Spectrum Center · Neutral site
Closing line
DUKE -10.5✓ DUKE covered by 4.5
DUKE -10.5✓ DUKE covered by 4.5Closing total153.5Under by 18.5
 TEX | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 71–80 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| DUKE | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: TEX 33, DUKE 32 (TEX by 1). The model had DUKE by 5.5 and a total of 70.5 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TEX | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-59 32% | Field goals | 22-52 42% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 22-30 73% |
| 41 18 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 25 | Fouls | 21 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 36 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 7-18 | 2-5 |
| Tramon Mark G | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nic Codie F | 23 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Pope G | 30 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-4 |
| Lassina Traore F | 18 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Camden Heide F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Declan Duru Jr. F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, Lewis Obiorah, John Clark, Cole Bott
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 36 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 33 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Dame Sarr F | 28 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Caleb Foster G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 24 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Maliq Brown F | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Darren Harris G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott, Cameron Sheffield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -10.5
ModelDUKE -9.4
Model edgeTEX +1.1
L DUKE covered
Total
Market153.5
Model150.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
W Under
Projected score
TEX 70.6 · DUKE 80
TEX 60 · DUKE 75
Win probability
DUKE 79%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -5.5
TEX -1.0
Total
70.5
65 points
Projected score
TEX 32.5 · DUKE 38
TEX 33 · DUKE 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -7.5
3 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -10.5
3 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open150.5
▲ 3
Close153.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +450 · DUKE -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -7.5 · closed DUKE -10.5 · moved 3 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -9.5
model DUKE -9.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 9-1 90% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
35 games played
Straight up
19-16
54% wins
Against the spread
17-18
49% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-13
63% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Against the spread
17-1849%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs OSU | L 72-80 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 90-59 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 12 | vs CHST | W 105-58 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs MVSU | W 89-43 | -43.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 21 | vs SYR | W 70-66 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 22 | vs JOES | W 67-58 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 90-68 | -34.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 4 | @ NCSU | W 63-59 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 8 | vs CONN | L 65-76 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 12 | vs NMSU | W 91-67 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 15 | vs UAPB | W 121-57 | -38.5 | W +25.5 | 159.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 19 | vs NOLA | W 98-62 | -33.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 29 | vs NWST | W 77-53 | -27.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 4 | @ TA&M | L 60-80 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 7 | vs AUB | L 82-87 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vs TENN | L 70-74 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 15 | @ OU | W 77-73 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 18 | @ FLA | L 60-84 | +10.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs MIZ | W 61-53 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 25 | vsTA&M | W 70-69 | -0.