KFC Yum! Center · at Louisville
Closing line
LOU -38.5✓ JKST covered by 2.5
LOU -38.5✓ JKST covered by 2.5Closing total165.5Over by 10.5
 JKST | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JKST 61–93 LOU · ✓ LOU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JKST | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| LOU | 55 | 51 | 106 |
1st half: JKST 35, LOU 55 (LOU by 20). The model had LOU by 19.1 and a total of 72.1 (actual 90).
Team stats
| JKST | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 35-67 52% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 26-35 74% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 49 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 24 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| JKST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeshun Ruffin G | 33 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 8-20 | 3-8 |
| Jayme Mitchell Jr. G | 28 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 8-10 | 2-2 |
| Dorian McMillian G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 4-9 |
| Deyan Kolev F | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Devin Ree F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Williams G | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Jalen Tatum G | 21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Kobe Butler F | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Delyle Williams G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Kedrick Simmons F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tamarion Hoover, Keiveon Hunt, Dionjahe Thomas, Ebo Wilson, Raevon Thomas, Cael Jones
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 27 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 26 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Khani Rooths F | 24 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Sananda Fru F | 19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kobe Rodgers G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Adrian Wooley G | 18 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Kasean Pryor F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole Sherman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Hanke G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Spencer Legg, Mouhamed Camara, J'Vonne Hadley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLOU -38.5
ModelLOU -31.6
Model edgeJKST +6.9
W JKST covered
Total
Market165.5
Model154.1
Model edgeUnder 11.4
L Over
Projected score
JKST 61.3 · LOU 92.8
JKST 70 · LOU 106
Win probability
LOU 100%
1st half
Spread
LOU -19.1
LOU -20.0
Total
72.1
90 points
Projected score
JKST 26.5 · LOU 45.6
JKST 35 · LOU 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -33.5
5 → LOU
CloseLOU -38.5
5 pts toward LOU
Total
Open162.5
▲ 3
Close165.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -33.5 · closed LOU -38.5 · moved 5 toward LOUmodel LOU -31.5
model LOU -31.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 3 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JKSTlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| LOUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jackson St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −29.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ILL | L 55-113 | +28.5 | L −29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ILL
ILLL 55-113
−29.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −29.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ILL
ILLL 55-113
+10.5
over 1under 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +23.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
over 0under 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jackson St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois55–113
3 days since their last game.
Louisville
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State104–45
3 days since their last game.