College Basketball Games Sun, Nov 16, 2025

Day in numbers30 finalFavorites 11-19 ATS5 upsetsO/U 15-15Model Favorite 24-6OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games3030 final · 0 to play

Lines moved241+ pt since the open · 30 with a line

Totals moved281+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS11-1937% covered

Upsets5outright

Over / Under15-1550% over

Model Favorite24-680% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
HC vs HAMP	HC -5.5 → HAMP -4.5	10 → HAMP	149.5 → 148.5	▼ 1
AMCC @ OKST	OKST -23.5 → OKST -20.5	3 → AMCC	164.5 → 154.5	▼ 10
RAD vs CLE	RAD -4.5 → RAD -8.5	4 → RAD	154.5 → 162.5	▲ 8
LIN @ AAMU	AAMU -3.5 → AAMU -3.5	no move	157.5 → 149.5	▼ 8
UIW @ IU	IU -25.5 → IU -28.5	3 → IU	150.5 → 157.5	▲ 7
ND @ OSU	OSU -8.5 → OSU -9.5	1 → OSU	150.5 → 156.5	▲ 6
BRY @ VAL	VAL -3.5 → VAL -6.5	3 → VAL	147.5 → 143.5	▼ 4
USF @ KENN	USF -4.5 → USF -7.5	3 → USF	177.5 → 177.5	no move
CSU @ LUC	CSU -5.5 → CSU -3.5	2 → LUC	145.5 → 151.5	▲ 6
HARV @ MRST	MRST -3.5 → MRST -6.5	3 → MRST	127.5 → 130.5	▲ 3

Top 10 of 30; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalNon-conference

App State

1-2 · #259

Dartmouth

0-2 · #251

Spread

APP -1.5

✓ APP W ATS

Total

140.5 ▼2

▲ Over 162

Projected

69–70

✗ DART lost

Model: DART by 2.3 ✗ Model: Under 0.8 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Wagner

0-3 · #354

UMBC

1-1 · #264

Spread

UMBC -6.5

✓ WAG W ATS

Total

140.5 ▼6

▲ Over 141

Projected

69–77

✓ UMBC won

Model: UMBC by 1.8 ✗ Model: Over 5.3 ✓

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Wright St

1-2 · #180

Kent State

3-1 · #151

Spread

KENT -4.5

✓ WRST W ATS

Total

157.5 ▲3

▼ Under 148

Projected

81–83

✓ KENT won

Model: WRST by 2.1 ✓ Model: Over 6.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Notre Dame

3-0 · #71

Ohio State

3-0 · #33

Spread

OSU -9.5

✓ ND W ATS

Total

156.5 ▲6

▼ Under 127

Projected

76–85

✓ OSU won

Model: ND by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 4.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Stetson

0-2 · #303

W Carolina

0-2 · #215

Spread

WCU -12.5

✓ STET W ATS

Total

155.5 ▲2

▼ Under 141

Projected

72–85

✓ WCU won

Model: WCU by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Bryant

1-2 · #290

Valparaiso

2-1 · #176

Spread

VAL -6.5

✓ VAL W ATS

Total

143.5 ▼4

▼ Under 118

Projected

74–77

✓ VAL won

Model: BRY by 3.9 ✗ Model: Over 7.0 ✗

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Holy Cross

0-3 · #317

Hampton

1-2 · #159

Spread

HAMP -4.5

✓ HC W ATS

Total

148.5 ▼1

▼ Under 128

Projected

71–76

✗ HAMP lost

Model: HAMP by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.9 ✓

FinalNon-conference

South Florida

2-1 · #84

108

Kennesaw St

1-0 · #148

Spread

USF -7.5

✓ USF W ATS

Total

177.5

▲ Over 197

Projected

86–80

✓ USF won

Model: KENN by 2.1 ✗ Model: Under 11.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Samford

2-2 · #184

C Arkansas

0-2 · #240

Spread

SAM -6.5

✓ SAM W ATS

Total

151.5 ▲2

▲ Over 161

Projected

83–74

✓ SAM won

Model: SAM by 3.2 ✓ Model: Over 5.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Quinnipiac

