Watsco Center · at Miami
Closing line
MIA -18.5✓ JAX covered by 1.5
MIA -18.5✓ JAX covered by 1.5Closing total142.5Over by 12.5
 JAX | This season | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 65–80 MIA · ✓ MIA (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| MIA | 41 | 45 | 86 |
1st half: JAX 35, MIA 41 (MIA by 6). The model had MIA by 9.3 and a total of 67.8 (actual 76).
Team stats
| JAX | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 27-49 55% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 3-14 21% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 29-37 78% |
| 20 5 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 27 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 25 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Evan Sterck G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Enrico Borio F | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Chris Arias G | 23 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Simon Wheeler G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Anakin Brown G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Harper Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tito Deng F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lamont Jackson, Roman Loux, Charles Caporaso
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tru Washington G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Tre Donaldson G | 27 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Malik Reneau F | 27 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 26 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 22 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Allen F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Dante Allen G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Timo Malovec F | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordyn Kee G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| JJ Laboy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noam Dovrat, Treyvon Maddox
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -18.5
no move
CloseMIA -18.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 4
Close142.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
JAX +1200 · MIA -3000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -18.5 · unchangedmodel MIA -15.5
model MIA -15.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 4 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -18.5 | MIA -15.5 | JAX +3.0 | W JAX covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 144.8 | Over 2.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | JAX 64.7 · MIA 80.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -9.3 | MIA -6.0 |
| 1H total | 67.8 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | JAX 29.3 · MIA 38.5 | JAX 35 · MIA 41 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| MIA | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
31 games played
Straight up
17-14
55% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-16
48% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FLA | L 60-81 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 11 | @ FUR | L 69-78 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs SCST | W 71-62 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 20 | @ VT | W 74-64 | +13.5 | W +23.5 | 135.5 | O 138 |
| Nov 25 | vs MER | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs SIE | W 75-64 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 129.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 30 | @ UGA | L 56-102 | +16.5 | L −29.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 10 | @ FAU | L 63-85 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 14 | vs ETSU | W 60-52 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 21 | @ UCF | L 66-86 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs LIP | L 65-70 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vs APSU | W 68-44 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 130.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 9 | @ BELL | W 74-59 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 11 | @ EKU | W 82-75 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 16 | vs UNA | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 18 | vs CARK | W 72-62 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 23 | @ WGA | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 25 | @ QUC | W 87-77 | +0.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 29 | vs FGCU | L 79-83 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 1 | vs UNF | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 6 | @ STET | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 8 | vsBELL | W 73-64 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 13 | @CARK | W 77-62 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 15 | @UNA | L 79-92 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | @FGCU | L 56-72 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 20 | @UNF | L 73-77 | +0.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 24 | vsEKU | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 26 | vsSTET | W 79-72 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 3 | vsEKU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 6 | @UNA | L 63-78 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 24 | vs UIW | L 71-87 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FLA
FLAL 60-81
+3.5
11
@FUR
FURL 69-78
−0.5
14
vsSCST
SCSTW 71-62
+2.5
20
@VT
VTW 74-64
+23.5
25
vsMER
MERL 89-90
−4.5
26
vsSIE
SIEW 75-64
+5.5
30
@UGA
UGAL 56-102
−29.5
10
@FAU
FAUL 63-85
−9.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 60-52
+10.5
21
@UCF
UCFL 66-86
−6.5
2
vsLIP
LIPL 65-70
−0.5
4
vsAPSU
APSUW 68-44
+18.5
9
@BELL
BELLW 74-59
+7.5
11
@EKU
EKUW 82-75
+9.5
16
vsUNA
UNAW 64-60
+5.5
18
vsCARK
CARKW 72-62
−3.5
23
@WGA
WGAW 79-62
+6.5
25
@QUC
QUCW 87-77
+10.5
29
vsFGCU
FGCUL 79-83
−6.5
1
vsUNF
UNFL 78-81
−10.5
6
@STET
STETW 74-65
+0.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 73-64
−2.5
13
@CARK
CARKW 77-62
+3.5
15
@UNA
UNAL 79-92
−8.5
18
@FGCU
FGCUL 56-72
−14.5
