Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington
Closing line
WASH -27.5✓ DEN covered by 13.5
Closing total153.5Over by 0.5
| This season | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 64–91 WASH · ✓ WASH (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 28 | 42 | 70 |
| WASH | 37 | 47 | 84 |
1st half: DEN 28, WASH 37 (WASH by 9). The model had WASH by 16.2 and a total of 72.3 (actual 65).
Team stats
| DEN | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 2 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 37 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 33 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Julius Rollins G | 31 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 31 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-7 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 28 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shaun Wysocki F | 20 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Didier Maleng F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Corleone Dandridge G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Lee G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Zane Nelson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Ian Motta, Loch Cunningham, Devin Carney
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 35 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 30 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| JJ Mandaquit G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 18 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Jasir Rencher F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Ognacevic, BJ Roy, Christian Nitu, Courtland Muldrew, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWASH -26.5
1 → WASH
CloseWASH -27.5
1 pt toward WASH
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WASH -26.5 · closed WASH -27.5 · moved 1 toward WASHmodel WASH -27
model WASH -27
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WASH -27.5 | WASH -26.9 | DEN +0.6 | W DEN covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.6 | Over 1.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | DEN 63.8 · WASH 90.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WASH -16.2 | WASH -9.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | DEN 28.1 · WASH 44.3 | DEN 28 · WASH 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | |
| 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +20.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SEA
L 73-84
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
SEA
L 73-84
+20.5
over 1under 0avg +20.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UAPB
W 94-50
+9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UAPB
W 94-50
−16.5
over 0under 1avg −16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seattle U73–84
3 days since their last game.
Washington
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff94–50
3 days since their last game.