Tucker Center · at Florida St
Closing line
FSU -27.5✓ FSU covered by 4.5
FSU -27.5✓ FSU covered by 4.5Closing total156.5Over by 27.5
 ALCN | This season | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 61–85 FSU · ✓ FSU (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 44 | 32 | 76 |
| FSU | 58 | 50 | 108 |
1st half: ALCN 44, FSU 58 (FSU by 14). The model had FSU by 14.4 and a total of 68.3 (actual 102).
Team stats
| ALCN | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 39-70 56% |
| 8-16 50% | 3-pointers | 13-30 43% |
| 16-27 59% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 36 14 off |
| 11 | Assists | 24 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 23 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Woodard SF | 30 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Davian Williams PG | 28 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 27 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Mike Jones SG | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jameel Morris G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 17 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| William Henderson F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryson Calamese, Alex Hawkins, Ray Glasgow
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray V G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Lajae Jones G | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Alex Steen F | 17 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Cam Miles G | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-2 |
| Alier Maluk F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| AJ Swinton F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Shah Muhammad F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Crawford G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Max Garcia-Plata, Xavier Osceola
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFSU -27.5
ModelFSU -23.9
Model edgeALCN +3.6
L FSU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model145.8
Model edgeUnder 10.7
L Over
Projected score
ALCN 61 · FSU 84.8
ALCN 76 · FSU 108
Win probability
FSU 98%
1st half
Spread
FSU -14.4
FSU -14.0
Total
68.3
102 points
Projected score
ALCN 27 · FSU 41.3
ALCN 44 · FSU 58
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -19.5
8 → FSU
CloseFSU -27.5
8 pts toward FSU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 8
Close156.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
ALCN +3500 · FSU -50000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -19.5 · closed FSU -27.5 · moved 8 toward FSUmodel FSU -24
model FSU -24
Opened 148.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 8 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| FSU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
31 games played
Straight up
11-20
35% wins
Against the spread
18-13
58% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UTAH | L 59-100 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | @ USU | L 46-101 | +28.5 | L −26.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | @ TULN | L 51-84 | +21.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 19 | @ TCU | L 48-71 | +31.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 22 | @ WASH | L 60-77 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCR | L 52-69 | +17.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ USA | L 65-74 | +17.5 | W +8.5 | 131.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 1 | @ MD | L 58-96 | +34.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 4 | @ WICH | L 54-78 | +24.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ OU | L 78-94 | +31.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @ RICE | L 75-77 | +15.5 | W +13.5 | 136.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 4 | vs JKST | L 69-72 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 11 | vs AAMU | W 62-52 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 13 | vs ALST | W 67-65 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 18 | @ TXSO | L 57-66 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 20 | @ PV | W 78-70 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 25 | vs FAMU | L 64-65 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 27 | vs BCU | W 70-61 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 1 | @ SOU | L 69-74 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 3 | @ GRAM | W 60-53 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 8 | vs UAPB | W 79-60 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | vs MVSU | W 86-39 | -17.5 | W +29.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 15 | @BCU | W 78-74 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 17 | @FAMU | L 76-85 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 22 | @JKST | L 63-71 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 1 | vsPV | W 71-55 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Mar 3 | vsTXSO | L 59-75 | -0.5 | L −16.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Mar 6 | @MVSU | W 72-64 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | O 136 |
| Mar 8 | @UAPB | W 65-63 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 13 | vsBCU | L 60-69 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UTAH
UTAHL 59-100
−17.5
6
@USU
USUL 46-101
−26.5
11
@TULN
TULNL 51-84
−11.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 48-71
+8.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 60-77
+9.5
24
@UCR
UCRL 52-69
+0.5
29
@USA
USAL 65-74
+8.5
1
@MD
MDL 58-96
−3.5
4
@WICH
WICHL 54-78
+0.5
7
@OU
OUL 78-94
+15.5
16
@RICE
RICEL 75-77
+13.5
22
@UAB
UABL 74-91
+4.5
4
vsJKST
JKSTL 69-72
−0.5
11
vsAAMU
AAMUW 62-52
+6.5
13
vsALST
ALSTW 67-65
+5.5
18
@TXSO
TXSOL 57-66
−0.5
20
@PV
PVW 78-70
+11.5
25
vsFAMU
FAMUL 64-65
−5.5
27
vsBCU
BCUW 70-61
+11.5
1
@SOU
SOUL 69-74
+7.5
3
@GRAM
GRAMW 60-53
+12.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 79-60
