Watsco Center · at Miami
Closing line
MIA -16.5✓ MIA covered by 23.5
Closing total154.5Over by 7.5
| This season | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BCU 74–85 MIA · ✓ MIA (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCU | 31 | 30 | 61 |
| MIA | 50 | 51 | 101 |
1st half: BCU 31, MIA 50 (MIA by 19). The model had MIA by 6.5 and a total of 74.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| BCU | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-66 32% | Field goals | 39-66 59% |
| 6-28 21% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 35 15 off | Rebounds | 44 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 25 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Johnson G | 27 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-6 |
| Jakobi Heady G | 25 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-7 |
| Seneca Willoughby G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Daniel Perez-Rouzan F | 24 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Quentin Heady F | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arterio Morris G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-13 | 0-4 |
| David Onanina C | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ariel Bland F | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Rickey Mitchell Jr. G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Dailon Minor G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Ward Jr., William Gonzalez, Trayvon Barbary, Simeon Womack, Tyler Andrews, Doctor Bradley
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 27 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 9-11 | 1-1 |
| Malik Reneau F | 26 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 9-12 | 0-1 |
| Tru Washington G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 22 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 20 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Allen G | 25 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Allen F | 22 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Timo Malovec F | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| JJ Laboy G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jordyn Kee G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Treyvon Maddox, Noam Dovrat
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -16.5
no move
CloseMIA -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BCU +1000 · MIA -2000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -16.5 · unchangedmodel MIA -11
model MIA -11
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -16.5 | MIA -10.9 | BCU +5.6 | L MIA covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 158.7 | Over 4.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BCU 73.9 · MIA 84.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -6.5 | MIA -19.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | BCU 33.9 · MIA 40.4 | BCU 31 · MIA 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | |
| 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bethune
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +19.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +31.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 90-95 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
AUB
L 90-95
+19.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
AUB
L 90-95
+31.5
over 1under 0avg +31.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JAX
W 86-69
−1.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
JAX
W 86-69
+12.5
over 1under 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bethune
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Auburn90–95
3 days since their last game.
Miami
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jacksonville86–69
3 days since their last game.