College Basketball Games Thu, Nov 6, 2025

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Day in numbers25 finalFavorites 10-15 ATS4 upsetsO/U 10-15Model Favorite 21-4OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2525 final · 0 to play

Lines moved171+ pt since the open · 25 with a line

Totals moved251+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS10-1540% covered

Upsets4outright

Over / Under10-1540% over

Model Favorite21-484% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
UNF @ FLA	FLA -37.5 → FLA -43.5	6 → FLA	168.5 → 169.5	▲ 1
JKST @ LOU	LOU -33.5 → LOU -38.5	5 → LOU	162.5 → 165.5	▲ 3
ALCN @ USA	USA -14.5 → USA -18.5	4 → USA	144.5 → 141.5	▼ 3
UCR @ UND	UND -1.5 → UND -1.5	no move	153.5 → 146.5	▼ 7
LIU @ IUIN	IUIN -3.5 → IUIN -4.5	1 → IUIN	179.5 → 185.5	▲ 6
ILST @ OHIO	ILST -1.5 → OHIO -1.5	3 → OHIO	158.5 → 161.5	▲ 3
NWST @ UNT	UNT -14.5 → UNT -11.5	3 → NWST	138.5 → 137.5	▼ 1
UAPB @ PORT	PORT -15.5 → PORT -12.5	3 → UAPB	161.5 → 164.5	▲ 3
AMCC @ SMU	SMU -22.5 → SMU -23.5	1 → SMU	155.5 → 160.5	▲ 5
CIT @ BC	BC -17.5 → BC -15.5	2 → CIT	143.5 → 144.5	▲ 1

Top 10 of 25; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalNon-conference

Long Island

0-1 · #324

IU Indy

0-1 · #340

Spread

IUIN -4.5

✓ LIU W ATS

Total

185.5 ▲6

▼ Under 184

Projected

78–78

✗ IUIN lost

Model: LIU by 4.3 ✓ Model: Under 30.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Jackson St

0-1 · #280

Louisville

1-0 · #14 AP #11

106

Spread

LOU -38.5

✓ JKST W ATS

Total

165.5 ▲3

▲ Over 176

Projected

61–93

✓ LOU won

Model: JKST by 6.9 ✓ Model: Under 11.4 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Campbell

0-1 · #243

West Virginia

1-0 · #47

Spread

WVU -15.5

✓ CAM W ATS

Total

138.5 ▼2

▼ Under 138

Projected

62–80

✓ WVU won

Model: WVU by 2.3 ✗ Model: Over 2.9 ✗

FinalNon-conference

The Citadel

0-0 · #339

Boston College

0-1 · #95

Spread

BC -15.5

✓ BC W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲1

▼ Under 123

Projected

65–84

✓ BC won

Model: BC by 3.3 ✓ Model: Over 4.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Illinois St

0-0 · #116

Ohio

0-1 · #128

Spread

OHIO -1.5

✓ OHIO W ATS

Total

161.5 ▲3

▼ Under 140

Projected

78–79

✓ OHIO won

Model: ILST by 0.6 ✗ Model: Under 5.4 ✓

FinalNon-conference

C Connecticut

0-0 · #337

Quinnipiac

0-1 · #241

Spread

QUIN -9.5

✓ QUIN W ATS

Total

150.5 ▼1

▼ Under 120

Projected

70–79

✓ QUIN won

Model: CCSU by 0.9 ✗ Model: Under 1.3 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Le Moyne

0-0 · #332

Xavier

1-0 · #49

Spread

XAV -24.5

✓ LEM W ATS

Total

156.5 ▼1

▼ Under 143

Projected

64–91

✓ XAV won

Model: XAV by 2.7 ✗ Model: Under 2.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Bethune

0-1 · #202

Miami

1-0 · #25

101

Spread

MIA -16.5

✓ MIA W ATS

Total

154.5 ▲1

▲ Over 162

Projected

74–85

✓ MIA won

Model: BCU by 5.6 ✗ Model: Over 4.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Robert Morris

0-1 · #168

Drake

1-0 · #144

Spread

DRKE -7.5

✓ RMU W ATS

Total

151.5 ▲1

▲ Over 160

Projected

67–77

✗ DRKE lost

Model: DRKE by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 7.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

North Florida

0-0 · #333

Florida

0-1 · #1 AP #3

104

Spread

FLA -43.5

✓ UNF W ATS

Total

169.5 ▲1

▼ Under 168

Projected

63–104

✓ FLA won

Model: UNF by 2.1 ✓ Model: Under 3.0 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Grambling

0-0 · #338

Iowa State

1-0 · #13 AP #16

102

Spread

ISU -33.5

✓ ISU W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲3

▲ Over 164

Projected

52–87

✓ ISU won

Model: ISU by 1.7 ✓ Model: Under 6.0 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Merrimack

