Fiserv Forum · at Marquette
Closing line
MARQ -8.5✓ MD covered by 15.5
MARQ -8.5✓ MD covered by 15.5Closing total146.5Over by 24.5
 MD | This season | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 0-3 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 72–78 MARQ · ✗ MARQ (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 42 | 47 | 89 |
| MARQ | 42 | 40 | 82 |
1st half: MD 42, MARQ 42 (tied). The model had MARQ by 3.4 and a total of 70.0 (actual 84).
Team stats
| MD | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 28-76 37% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 11-40 28% |
| 23-27 85% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 35 4 off | Rebounds | 44 20 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Saunders F | 38 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| David Coit G | 37 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 6-13 | 4-7 |
| Darius Adams G | 34 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Andre Mills G | 22 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Pharrel Payne F | 17 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Watts G | 29 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Alston F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Lukas Sotell, Myles Rice, George Turkson Jr., Rakease Passmore, Solomon Washington
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaide Lowery G | 34 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 6-19 | 2-9 |
| Ben Gold F | 33 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 6-15 | 4-10 |
| Chase Ross G | 33 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 10-19 | 4-11 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Royce Parham F | 25 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Damarius Owens SF | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Clark F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tre Norman G | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Phillips II, Casey O'Malley, Sheek Pearson, Braeden Brenn, Ian Miletic, Jonah Lucas, Sean Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMARQ -8.5
ModelMARQ -5.9
Model edgeMD +2.6
W MD covered
Total
Market146.5
Model149.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
MD 71.8 · MARQ 77.7
MD 89 · MARQ 82
Win probability
MARQ 70%
1st half
Spread
MARQ -3.4
tied
Total
70.0
84 points
Projected score
MD 33.3 · MARQ 36.7
MD 42 · MARQ 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMARQ -4.5
4 → MARQ
CloseMARQ -8.5
4 pts toward MARQ
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MD +290 · MARQ -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MARQ -4.5 · closed MARQ -8.5 · moved 4 toward MARQmodel MARQ -6
model MARQ -6
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% |
| MARQlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MD 0–1 MARQMARQ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MD 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024-25 | MARQ 78 @ MD 74 | MD -2.5 | MARQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −10.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vs
GTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
over 2under 1avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marquette
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vs
SOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vs
IU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vs
LR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
over 2under 2avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St84–64
- Lvs Georgetown60–70
- Wvs Coppin St83–61
4 days since their last game.
Marquette
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Little Rock89–49
- Lvs Indiana77–100
- Wvs Southern100–82
- Wvs UAlbany80–53
3 days since their last game.