1-2 · #241

Maine

0-3 · #323

Spread

QUIN -3.5

✓ QUIN W ATS

Total

137.5 ▼3

▼ Under 134

Projected

71–70

✓ QUIN won

Model: ME by 2.9 ✗ Model: Over 3.1 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Loyola MD

1-2 · #314

Fairfield

2-2 · #239

Spread

FAIR -5.5

✓ L-MD W ATS

Total

135.5 ▲4

▲ Over 167

Projected

68–73

✓ FAIR won

Model: L-MD by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✓

FinalNon-conference

UMass Lowell

0-3 · #307

Wake Forest

2-1 · #89

109

Spread

WAKE -30.5

✓ WAKE W ATS

Total

165.5 ▲2

▲ Over 184

Projected

67–90

✓ WAKE won

Model: UML by 7.2 ✗ Model: Under 8.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Charlotte

2-1 · #141

Virginia Tech

3-0 · #68

Spread

VT -18.5

✓ CLT W ATS

Total

145.5 ▼2

▲ Over 160

Projected

68–83

✓ VT won

Model: CLT by 3.0 ✓ Model: Over 5.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Texas A&M-CC

0-3 · #238

Oklahoma St

3-0 · #45

Spread

OKST -20.5

✓ AMCC W ATS

Total

154.5 ▼10

▼ Under 154

Projected

65–86

✓ OKST won

Model: OKST by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 3.9 ✓

FinalNon-conference

C Connecticut

1-1 · #337

UMass

2-1 · #209

Spread

MASS -12.5

✓ CCSU W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲3

▲ Over 161

Projected

67–77

✓ MASS won

Model: CCSU by 2.7 ✓ Model: Under 0.8 ✗

FinalNon-conference

W Michigan

2-1 · #187

South Dakota

1-2 · #291

Spread

SDAK -3.5

✓ SDAK W ATS

Total

172.5 ▼2

▼ Under 161

Projected

84–86

✓ SDAK won

Model: WMU by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 2.9 ✓

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Radford

1-2 · #246

Cleveland St

0-3 · #315

Spread

RAD -8.5

✓ CLE W ATS

Total

162.5 ▲8

▲ Over 169

Projected

81–79

✗ RAD lost

Model: CLE by 6.3 ✓ Model: Under 2.3 ✗

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Houston

3-0 · #2 AP #1

Auburn

3-0 · #21 AP #22

Spread

HOU -7.5

✓ AUB W ATS

Total

140.5 ▼1

▲ Over 145

Projected

75–71

✓ HOU won

Model: AUB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 6.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Tennessee St

0-1 · #245

Western KY

2-0 · #129

Spread

WKU -12.5

✓ WKU W ATS

Total

167.5

▲ Over 177

Projected

75–84

✓ WKU won

Model: TNST by 2.8 ✗ Model: Under 8.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Presbyterian

2-2 · #183

Sacramento St

0-2 · #196

Spread

SAC -6.5

✓ PRES W ATS

Total

150.5 ▼3

▼ Under 126

Projected

72–73

✓ SAC won

Model: PRES by 4.8 ✓ Model: Under 5.4 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Lindenwood Lions

1-2 · #258

Alabama A&M

1-1 · #328

Spread

AAMU -3.5

✓ AAMU W ATS

Total

149.5 ▼8

▼ Under 139

Projected

74–76

✓ AAMU won

Model: LIN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Colorado St

3-0 · #87

Loyola Chicago

1-3 · #113

Spread

CSU -3.5

✓ CSU W ATS

Total

151.5 ▲6

▼ Under 147

Projected

81–73

✓ CSU won

Model: CSU by 4.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Harvard

2-1 · #136

Marist

1-1 · #236

Spread

MRST -6.5

✓ HARV W ATS

Total

130.5 ▲3

▼ Under 110

Projected

65–69

✗ MRST lost

Model: HARV by 2.1 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

UNLV

1-2 · #98

Memphis

1-1 · #76

Spread

MEM -9.5

✓ UNLV W ATS

Total

163.5 ▲2

▲ Over 170

Projected

76–85

✗ MEM lost

Model: UNLV by 0.6 ✓ Model: Under 2.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Incarnate Word