0-1 · #225

Auburn

1-0 · #21 AP #20

Spread

AUB -23.5

✓ AUB W ATS

Total

148.5 ▲3

▲ Over 152

Projected

61–90

✓ AUB won

Model: AUB by 5.6 ✓ Model: Over 2.7 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Alcorn St

0-1 · #360

South Alabama

1-0 · #228

Spread

USA -18.5

✓ ALCN W ATS

Total

141.5 ▼3

▲ Over 146

Projected

64–79

✓ USA won

Model: ALCN by 3.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.0 ✓

FinalNon-conference

N'Western St

0-1 · #318

North Texas

0-0 · #112

Spread

UNT -11.5

✓ UNT W ATS

Total

137.5 ▼1

▼ Under 133

Projected

62–76

✓ UNT won

Model: UNT by 2.8 ✓ Model: Under 0.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Texas Southern

0-1 · #322

Texas A&M

1-0 · #28

104

Spread

TA&M -29.5

✓ TA&M W ATS

Total

161.5 ▲1

▲ Over 174

Projected

61–90

✓ TA&M won

Model: TXSO by 0.3 ✗ Model: Under 10.1 ✗

FinalNon-conference

UC Riverside

0-0 · #281

North Dakota

0-1 · #336

Spread

UND -1.5

✓ UCR W ATS

Total

146.5 ▼7

▼ Under 144

Projected

76–76

✗ UND lost

Model: UCR by 1.2 ✓ Model: Over 5.7 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Omaha

0-1 · #279

Abilene Chrstn

0-0 · #253

Spread

ACU -4.5

✓ OMA W ATS

Total

150.5 ▼2

▼ Under 144

Projected

74–77

✓ ACU won

Model: OMA by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 0.3 ✗

FinalNon-conference

CSU Northridge

0-0 · #194

Northern Iowa

0-0 · #131

Spread

UNI -9.5

✓ UNI W ATS

Total

153.5 ▲1

▼ Under 143

Projected

69–77

✓ UNI won

Model: CSUN by 1.4 ✗ Model: Under 7.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Texas A&M-CC

0-0 · #238

SMU

1-0 · #55

Spread

SMU -23.5

✓ AMCC W ATS

Total

160.5 ▲5

▼ Under 127

Projected

67–87

✓ SMU won

Model: AMCC by 2.8 ✓ Model: Under 6.7 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Chicago St

0-1 · #362

Saint Louis

1-0 · #69

108

Spread

SLU -30.5

✓ CHST W ATS

Total

155.5 ▲3

▲ Over 194

Projected

64–89

✓ SLU won

Model: CHST by 4.8 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Saint Francis Red Wolves

0-1 · #88

TCU

0-1 · #40

104

Spread

TCU -27.5

✓ TCU W ATS

Total

153.5 ▲4

▲ Over 167

Projected

60–87

✓ TCU won

Model: SFPA by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 6.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Mercyhurst

0-1 · #331

Loyola Chicago

1-0 · #113

Spread

LUC -21.5

✓ MERC W ATS

Total

144.5 ▼1

▼ Under 138

Projected

63–81

✗ LUC lost

Model: MERC by 3.2 ✓ Model: Under 0.3 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Denver

0-1 · #263

Washington

1-0 · #56

Spread

WASH -27.5

✓ DEN W ATS

Total

153.5 ▼1

▲ Over 154

Projected

64–91

✓ WASH won

Model: DEN by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 1.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Wright St