20
@UNF
UNFL 73-77
−3.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 59-55
+1.5
26
vsSTET
STETW 79-72
−6.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 78-67
+8.5
6
@UNA
UNAL 63-78
−8.5
24
vsUIW
UIWL 71-87
−19.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FLA
FLAL 60-81
−11.5
11
@FUR
FURL 69-78
+5.5
14
vsSCST
SCSTW 71-62
−12.5
20
@VT
VTW 74-64
+2.5
25
vsMER
MERL 89-90
+32.5
26
vsSIE
SIEW 75-64
+9.5
30
@UGA
UGAL 56-102
+15.5
10
@FAU
FAUL 63-85
−6.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 60-52
−36.5
21
@UCF
UCFL 66-86
+9.5
2
vsLIP
LIPL 65-70
−6.5
4
vsAPSU
APSUW 68-44
−18.5
9
@BELL
BELLW 74-59
−8.5
11
@EKU
EKUW 82-75
+11.5
16
vsUNA
UNAW 64-60
−18.5
18
vsCARK
CARKW 72-62
−3.5
23
@WGA
WGAW 79-62
+2.5
25
@QUC
QUCW 87-77
+18.5
29
vsFGCU
FGCUL 79-83
+25.5
1
vsUNF
UNFL 78-81
−0.5
6
@STET
STETW 74-65
−6.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 73-64
−5.5
13
@CARK
CARKW 77-62
+3.5
15
@UNA
UNAL 79-92
+26.5
18
@FGCU
FGCUL 56-72
−13.5
20
@UNF
UNFL 73-77
−8.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 59-55
−33.5
26
vsSTET
STETW 79-72
+7.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 78-67
+2.5
6
@UNA
UNAL 63-78
−1.5
24
vsUIW
UIWL 71-87
+16.5
over 15under 16avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
31 games played
Straight up
7-24
23% wins
Against the spread
11-20
35% covers · avg −6.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-12
61% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs FDU | W 113-72 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 10 | vs BING | W 88-64 | -28.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs COPP | W 93-63 | -37.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs DRKE | L 69-80 | -9.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 22 | vs OKST | L 74-80 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs VCU | L 70-77 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 30 | vs CHSO | L 79-83 | -25.5 | L −29.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs ARK | L 73-76 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 7 | vs CLEM | L 55-65 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 10 | vs TENN | L 62-75 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 15 | vs PRES | W 94-75 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs MSM | L 74-78 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 1 | @ BC | L 68-78 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 4 | @VT | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs FSU | L 65-80 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 11 | vs WAKE | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ DUKE | L 54-89 | +22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 18 | vs SMU | L 74-117 | +6.5 | L −36.5 | 155.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 22 | @ STAN | L 51-88 | +10.5 | L −26.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 25 | @ CAL | L 94-98 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 29 | vs UVA | L 71-82 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 1 | vs ND | W 63-57 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 8 | @ LOU | L 78-88 | +17.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 11 | vs SYR | W 91-84 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 15 | @ PITT | L 65-74 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 19 | @FSU | L 66-74 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 22 | vsVT | L 68-81 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 25 | vsDUKE | L 60-97 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 1 | @ UNC | L 73-92 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 4 | @ GT | L 74-89 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 8 | vs NCSU | W 72-70 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsFDU
FDUW 113-72
+13.5
10
vsBING
BINGW 88-64
−4.5
17
vsCOPP
COPPW 93-63
−7.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 69-80
−20.5
22
vsOKST
OKSTL 74-80
−10.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 70-77
−4.5
30
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-83
−29.5
3
vsARK
ARKL 73-76
+1.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-65
−5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNL 62-75
+1.5
15
vsPRES
PRESW 94-75
+1.5
21
vsMSM
MSML 74-78
−20.5
1
@BC
BCL 68-78
−11.5
4
@VT
VTL 85-86
−2.5
8
vsFSU
FSUL 65-80
−17.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEL 78-88
−6.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-89
−12.5
18
vsSMU
SMUL 74-117
−36.5
22
@STAN
STANL 51-88
−26.5
25
@CAL
CALL 94-98
+4.5
29
vsUVA
UVAL 71-82
−13.5
1
vsND
NDW 63-57
+13.5
8
@LOU
LOUL 78-88
+7.5
11
vsSYR
SYRW 91-84
+4.5
15
@PITT
PITTL 65-74
+2.5
19
@FSU
FSUL 66-74
+0.5
22
vsVT
VTL 68-81
−11.5
25
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-97
−12.5
1
@UNC
UNCL 73-92
−1.5
4
@GT
GTL 74-89
−4.5
8
vsNCSU
NCSUW 72-70
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsFDU
FDUW 113-72
+27.5
10
vsBING
BINGW 88-64
−4.5
17
vsCOPP
COPPW 93-63
+14.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 69-80
+5.5
22
vsOKST
OKSTL 74-80
−4.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 70-77
+2.5
30
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-83
+11.5
3
vsARK
ARKL 73-76
−7.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-65
−27.5
10
vsTENN
TENNL 62-75
−7.5
15
vsPRES
PRESW 94-75
+25.5
21
vsMSM
MSML 74-78
+0.5
1
@BC
BCL 68-78
+3.5
4
@VT
VTL 85-86
+27.5
8
vsFSU
FSUL 65-80
−6.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEL 78-88
+22.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-89
−2.5
18
vsSMU
SMUL 74-117
+35.5
22
@STAN
STANL 51-88
−10.5
25
@CAL
CALL 94-98
+41.5
29
vsUVA
UVAL 71-82
+18.5
1
vsND
NDW 63-57
−27.5
8
@LOU
LOUL 78-88
+12.5
11
vsSYR
SYRW 91-84
+24.5
15
@PITT
PITTL 65-74
−10.5
19
@FSU
FSUL 66-74
−14.5
22
vsVT
VTL 68-81
+3.5
25
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-97
+4.5
1
@UNC
UNCL 73-92
+5.5
4
@GT
GTL 74-89
+14.5
8
vsNCSU
NCSUW 72-70
−7.5
over 19under 12avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Miami
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.