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @ MISS | L 69-72 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | @ LSU | W 89-58 | -1.5 | W +29.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | vs ARK | L 70-78 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 8 | @ VAN | L 78-86 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | vs ALA | L 80-103 | +4.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 15 | vs UK | W 82-78 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 22 | @ SC | L 69-84 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 26 | @ARK | L 81-86 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 1 | vs UGA | L 67-83 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 4 | @ MSST | W 87-82 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 8 | vsOU | L 72-76 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Mar 12 | vsVAN | W 79-72 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 13 | vsTA&M | W 94-89 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 14 | vsTENN | L 72-83 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 19 | vs XAV | L 80-86 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsOSU
OSUL 72-80
−9.5
8
vsHCU
HCUW 90-59
−2.5
12
vsCHST
CHSTW 105-58
+16.5
16
vsMVSU
MVSUW 89-43
+2.5
21
vsSYR
SYRW 70-66
−6.5
22
vsJOES
JOESW 67-58
+1.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 90-68
−12.5
4
@NCSU
NCSUW 63-59
+1.5
8
vsCONN
CONNL 65-76
−12.5
12
vsNMSU
NMSUW 91-67
+4.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 121-57
+25.5
19
vsNOLA
NOLAW 98-62
+2.5
29
vsNWST
NWSTW 77-53
−3.5
4
@TA&M
TA&ML 60-80
−13.5
7
vsAUB
AUBL 82-87
+5.5
11
vsTENN
TENNL 70-74
+0.5
15
@OU
OUW 77-73
+6.5
18
@FLA
FLAL 60-84
−13.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 61-53
+5.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 70-69
+0.5
29
@MISS
MISSL 69-72
+3.5
1
@LSU
LSUW 89-58
+29.5
5
vsARK
ARKL 70-78
−14.5
8
@VAN
VANL 78-86
−4.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 80-103
−18.5
15
vsUK
UKW 82-78
−0.5
22
@SC
SCL 69-84
−17.5
26
@ARK
ARKL 81-86
−2.5
1
vsUGA
UGAL 67-83
−21.5
4
@MSST
MSSTW 87-82
+11.5
8
vsOU
OUL 72-76
−9.5
12
vsVAN
VANW 79-72
+9.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 94-89
+10.5
14
vsTENN
TENNL 72-83
−1.5
19
vsXAV
XAVL 80-86
−3.5
covered 17didn’t cover 18avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsOSU
OSUL 72-80
+4.5
8
vsHCU
HCUW 90-59
−1.5
12
vsCHST
CHSTW 105-58
+15.5
16
vsMVSU
MVSUW 89-43
−9.5
21
vsSYR
SYRW 70-66
−19.5
22
vsJOES
JOESW 67-58
−23.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 90-68
+17.5
4
@NCSU
NCSUW 63-59
−25.5
8
vsCONN
CONNL 65-76
−0.5
12
vsNMSU
NMSUW 91-67
+15.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 121-57
+18.5
19
vsNOLA
NOLAW 98-62
+11.5
29
vsNWST
NWSTW 77-53
−10.5
4
@TA&M
TA&ML 60-80
−3.5
7
vsAUB
AUBL 82-87
+19.5
11
vsTENN
TENNL 70-74
+5.5
15
@OU
OUW 77-73
+0.5
18
@FLA
FLAL 60-84
−10.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 61-53
−34.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 70-69
−2.5
29
@MISS
MISSL 69-72
−0.5
1
@LSU
LSUW 89-58
+1.5
5
vsARK
ARKL 70-78
+3.5
8
@VAN
VANL 78-86
+14.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 80-103
+16.5
15
vsUK
UKW 82-78
+1.5
22
@SC
SCL 69-84
+12.5
26
@ARK
ARKL 81-86
+19.5
1
vsUGA
UGAL 67-83
+4.5
4
@MSST
MSSTW 87-82
+17.5
8
vsOU
OUL 72-76
−6.5
12
vsVAN
VANW 79-72
+1.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 94-89
+42.5
14
vsTENN
TENNL 72-83
+17.5
19
vsXAV
XAVL 80-86
+14.5
over 22under 13avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
39 games played
Straight up
35-4
90% wins
Against the spread
25-14
64% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-19
51% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ME | W 96-62 | -32.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 100-58 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 12 | vsUK | L 72-77 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs WOF | W 86-35 | -24.5 | W +26.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 22 | @ ARIZ | W 69-55 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 70-48 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 4 | vsAUB | W 84-78 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 8 | @ LOU | W 76-65 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 10 | vs UIW | W 72-46 | -34.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 17 | vs GMU | W 68-47 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 21 | @ GT | W 82-56 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs VT | W 88-65 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 4 | @ SMU | W 89-62 | -7.5 | W +19.