0-1 · #289

Indiana

3-0 · #38

Spread

IU -28.5

✓ UIW W ATS

Total

157.5 ▲7

▼ Under 130

Projected

65–91

✓ IU won

Model: UIW by 2.2 ✓ Model: Under 1.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Mount St Marys

1-2 · #278

Cincinnati

3-0 · #30

Spread

CIN -25.5

✓ MSM W ATS

Total

145.5 ▼2

▼ Under 127

Projected

58–82

✓ CIN won

Model: MSM by 2.4 ✓ Model: Under 5.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Illinois St

1-2 · #116

Long Beach St

0-3 · #297

Spread

ILST -8.5

✓ LBSU W ATS

Total

141.5 ▼3

▲ Over 162

Projected

74–66

✓ ILST won

Model: LBSU by 0.1 ✓ Model: Under 1.4 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Akron

2-0 · #118

Purdue

3-0 · #23 AP #2

Spread

PUR -18.5

✓ AKR W ATS

Total

163.5 ▲4

▲ Over 176

Projected

70–92

✓ PUR won

Model: PUR by 4.0 ✗ Model: Under 1.8 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Troy

2-1 · #147

CSU Northridge

1-2 · #194

Spread

TROY -4.5

✓ CSUN W ATS

Total

157.5 ▲1

▲ Over 179

Projected

80–75

✗ TROY lost

Model: TROY by 0.3 ✗ Model: Under 2.7 ✗

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Miami

3-0 · #25

Florida

2-1 · #1 AP #10

Spread

FLA -10.5

✓ FLA W ATS

Total

171.5 ▲4

▼ Under 150

Projected

76–91

✓ FLA won

Model: FLA by 4.7 ✓ Model: Under 4.0 ✓

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	App State 1-2 · #259 85 Dartmouth 0-2 · #251 77	APP -1.5	140.5	DART -0.8	DART +2.3	139.7	Under 0.8	53% DART	L L	›
Final	Wagner 0-3 · #354 70 UMBC 1-1 · #264 71	UMBC -6.5	140.5	UMBC -8.3	UMBC +1.8	145.8	Over 5.3	76% UMBC	L W	›
Final	Wright St 1-2 · #180 72 Kent State 3-1 · #151 76	KENT -4.5	157.5	KENT -2.4	WRST +2.1	164.1	Over 6.6	58% KENT	W L	›
Final	Notre Dame 3-0 · #71 63 Ohio State 3-0 · #33 64	OSU -9.5	156.5	OSU -9.1	ND +0.4	161.1	Over 4.6	79% OSU	W L	›
Final	Stetson 0-2 · #303 65 W Carolina 0-2 · #215 76	WCU -12.5	155.5	WCU -12.7	WCU +0.2	157.1	Over 1.6	87% WCU	L L	›
Final	Bryant 1-2 · #290 50 Valparaiso 2-1 · #176 68	VAL -6.5	143.5	VAL -2.6	BRY +3.9	150.5	Over 7.0	59% VAL	L L	›
Final	Holy Cross 0-3 · #317 67 Hampton 1-2 · #159 61	HAMP -4.5	148.5	HAMP -5.0	HAMP +0.5	147.6	Under 0.9	67% HAMP	L W	›
Final	South Florida 2-1 · #84 108 Kennesaw St 1-0 · #148 89	USF -7.5	177.5	USF -5.4	KENN +2.1	165.9	Under 11.6	68% USF	L L	›
Final	Samford 2-2 · #184 84 C Arkansas 0-2 · #240 77	SAM -6.5	151.5	SAM -9.7	SAM +3.2	156.7	Over 5.2	80% SAM	W W	›
Final	Quinnipiac 1-2 · #241 70 Maine 0-3 · #323 64	QUIN -3.5	137.5	QUIN -0.6	ME +2.9	140.6	Over 3.1	52% QUIN	L L	›
