VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St
Closing line
USF -7.5✓ USF covered by 11.5
USF -7.5✓ USF covered by 11.5Closing total177.5Over by 19.5
| USF | This season | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 86–80 KENN · ✓ USF (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 56 | 52 | 108 |
| KENN | 41 | 48 | 89 |
1st half: USF 56, KENN 41 (USF by 15). The model had USF by 3.4 and a total of 77.7 (actual 97).
Team stats
| USF | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 28-71 39% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 8-33 24% |
| 38-46 83% | Free throws | 25-39 64% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 45 23 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 25 | Fouls | 28 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 40 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 29 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| CJ Brown G | 26 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 24 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-3 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 19 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daimion Collins F | 20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Sanders F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Adriel Nyorha, Tristan Beckford, De'Ante Green, Devin Haid, Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Cottle G | 35 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 5-16 | 3-11 |
| RJ Johnson G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-2 |
| Braedan Lue F | 25 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 21 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Ramone Seals F | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Simpson F | 25 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 25 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Darius Washington III G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Dozie Onyirimba, Brendan Tousignaut, Amir Taylor, Nigel Thomas, Davin Cosby Jr., Chase Clemmons, Jamil Miller, Charles Stone, Jaden Harris, Eric Holland
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -4.5
3 → USF
CloseUSF -7.5
3 pts toward USF
Total
Open177.5
no move
Close177.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USF -360 · KENN +280
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -4.5 · closed USF -7.5 · moved 3 toward USFmodel USF -5.5
model USF -5.5
Opened 177.5 · unchangedmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USF -7.5 | USF -5.4 | KENN +2.1 | L USF covered |
| Total | 177.5 | 165.9 | Under 11.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | USF 85.7 · KENN 80.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USF -3.4 | USF -15.0 |
| 1H total | 77.7 | 97 |
| 1H projected score | USF 40.6 · KENN 37.1 | USF 56 · KENN 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USFlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| KENNlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +10.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vs
GW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vs
COPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
over 2under 1avg +10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kennesaw St
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @FAMU | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
−2.5
over 0under 1avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coppin St100–50
- Lvs G Washington95–99
- Wvs Florida A&M102–67
4 days since their last game.
Kennesaw St
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Florida A&M92–72
A week or more of rest.