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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Tuesday, November 4, 2025

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Day in numbers20 finalFavorites 9-11 ATS2 upsetsO/U 9-11Model Favorite 18-2OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2020 final · 0 to play
Lines moved191+ pt since the open · 20 with a line
Totals moved181+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS9-1145% covered
Upsets2outright
Over / Under9-1145% over
Model Favorite18-290% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
ALCN @ FSUFSU -19.5 → FSU -27.58 → FSU148.5 → 156.5▲ 8
LBSU @ SDSUSDSU -20.5 → SDSU -25.55 → SDSU138.5 → 135.5▼ 3
EVAN @ PURPUR -29.5 → PUR -33.54 → PUR147.5 → 150.5▲ 3
ORU @ OKSTOKST -19.5 → OKST -20.51 → OKST157.5 → 165.5▲ 8
RMU @ IOWAIOWA -19.5 → IOWA -22.53 → IOWA143.5 → 136.5▼ 7
NICH @ UKUK -30.5 → UK -31.51 → UK151.5 → 157.5▲ 6
UNCG @ KSUKSU -15.5 → KSU -18.53 → KSU142.5 → 148.5▲ 6
TEX vs DUKEDUKE -7.5 → DUKE -10.53 → DUKE150.5 → 153.5▲ 3
NCAT @ SCSC -20.5 → SC -22.52 → SC143.5 → 143.5no move
NJIT @ FORFOR -12.5 → FOR -14.52 → FOR144.5 → 147.5▲ 3
Top 10 of 19; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalNon-conference
Evansville
0-0 · #255
51
Purdue
0-0 · #23 AP #1
82
Spread
PUR -33.5
✓ EVAN W ATS
Total
150.5 ▲3
▼ Under 133
Projected
55–94
✓ PUR won
Model: PUR by 5.6 ✗ Model: Under 1.2 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Nicholls
0-0 · #285
51
Kentucky
0-0 · #19 AP #9
77
Spread
UK -31.5
✓ NICH W ATS
Total
157.5 ▲6
▼ Under 128
Projected
61–94
✓ UK won
Model: UK by 0.8 ✗ Model: Under 2.8 ✓
FinalNon-conference
NC A&T
0-0 · #275
72
South Carolina
0-0 · #79
91
Spread
SC -22.5
✓ NCAT W ATS
Total
143.5
▲ Over 163
Projected
61–84
✓ SC won
Model: SC by 0.7 ✗ Model: Over 1.8 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Alcorn St
0-0 · #360
76
Florida St
0-0 · #81
108
Spread
FSU -27.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
156.5 ▲8
▲ Over 184
Projected
61–85
✓ FSU won
Model: ALCN by 3.6 ✗ Model: Under 10.7 ✗
FinalNon-conference
NJIT
0-0 · #316
72
Fordham
0-0 · #100
61
Spread
FOR -14.5
✓ NJIT W ATS
Total
147.5 ▲3
▼ Under 133
Projected
66–82
✗ FOR lost
Model: FOR by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
FinalNon-conference
GA Southern
0-0 · #296
89
East Carolina
0-0 · #145
92
Spread
ECU -5.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲3
▲ Over 181
Projected
70–81
✓ ECU won
Model: ECU by 5.8 ✗ Model: Under 0.7 ✗
FinalNon-conference
Mount St Marys
0-0 · #278
54
West Virginia
0-0 · #47
70
Spread
WVU -19.5
✓ MSM W ATS
Total
136.5 ▼1
▼ Under 124
Projected
59–82
✓ WVU won
Model: WVU by 3.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.7 ✗
FinalNon-conference
UNC Asheville
0-0 · #271
58
Wichita St
0-0 · #77
75
Spread
WICH -6.5
✓ WICH W ATS
Total
157.5 ▲2
▼ Under 133
Projected
73–83
✓ WICH won
Model: WICH by 3.1 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Lindenwood Lions
0-0 · #258
60
Texas Tech
0-0 · #12 AP #10
98
Spread
TTU -29.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲2
▲ Over 158
Projected
57–93
✓ TTU won
Model: TTU by 7.0 ✓ Model: Over 2.9 ✓
FinalNon-conference
E Illinois
0-0 · #361
63
Valparaiso
0-0 · #176
66
Spread
VAL -5.5
✓ EIU W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲1
▼ Under 129
Projected
67–76
✓ VAL won
Model: VAL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.1 ✓
FinalNon-conference
UNC Greensboro
0-0 · #284
64
Kansas St
0-0 · #83
93
Spread
KSU -18.5
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲6
▲ Over 157
Projected
64–84
✓ KSU won
Model: KSU by 1.8 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Oral Roberts
0-0 · #305
71
Oklahoma St
0-0 · #45
95
Spread
OKST -20.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
165.5 ▲8
▲ Over 166
Projected
65–93
✓ OKST won
Model: OKST by 7.5 ✓ Model: Under 7.2 ✗
FinalNon-conference
Robert Morris
0-0 · #168
69
Iowa
0-0 · #43
101
Spread
IOWA -22.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
136.5 ▼7
▲ Over 170
Projected
68–89
✓ IOWA won
Model: RMU by 1.6 ✗ Model: Over 19.7 ✓
FinalNon-conference · Neutral site
Texas
0-0 · #11
60
Duke
0-0 · #3 AP #6
75
Spread