Final	Loyola MD 1-2 · #314 82 Fairfield 2-2 · #239 85	FAIR -5.5	135.5	FAIR -4.6	L-MD +0.9	141.4	Over 5.9	66% FAIR	W W	›
Final	UMass Lowell 0-3 · #307 75 Wake Forest 2-1 · #89 109	WAKE -30.5	165.5	WAKE -23.3	UML +7.2	157.0	Under 8.5	98% WAKE	L L	›
Final	Charlotte 2-1 · #141 76 Virginia Tech 3-0 · #68 84	VT -18.5	145.5	VT -15.5	CLT +3.0	150.6	Over 5.1	91% VT	W W	›
Final	Texas A&M-CC 0-3 · #238 69 Oklahoma St 3-0 · #45 85	OKST -20.5	154.5	OKST -21.5	OKST +1.0	150.6	Under 3.9	97% OKST	L W	›
Final	C Connecticut 1-1 · #337 77 UMass 2-1 · #209 84	MASS -12.5	144.5	MASS -9.8	CCSU +2.7	143.7	Under 0.8	80% MASS	W L	›
Final	W Michigan 2-1 · #187 78 South Dakota 1-2 · #291 83	SDAK -3.5	172.5	SDAK -2.5	WMU +1.0	169.6	Under 2.9	59% SDAK	L W	›
Final	Radford 1-2 · #246 82 Cleveland St 0-3 · #315 87	RAD -8.5	162.5	RAD -2.2	CLE +6.3	160.2	Under 2.3	58% RAD	W L	›
Final	Houston 3-0 · #2 73 Auburn 3-0 · #21 72	HOU -7.5	140.5	HOU -4.0	AUB +3.5	146.7	Over 6.2	64% HOU	W W	›
Final	Tennessee St 0-1 · #245 82 Western KY 2-0 · #129 95	WKU -12.5	167.5	WKU -9.7	TNST +2.8	158.9	Under 8.6	80% WKU	L L	›
Final	Presbyterian 2-2 · #183 62 Sacramento St 0-2 · #196 64	SAC -6.5	150.5	SAC -1.7	PRES +4.8	145.1	Under 5.4	56% SAC	W W	›
Final	Lindenwood Lions 1-2 · #258 65 Alabama A&M 1-1 · #328 74	AAMU -3.5	149.5	AAMU -2.0	LIN +1.5	149.7	Over 0.2	57% AAMU	L L	›
Final	Colorado St 3-0 · #87 80 Loyola Chicago 1-3 · #113 67	CSU -3.5	151.5	CSU -7.6	CSU +4.1	154.0	Over 2.5	75% CSU	W L	›
Final	Harvard 2-1 · #136 56 Marist 1-1 · #236 54	MRST -6.5	130.5	MRST -4.4	HARV +2.1	134.0	Over 3.5	65% MRST	W L	›
Final	UNLV 1-2 · #98 92 Memphis 1-1 · #76 78	MEM -9.5	163.5	MEM -8.9	UNLV +0.6	160.9	Under 2.6	78% MEM	W L	›
Final	Incarnate Word 0-1 · #289 61 Indiana 3-0 · #38 69	IU -28.5	157.5	IU -26.3	UIW +2.2	155.9	Under 1.6	99% IU	W W	›
Final	Mount St Marys 1-2 · #278 55 Cincinnati 3-0 · #30 72	CIN -25.5	145.5	CIN -23.1	MSM +2.4	139.9	Under 5.6	98% CIN	W W	›
Final	Illinois St 1-2 · #116 82 Long Beach St 0-3 · #297 80	ILST -8.5	141.5	ILST -8.4	LBSU +0.1	140.1	Under 1.4	77% ILST	W L	›
Final	Akron 2-0 · #118 79 Purdue 3-0 · #23 97	PUR -18.5	163.5	PUR -22.5	PUR +4.0	161.7	Under 1.8	98% PUR	L L	›
Final	Troy 2-1 · #147 85 CSU Northridge 1-2 · #194 94	TROY -4.5	157.5	TROY -4.8	TROY +0.3	154.8	Under 2.7	66% TROY	L L	›
Final	Miami 3-0 · #25 68 Florida 2-1 · #1 82	FLA -10.5	171.5	FLA -15.2	FLA +4.7	167.5	Under 4.0	91% FLA	W W	›

Day in numbers30 finalFavorites 11-19 ATS5 upsetsO/U 15-15Model Favorite 24-6OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Sunday, November 16, 2025

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