MGM Grand Garden Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
MD -2.5✓ MD covered by 4.5
MD -2.5✓ MD covered by 4.5Closing total164.5Under by 23.5
 UNLV | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 1-4 |
| 5-0 | O/U | 4-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNLV 81–84 MD · ✓ MD (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 30 | 37 | 67 |
| MD | 27 | 47 | 74 |
1st half: UNLV 30, MD 27 (UNLV by 3). The model had MD by 1.4 and a total of 77.4 (actual 57).
Team stats
| UNLV | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 9-31 29% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 46 16 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 39 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 38 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Issac Williamson G | 31 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 31 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Tyrin Jones F | 25 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ladji Dembele F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Walter Brown F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Al Green G | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Jalen Cunningham, Mason Abittan, Jacob Bannarbie, Myles Che, Emmanuel Stephen
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Adams G | 32 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 2-9 |
| David Coit G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 27 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Pharrel Payne F | 27 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Andre Mills G | 27 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Rice G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Aleks Alston F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rakease Passmore, Nick Blake, George Turkson Jr., Guillermo Del Pino, Jaziah Harper, Solomon Washington, Lukas Sotell
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMD -2.5
no move
CloseMD -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▲ 3
Close164.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UNLV +125 · MD -145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MD -2.5 · unchangedmodel MD -2.5 matches the line
model MD -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 161.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 3 upmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MD -2.5 | MD -2.6 | MD +0.1 | W MD covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 165.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UNLV 81.3 · MD 83.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MD -1.4 | UNLV -3.0 |
| 1H total | 77.4 | 57 |
| 1H projected score | UNLV 38 · MD 39.4 | UNLV 30 · MD 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLVlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 5-0 100% |
| MDlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNLV
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +20.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vs
UTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vs
MONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@
MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vs
JOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
over 5under 0avg +20.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +11.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vs
GTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@
MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vs
MSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
over 4under 1avg +11.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNLV
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Joseph's99–85
- W@ Memphis92–78
- Lvs Montana93–102
- Wvs Chattanooga101–69
- Lvs UT Martin81–86
4 days since their last game.
Maryland
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mount St Marys95–90
- W@ Marquette89–82
- Wvs Alcorn St84–64
- Lvs Georgetown60–70
- Wvs Coppin St83–61
5 days since their last game.