DUKE -10.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
153.5 ▲3
▼ Under 135
Projected
71–80
✓ DUKE won
Model: TEX by 1.1 ✗ Model: Under 3.0 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Southern Utah
0-0 · #267
64
Arizona St
0-0 · #60
81
Spread
ASU -17.5
✓ SUU W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲1
▼ Under 145
Projected
66–86
✓ ASU won
Model: ASU by 3.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.1 ✗
FinalNon-conference
Louisiana Tech
0-0 · #244
50
Nevada
0-0 · #96
77
Spread
NEV -9.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
136.5
▼ Under 127
Projected
66–76
✓ NEV won
Model: NEV by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 5.4 ✗
FinalNon-conference
Long Beach St
0-0 · #297
45
San Diego St
0-0 · #75
77
Spread
SDSU -25.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
135.5 ▼3
▼ Under 122
Projected
59–81
✓ SDSU won
Model: LBSU by 2.7 ✗ Model: Over 4.4 ✗
FinalNon-conference
UT Martin
0-0 · #341
86
UNLV
0-0 · #98
81
Spread
UNLV -16.5
✓ UTM W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲2
▲ Over 167
Projected
65–83
✗ UNLV lost
Model: UNLV by 2.2 ✗ Model: Over 1.3 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Portland St
0-0 · #274
79
Stanford
0-0 · #85
89
Spread
STAN -11.5
✓ PRST W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲1
▲ Over 168
Projected
67–79
✓ STAN won
Model: STAN by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.9 ✓
FinalNon-conference
Hawai'i
0-0 · #140
59
Oregon
0-0 · #57
60
Spread
ORE -11.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
144.5 ▼1
▼ Under 119
Projected
66–84
✓ ORE won
Model: ORE by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.6 ✗
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Evansville
0-0 · #255
51
Purdue
0-0 · #23
82
 PUR -33.5 150.5 PUR -39.1 PUR +5.6 149.3 Under 1.2 100% PUR L W ›
Final
Nicholls
0-0 · #285
51
Kentucky
0-0 · #19
77
 UK -31.5 157.5 UK -32.3 UK +0.8 154.7 Under 2.8 100% UK L W ›
Final
NC A&T
0-0 · #275
72
South Carolina
0-0 · #79
91
 SC -22.5 143.5 SC -23.2 SC +0.7 145.3 Over 1.8 98% SC L W ›
Final
Alcorn St
0-0 · #360
76
Florida St
0-0 · #81
108
 FSU -27.5 156.5 FSU -23.9 ALCN +3.6 145.8 Under 10.7 98% FSU L L ›
Final
NJIT
0-0 · #316
72
Fordham
0-0 · #100
61
 FOR -14.5 147.5 FOR -15.6 FOR +1.1 148.0 Over 0.5 91% FOR L L ›
Final
GA Southern
0-0 · #296
89
East Carolina
0-0 · #145
92
 ECU -5.5 151.5 ECU -11.3 ECU +5.8 150.8 Under 0.7 84% ECU L L ›
Final
Mount St Marys
0-0 · #278
54
West Virginia
0-0 · #47
70
 WVU -19.5 136.5 WVU -22.9 WVU +3.4 141.2 Over 4.7 98% WVU L L ›
Final
UNC Asheville
0-0 · #271
58
Wichita St
0-0 · #77
75
 WICH -6.5 157.5 WICH -9.6 WICH +3.1 155.8 Under 1.7 80% WICH W W ›
Final
Lindenwood Lions
0-0 · #258
60
Texas Tech
0-0 · #12
98
 TTU -29.5 146.5 TTU -36.5 TTU +7.0 149.4 Over 2.9 100% TTU W W ›
Final
E Illinois
0-0 · #361
63
Valparaiso
0-0 · #176
66
 VAL -5.5 144.5 VAL -9.0 VAL +3.5 143.4 Under 1.1 78% VAL L W ›
Final
UNC Greensboro
0-0 · #284
64
Kansas St
0-0 · #83
93
 KSU -18.5 148.5 KSU -20.3 KSU +1.8 148.5 — 96% KSU W ›
Final
Oral Roberts
0-0 · #305
71
Oklahoma St
0-0 · #45
95
 OKST -20.5 165.5 OKST -28.0 OKST +7.5 158.3 Under 7.2 99% OKST W L ›
Final
Robert Morris
0-0 · #168
69
Iowa
0-0 · #43
101
 IOWA -22.5 136.5 IOWA -20.9 RMU +1.6 156.2 Over 19.7 97% IOWA L W ›
Final
Texas
0-0 · #11
60
Duke
0-0 · #3
75
 DUKE -10.5 153.5 DUKE -9.4 TEX +1.1 150.5 Under 3.0 79% DUKE L W ›
Final
Southern Utah
0-0 · #267
64
Arizona St
0-0 · #60
81
 ASU -17.5 151.5 ASU -20.6 ASU +3.1 151.6 Over 0.1 96% ASU L L ›
Final
Louisiana Tech
0-0 · #244
50
Nevada
0-0 · #96
77
 NEV -9.5 136.5 NEV -9.6 NEV +0.1 141.9 Over 5.4 80% NEV W L ›
Final
Long Beach St
0-0 · #297
45
San Diego St
0-0 · #75
77
 SDSU -25.5 135.5 SDSU -22.8 LBSU +2.7 139.9 Over 4.4 98% SDSU L L ›
Final
UT Martin
0-0 · #341
86
UNLV
0-0 · #98
81
 UNLV -16.5 146.5 UNLV -18.7 UNLV +2.2 147.8 Over 1.3 95% UNLV L W ›
Final
Portland St
0-0 · #274
79
Stanford
0-0 · #85
89
 STAN -11.5 144.5 STAN -11.6 STAN +0.1 145.4 Over 0.9 85% STAN L W ›
Final
Hawai'i
0-0 · #140
59
Oregon
0-0 · #57
60
 ORE -11.5 144.5 ORE -18.0 ORE +6.5 150.1 Over 5.6 94% ORE L L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record