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 7 | vs PITT | W 76-47 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 11 | vs ND | W 86-78 | -19.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 14 | vs MIA | W 89-54 | -22.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 18 | @ BC | W 88-63 | -23.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 25 | @ WAKE | W 63-56 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 27 | vsNCSU | W 74-64 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 1 | vs UNC | W 87-70 | -12.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 5 | @SYR | W 83-54 | -17.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 8 | @ CLEM | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 12 | vs CAL | W 78-57 | -23.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | vs STAN | W 106-70 | -18.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 17 | @ UVA | W 80-62 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 22 | vs ILL | W 110-67 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 25 | @MIA | W 97-60 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 1 | vs FSU | W 100-65 | -22.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 3 | vsWAKE | W 93-60 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 8 | @UNC | W 82-69 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 13 | vsGT | W 78-70 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 14 | vsUNC | W 74-71 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 15 | vsLOU | W 73-62 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 21 | vs MSM | W 93-49 | -32.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Mar 23 | vs BAY | W 89-66 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 27 | vsARIZ | W 100-93 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Mar 29 | vsALA | W 85-65 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 175.5 | U 150 |
| Apr 5 | vs HOU | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsME
MEW 96-62
+1.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-58
+8.5
12
vsUK
UKL 72-77
−10.5
16
vsWOF
WOFW 86-35
+26.5
22
@ARIZ
ARIZW 69-55
+15.5
26
vsKU
KUL 72-75
−6.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 70-48
−5.5
4
vsAUB
AUBW 84-78
+2.5
8
@LOU
LOUW 76-65
+2.5
10
vsUIW
UIWW 72-46
−8.5
17
vsGMU
GMUW 68-47
+1.5
21
@GT
GTW 82-56
+10.5
31
vsVT
VTW 88-65
−1.5
4
@SMU
SMUW 89-62
+19.5
7
vsPITT
PITTW 76-47
+15.5
11
vsND
NDW 86-78
−11.5
14
vsMIA
MIAW 89-54
+12.5
18
@BC
BCW 88-63
+1.5
25
@WAKE
WAKEW 63-56
−4.5
27
vsNCSU
NCSUW 74-64
−12.5
1
vsUNC
UNCW 87-70
+4.5
5
@SYR
SYRW 83-54
+11.5
8
@CLEM
CLEML 71-77
−12.5
12
vsCAL
CALW 78-57
−2.5
15
vsSTAN
STANW 106-70
+17.5
17
@UVA
UVAW 80-62
+4.5
22
vsILL
ILLW 110-67
+34.5
25
@MIA
MIAW 97-60
+12.5
1
vsFSU
FSUW 100-65
+12.5
3
vsWAKE
WAKEW 93-60
+13.5
8
@UNC
UNCW 82-69
+3.5
13
vsGT
GTW 78-70
−14.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 74-71
−4.5
15
vsLOU
LOUW 73-62
+4.5
21
vsMSM
MSMW 93-49
+11.5
23
vsBAY
BAYW 89-66
+10.5
27
vsARIZ
ARIZW 100-93
−2.5
29
vsALA
ALAW 85-65
+13.5
5
vsHOU
HOUL 67-70
−7.5
covered 25didn’t cover 14avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsME
MEW 96-62
+18.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-58
+14.5
12
vsUK
UKL 72-77
−10.5
16
vsWOF
WOFW 86-35
−27.5
22
@ARIZ
ARIZW 69-55
−38.5
26
vsKU
KUL 72-75
−0.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 70-48
−22.5
4
vsAUB
AUBW 84-78
+15.5
8
@LOU
LOUW 76-65
−4.5
10
vsUIW
UIWW 72-46
−25.5
17
vsGMU
GMUW 68-47
−21.5
21
@GT
GTW 82-56
−5.5
31
vsVT
VTW 88-65
+16.5
4
@SMU
SMUW 89-62
+2.5
7
vsPITT
PITTW 76-47
−22.5
11
vsND
NDW 86-78
+27.5
14
vsMIA
MIAW 89-54
−2.5
18
@BC
BCW 88-63
+12.5
25
@WAKE
WAKEW 63-56
−16.5
27
vsNCSU
NCSUW 74-64
+3.5
1
vsUNC
UNCW 87-70
+8.5
5
@SYR
SYRW 83-54
−6.5
8
@CLEM
CLEML 71-77
+12.5
12
vsCAL
CALW 78-57
−7.5
15
vsSTAN
STANW 106-70
+34.5
17
@UVA
UVAW 80-62
+9.5
22
vsILL
ILLW 110-67
+20.5
25
@MIA
MIAW 97-60
+4.5
1
vsFSU
FSUW 100-65
+15.5
3
vsWAKE
WAKEW 93-60
+6.5
8
@UNC
UNCW 82-69
−9.5
13
vsGT
GTW 78-70
+3.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 74-71
−8.5
15
vsLOU
LOUW 73-62
−14.5
21
vsMSM
MSMW 93-49
+0.5
23
vsBAY
BAYW 89-66
+9.5
27
vsARIZ
ARIZW 100-93
+38.5
29
vsALA
ALAW 85-65
−25.5
5
vsHOU
HOUL 67-70
−0.5
over 20under 19avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Duke
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.