing total172.5Over by 26.5
 ALA | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALA 82–89 SJU · ✗ SJU (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 53 | 50 | 103 |
| SJU | 44 | 52 | 96 |
1st half: ALA 53, SJU 44 (ALA by 9). The model had SJU by 4.2 and a total of 79.8 (actual 97).
Team stats
| ALA | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-81 48% | Field goals | 31-63 49% |
| 11-35 31% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 28-40 70% |
| 43 14 off | Rebounds | 42 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aden Holloway G | 33 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 9-18 | 2-9 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 29 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 10-17 | 2-5 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 28 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Houston Mallette G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Allen G | 24 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 22 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Noah Williamson C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| London Jemison F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Collins Onyejiaka C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Davion Hannah G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Jack Fagan, Klark James, Keitenn Bristow, Preston Murphy Jr., Jalil Bethea
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah Sellers G | 34 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 29 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 28 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-3 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 28 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 9-12 | 2-3 |
| Joson Sanon G | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ian Jackson G | 23 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-3 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ruben Prey F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Casper Pohto G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic, Handje Tamba, Kelvin Odih, Lefteris Liotopoulos, Dylan Darling
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -6.5
2 → ALA
CloseSJU -4.5
2 pts toward ALA
Total
Open168.5
▲ 4
Close172.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ALA +165 · SJU -195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -6.5 · closed SJU -4.5 · moved 2 toward ALAmodel SJU -7
model SJU -7
Opened 168.5 · closed 172.5 · moved 4 upmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -4.5 | SJU -7.2 | SJU +2.7 | L ALA covered |
| Total | 172.5 | 170.7 | Under 1.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | ALA 81.7 · SJU 89 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -4.2 | ALA -9.0 |
| 1H total | 79.8 | 97 |
| 1H projected score | ALA 37.8 · SJU 42 | ALA 53 · SJU 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALAlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| SJUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −17.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
over 0under 1avg −17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +25.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
over 1under 0avg +25.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Dakota91–62
5 days since their last game.
St John's
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Quinnipiac108–74
5 days since their last game.