+11.5
10
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-39
+29.5
15
@BCU
BCUW 78-74
+10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 76-85
−5.5
22
@JKST
JKSTL 63-71
−1.5
1
vsPV
PVW 71-55
+6.5
3
vsTXSO
TXSOL 59-75
−16.5
6
@MVSU
MVSUW 72-64
−10.5
8
@UAPB
UAPBW 65-63
−3.5
13
vsBCU
BCUL 60-69
−6.5
covered 18didn’t cover 13avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UTAH
UTAHL 59-100
+12.5
6
@USU
USUL 46-101
−7.5
11
@TULN
TULNL 51-84
−19.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 48-71
−26.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 60-77
−5.5
24
@UCR
UCRL 52-69
−15.5
29
@USA
USAL 65-74
+7.5
1
@MD
MDL 58-96
+15.5
4
@WICH
WICHL 54-78
−10.5
7
@OU
OUL 78-94
+33.5
16
@RICE
RICEL 75-77
+15.5
22
@UAB
UABL 74-91
+15.5
4
vsJKST
JKSTL 69-72
+0.5
11
vsAAMU
AAMUW 62-52
−34.5
13
vsALST
ALSTW 67-65
−10.5
18
@TXSO
TXSOL 57-66
−16.5
20
@PV
PVW 78-70
+4.5
25
vsFAMU
FAMUL 64-65
−9.5
27
vsBCU
BCUW 70-61
−3.5
1
@SOU
SOUL 69-74
+10.5
3
@GRAM
GRAMW 60-53
−16.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 79-60
−9.5
10
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-39
−2.5
15
@BCU
BCUW 78-74
+15.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 76-85
+22.5
22
@JKST
JKSTL 63-71
−8.5
1
vsPV
PVW 71-55
−16.5
3
vsTXSO
TXSOL 59-75
+0.5
6
@MVSU
MVSUW 72-64
+8.5
8
@UAPB
UAPBW 65-63
−17.5
13
vsBCU
BCUL 60-69
−5.5
over 13under 18avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida St
32 games played
Straight up
17-15
53% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NKU | W 74-62 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 9 | vsRICE | W 73-65 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | vs TAR | W 72-52 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 15 | vs FLA | L 74-87 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs HOF | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 22 | vs TEM | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs MASS | W 92-59 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs WCU | W 91-57 | -20.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ LSU | L 75-85 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ NCSU | L 74-84 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 14 | vsTULN | W 77-64 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 17 | vs WIN | W 82-64 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs LOU | L 76-90 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SYR | W 90-74 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | @ MIA | W 80-65 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 11 | @ CLEM | L 57-77 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 15 | vs PITT | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 18 | vs GT | W 91-78 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | @ CAL | L 68-77 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 25 | @ STAN | L 71-78 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 29 | vs VT | L 66-76 | -10.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 1 | @ BC | L 76-77 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 4 | vs ND | W 67-60 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 12 | @ WAKE | W 72-70 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 15 | vsCLEM | L 46-72 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 19 | vsMIA | W 74-66 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 22 | @LOU | L 81-89 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 24 | vs UNC | L 85-96 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 1 | @ DUKE | L 65-100 | +22.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 4 | @ UVA | L 57-60 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Mar 8 | vs SMU | W 76-69 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 11 | vsSYR | L 62-66 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNKU
NKUW 74-62
+3.5
9
vsRICE
RICEW 73-65
−1.5
12
vsTAR
TARW 72-52
+2.5
15
vsFLA
FLAL 74-87
−7.5
19
vsHOF
HOFW 79-61
+8.5
22
vsTEM
TEMW 78-69
+4.5
24
vsMASS
MASSW 92-59
+27.5
26
vsWCU
WCUW 91-57
+13.5
3
@LSU
LSUL 75-85
−5.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 74-84
−5.5
14
vsTULN
TULNW 77-64
+2.5
17
vsWIN
WINW 82-64
+6.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 76-90
−15.5
4
vsSYR
SYRW 90-74
+7.5
8
@MIA
MIAW 80-65
+17.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 57-77
−11.5
15
vsPITT
PITTW 82-70
+14.5
18
vsGT
GTW 91-78
+3.5
22
@CAL
CALL 68-77
−12.5
25
@STAN
STANL 71-78
−2.5
29
vsVT
VTL 66-76
−20.5
1
@BC
BCL 76-77
−6.5
4
vsND
NDW 67-60
+4.5
12
@WAKE
WAKEW 72-70
+8.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEML 46-72
−21.5
19
vsMIA
MIAW 74-66
−0.5
22
@LOU
LOUL 81-89
+5.5
24
vsUNC
UNCL 85-96
−7.5
1
@DUKE
DUKEL 65-100
−12.5
4
@UVA
UVAL 57-60
+1.5
8
vsSMU
SMUW 76-69
+9.5
11
vsSYR
SYRL 62-66
−7.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNKU
NKUW 74-62
−10.5
9
vsRICE
RICEW 73-65
−15.5
12
vsTAR
TARW 72-52
−22.5
15
vsFLA
FLAL 74-87
+3.5
19
vsHOF
HOFW 79-61
−3.5
22
vsTEM
TEMW 78-69
−1.5
24
vsMASS
MASSW 92-59
−0.5
26
vsWCU
WCUW 91-57
+1.5
3
@LSU
LSUL 75-85
+9.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 74-84
+10.5
14
vsTULN
TULNW 77-64
−5.5
17
vsWIN
WINW 82-64
−14.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 76-90
+13.5
4
vsSYR
SYRW 90-74
+9.5
8
@MIA
MIAW 80-65
−6.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 57-77
−11.5
15
vsPITT
PITTW 82-70
+4.5
18
vsGT
GTW 91-78
+21.5
22
@CAL
CALL 68-77
−4.5
25
@STAN
STANL 71-78
+1.5
29
vsVT
VTL 66-76
−1.5
1
@BC
BCL 76-77
+7.5
4
vsND
NDW 67-60
−14.5
12
@WAKE
WAKEW 72-70
−2.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEML 46-72
−25.5
19
vsMIA
MIAW 74-66
−14.5
22
@LOU
LOUL 81-89
+15.5
24
vsUNC
UNCL 85-96
+25.5
1
@DUKE
DUKEL 65-100
+15.5
4
@UVA
UVAL 57-60
−19.5
8
vsSMU
SMUW 76-69
−9.5
11
vsSYR
SYRL 62-66
−21.5
over 13under 19avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Florida St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.