0-0 · #180

California

1-0 · #92

Spread

CAL -14.5

✓ WRST W ATS

Total

148.5 ▼4

▼ Under 144

Projected

70–86

✓ CAL won

Model: CAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 6.9 ✗

FinalNon-conference

AR-Pine Bluff

0-1 · #363

Portland

0-0 · #169

Spread

PORT -12.5

✓ UAPB W ATS

Total

164.5 ▲3

▼ Under 157

Projected

70–85

✓ PORT won

Model: PORT by 1.9 ✗ Model: Under 9.7 ✓

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Long Island 0-1 · #324 94 IU Indy 0-1 · #340 90	IUIN -4.5	185.5	IUIN -0.2	LIU +4.3	155.4	Under 30.1	51% IUIN	W W	›
Final	Jackson St 0-1 · #280 70 Louisville 1-0 · #14 106	LOU -38.5	165.5	LOU -31.6	JKST +6.9	154.1	Under 11.4	100% LOU	W L	›
Final	Campbell 0-1 · #243 65 West Virginia 1-0 · #47 73	WVU -15.5	138.5	WVU -17.8	WVU +2.3	141.4	Over 2.9	94% WVU	L L	›
Final	The Citadel 0-0 · #339 47 Boston College 0-1 · #95 76	BC -15.5	144.5	BC -18.8	BC +3.3	148.7	Over 4.2	95% BC	W L	›
Final	Illinois St 0-0 · #116 68 Ohio 0-1 · #128 72	OHIO -1.5	161.5	OHIO -0.9	ILST +0.6	156.1	Under 5.4	53% OHIO	L W	›
Final	C Connecticut 0-0 · #337 49 Quinnipiac 0-1 · #241 71	QUIN -9.5	150.5	QUIN -8.6	CCSU +0.9	149.2	Under 1.3	77% QUIN	L W	›
Final	Le Moyne 0-0 · #332 69 Xavier 1-0 · #49 74	XAV -24.5	156.5	XAV -27.2	XAV +2.7	154.3	Under 2.2	99% XAV	L W	›
Final	Bethune 0-1 · #202 61 Miami 1-0 · #25 101	MIA -16.5	154.5	MIA -10.9	BCU +5.6	158.7	Over 4.2	83% MIA	L W	›
Final	Robert Morris 0-1 · #168 81 Drake 1-0 · #144 79	DRKE -7.5	151.5	DRKE -10.0	DRKE +2.5	144.0	Under 7.5	81% DRKE	L L	›
Final	North Florida 0-0 · #333 64 Florida 0-1 · #1 104	FLA -43.5	169.5	FLA -41.4	UNF +2.1	166.5	Under 3.0	100% FLA	W W	›
Final	Grambling 0-0 · #338 62 Iowa State 1-0 · #13 102	ISU -33.5	144.5	ISU -35.2	ISU +1.7	138.5	Under 6.0	100% ISU	W L	›
Final	Merrimack 0-1 · #225 57 Auburn 1-0 · #21 95	AUB -23.5	148.5	AUB -29.1	AUB +5.6	151.2	Over 2.7	99% AUB	W W	›
Final	Alcorn St 0-1 · #360 70 South Alabama 1-0 · #228 76	USA -18.5	141.5	USA -15.4	ALCN +3.1	143.5	Over 2.0	91% USA	W W	›
Final	N'Western St 0-1 · #318 53 North Texas 0-0 · #112 80	UNT -11.5	137.5	UNT -14.3	UNT +2.8	137.3	Under 0.2	89% UNT	W W	›
Final	Texas Southern 0-1 · #322 70 Texas A&M 1-0 · #28 104	TA&M -29.5	161.5	TA&M -29.3	TXSO +0.3	151.4	Under 10.1	99% TA&M	L L	›
Final	UC Riverside 0-0 · #281 74 North Dakota 0-1 · #336 70	UND -1.5	146.5	UND -0.3	UCR +1.2	152.2	Over 5.7	51% UND	W L	›
Final	Omaha 0-1 · #279 71 Abilene Chrstn 0-0 · #253 73	ACU -4.5	150.5	ACU -3.6	OMA +0.9	150.8	Over 0.3	63% ACU	W L	›
Final	CSU Northridge 0-0 · #194 57 Northern Iowa 0-0 · #131 86	UNI -9.5	153.5	UNI -8.1	CSUN +1.4	146.3	Under 7.2	76% UNI	L W	›
Final	Texas A&M-CC 0-0 · #238 58 SMU 1-0 · #55 69	SMU -23.5	160.5	SMU -20.8	AMCC +2.8	153.8	Under 6.7	97% SMU	W W	›
Final	Chicago St 0-1 · #362 86 Saint Louis 1-0 · #69 108	SLU -30.5	155.5	SLU -25.7	CHST +4.8	153.0	Under 2.5	99% SLU	W L	›
Final	Saint Francis Red Wolves 0-1 · #88 63 TCU 0-1 · #40 104	TCU -27.5	153.5	TCU -26.5	SFPA +1.0	147.3	Under 6.2	99% TCU	L L	›
Final	Mercyhurst 0-1 · #331 73 Loyola Chicago 1-0 · #113 65	LUC -21.5	144.5	LUC -18.3	MERC +3.2	144.2	Under 0.3	94% LUC	W W	›
Final	Denver 0-1 · #263 70 Washington 1-0 · #56 84	WASH -27.5	153.5	WASH -26.9	DEN +0.6	154.6	Over 1.1	99% WASH	W W	›
Final	Wright St 0-0 · #180 67 California 1-0 · #92 77	CAL -14.5	148.5	CAL -16.0	CAL +1.5	155.4	Over 6.9	92% CAL	L L	›
Final	AR-Pine Bluff 0-1 · #363 74 Portland 0-0 · #169 83	PORT -12.5	164.5	PORT -14.4	PORT +1.9	154.8	Under 9.7	90% PORT	L W	›

Day in numbers25 finalFavorites 10-15 ATS4 upsetsO/U 10-15Model Favorite 21-4OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Thursday, November 6, 2025

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