MGM Grand Garden Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
ALA -14.5✓ ALA covered by 18.5
ALA -14.5✓ ALA covered by 18.5Closing total166.5Over by 10.5
 MD | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 4-2 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 76–93 ALA · ✓ ALA (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 29 | 43 | 72 |
| ALA | 49 | 56 | 105 |
1st half: MD 29, ALA 49 (ALA by 20). The model had ALA by 10.1 and a total of 79.3 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MD | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-76 37% | Field goals | 38-66 58% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 49 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 29 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Mills G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Darius Adams G | 27 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 7-17 | 5-7 |
| Pharrel Payne F | 26 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 24 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| David Coit G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleks Alston F | 25 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 20 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Myles Rice G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Blake, Jaziah Harper, George Turkson Jr., Lukas Sotell, Solomon Washington, Rakease Passmore
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aden Holloway G | 27 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 5-9 | 5-7 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 25 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Houston Mallette G | 24 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 23 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Allen G | 28 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| London Jemison F | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Davion Hannah G | 16 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Noah Williamson C | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Martin C | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Fagan, Jalil Bethea, Klark James, Collins Onyejiaka, Keitenn Bristow, Latrell Wrightsell Jr., Preston Murphy Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -13.5
1 → ALA
CloseALA -14.5
1 pt toward ALA
Total
Open163.5
▲ 3
Close166.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MD +900 · ALA -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -13.5 · closed ALA -14.5 · moved 1 toward ALAmodel ALA -17
model ALA -17
Opened 163.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 3 upmodel 169.5
model 169.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ALA -14.5 | ALA -16.9 | ALA +2.4 | W ALA covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 169.4 | Over 2.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MD 76.3 · ALA 93.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ALA -10.1 | ALA -20.0 |
| 1H total | 79.3 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | MD 34.6 · ALA 44.7 | MD 29 · ALA 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% | 5-2 71% |
| ALAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MD 0–1 ALAALA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MD 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022-23 | MD 51 vs ALA 73 | ALA -8.5 | ALA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −6.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
over 5under 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@
SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vs
PUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vs
ILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
over 3under 3avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga61–100
- Wvs UNLV74–67
- Wvs Mount St Marys95–90
- W@ Marquette89–82
- Wvs Alcorn St84–64
1 day since their last game.
Alabama
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNLV115–76
- Lvs Gonzaga85–95
- Wvs Illinois90–86
- Lvs Purdue80–87
- W@ St John's103–96
1 day since their last game.