Mitchell Center · at South Alabama
Closing line
USA -18.5✓ ALCN covered by 12.5
USA -18.5✓ ALCN covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Over by 4.5
 ALCN | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 64–79 USA · ✓ USA (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 40 | 30 | 70 |
| USA | 34 | 42 | 76 |
1st half: ALCN 40, USA 34 (ALCN by 6). The model had USA by 9.2 and a total of 67.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| ALCN | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 13-36 36% | 3-pointers | 4-12 33% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 25 | Fouls | 10 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tycen McDaniels F | 32 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 31 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Davian Williams PG | 28 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-8 |
| Nick Woodard SF | 27 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Mike Jones SG | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shane Lancaster G | 32 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 8-17 | 7-13 |
| Jameel Morris G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ray Glasgow, William Henderson, Alex Hawkins
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Law F | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 13-15 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 38 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 8-15 | 3-7 |
| Adam Olsen F | 33 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Randy Brady F | 30 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Chaze Harris G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| JJ Wheat G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| John Broom G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Samuel Shoptaw, Desmond Williams, Maxwell Land
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -14.5
4 → USA
CloseUSA -18.5
4 pts toward USA
Total
Open144.5
▼ 3
Close141.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
ALCN +1500 · USA -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -14.5 · closed USA -18.5 · moved 4 toward USAmodel USA -15.5
model USA -15.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USA -18.5 | USA -15.4 | ALCN +3.1 | W ALCN covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 143.5 | Over 2.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ALCN 64.1 · USA 79.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USA -9.2 | ALCN -6.0 |
| 1H total | 67.2 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | ALCN 29 · USA 38.2 | ALCN 40 · USA 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCNlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| USAlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALCN 0–1 USAUSA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ALCN 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024-25 | ALCN 65 @ USA 74 | USA -17.5 | ALCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +27.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FSU | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
+27.5
over 1under 0avg +27.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
over 0under 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida St76–108
2 days since their last game.
South Alabama
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Toledo76–74
3 days since their last game.