Savage Arena · at Toledo
Closing line
TOL -2.5✓ USA covered by 4.5
TOL -2.5✓ USA covered by 4.5Closing total150.5Under by 0.5
 USA | This season | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 73–75 TOL · ✗ TOL (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 39 | 37 | 76 |
| TOL | 26 | 48 | 74 |
1st half: USA 39, TOL 26 (USA by 13). The model had TOL by 1.2 and a total of 69.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| USA | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 15-33 45% |
| 5-13 38% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 38 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 8-18 | 5-11 |
| Chaze Harris G | 29 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Peyton Law F | 27 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Randy Brady F | 23 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 20 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| JJ Wheat G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 38 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 31 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 25 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Austin Parks C | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Mynor Strong G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 30 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Sean Craig F | 29 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Tyler Ode G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| London Praytor F | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Will James Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Phoenix Glassnor, Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -3.5
1 → USA
CloseTOL -2.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USA +125 · TOL -145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -3.5 · closed TOL -2.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel TOL -2
model TOL -2
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TOL -2.5 | TOL -2.2 | USA +0.3 | W USA covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 147.3 | Under 3.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | USA 72.5 · TOL 74.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TOL -1.2 | USA -13.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | USA 33.9 · TOL 35.1 | USA 39 · TOL 26 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| TOL | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs CMU | L 70-74 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NICH | W 70-64 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 12 | @ MISS | L 54-64 | +17.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 16 | vs MER | W 75-66 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs UIW | W 84-63 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 26 | vs WIU | L 63-64 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 74-65 | -17.5 | L −8.5 | 131.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 8 | vs JXST | W 76-74 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 15 | @ ETAM | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ TCU | L 49-58 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 107 |
| Dec 21 | vs JMU | W 77-49 | -0.5 | W +27.5 | 136.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 2 | @ GAST | W 77-51 | -4.5 | W +21.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | @ GASO | W 76-47 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 9 | vs ARST | W 76-62 | -0.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 11 | vs ODU | L 63-71 | -13.5 | L −21.5 | 135.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 15 | vs USM | W 75-62 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 18 | vs TROY | W 64-63 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 25 | @TROY | L 55-65 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 27 | @ ULM | L 66-77 | -11.5 | L −22.5 | 133.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 30 | vsULM | L 58-62 | -15.5 | L −19.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 1 | @ UL | W 62-58 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 133.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 5 | @ CCU | W 84-59 | -7.5 | W +17.5 | 126.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 8 | @ AKR | L 67-80 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 13 | vs MRSH | W 91-82 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 15 | vs TXST | W 70-65 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 19 | @ARST | W 60-56 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 22 | @TXST | L 92-93 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 26 | @USM | W 88-82 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsUL | W 65-42 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | U 107 |
| Mar 9 | vsARST | L 71-74 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsCMU
CMUL 70-74
−10.5
8
@NICH
NICHW 70-64
+11.5
12
@MISS
MISSL 54-64
+7.5
16
vsMER
MERW 75-66
+3.5
25
vsUIW
UIWW 84-63
+13.5
26
vsWIU
WIUL 63-64
−12.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 74-65
−8.5
8
vsJXST
JXSTW 76-74
−2.5
15
@ETAM
ETAMW 81-72
+1.5
16
@TCU
TCUL 49-58
+3.5
21
vsJMU
JMUW 77-49
+27.5
2
@GAST
GASTW 77-51
+21.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 76-47
+23.5
9
vsARST
ARSTW 76-62
+13.5
11
vsODU
ODUL 63-71
−21.5
15
vsUSM
USMW 75-62
+0.5
18
vsTROY
TROYW 64-63
−2.5
25
@TROY
TROYL 55-65
−6.5
27
@ULM
ULML 66-77
−22.5
30
vsULM
ULML 58-62
−19.5
1
@UL
ULW 62-58
−2.5
5
@CCU
CCUW 84-59
+17.5
8
@AKR
AKRL 67-80
−6.5
13
vsMRSH
MRSHW 91-82
+4.5
15
vsTXST
TXSTW 70-65
−1.5
19
@ARST
ARSTW 60-56
+11.5
22
@TXST
TXSTL 92-93
+0.5
26
@USM
USMW 88-82
−1.5
28
vsUL
ULW 65-42
+10.5
9
vsARST
ARSTL 71-74
+0.5
covered 17didn’t cover 13avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsCMU
CMUL 70-74
+5.5
8
@NICH
NICHW 70-64
−17.5
12
@MISS
MISSL 54-64
−27.5
16
vsMER
MERW 75-66
−11.5
25
vsUIW
UIWW 84-63
+5.5
26
vsWIU
WIUL 63-64
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 74-65
+7.5
8
vsJXST
JXSTW 76-74
+12.5
15
@ETAM
ETAMW 81-72
+17.5
16
@TCU
TCUL 49-58
−29.5
21
vsJMU
JMUW 77-49
−10.5
2
@GAST
GASTW 77-51
−11.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 76-47
−20.5
9
vsARST
ARSTW 76-62
−1.5
11
vsODU
ODUL 63-71
−1.5
15
vsUSM
USMW 75-62
−2.5
18
vsTROY
TROYW 64-63
−4.5
25
@TROY
TROYL 55-65
−12.5
27
@ULM
ULML 66-77
+9.5
30
vsULM
ULML 58-62
−14.5
1
@UL
ULW 62-58
−13.5
5
@CCU
CCUW 84-59
+16.5
8
@AKR
AKRL 67-80
+0.5
13
vsMRSH
MRSHW 91-82
+36.5
15
vsTXST
TXSTW 70-65
−1.5
19
@ARST
ARSTW 60-56
−27.5
22
@TXST
TXSTL 92-93
+51.5
26
@USM
USMW 88-82
+31.5
28
vsUL
ULW 65-42
−27.5
9
vsARST
ARSTL 71-74
+7.5
over 12under 18avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Toledo
32 games played
Straight up
17-15
53% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-14
56% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @TROY | L 74-84 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 9 | @MRSH | W 90-80 | -0.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 13 | vs WRST | W 86-77 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ DETM | W 82-67 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs STET | W 103-78 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 22 | vsJXST | W 82-80 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs UCSD | L 45-80 | -1.5 | L −36.5 | 154.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 30 | vs OAK | L 52-85 | -8.5 | L −41.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | @ YSU | L 87-93 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 18 | @ HOU | L 49-78 | +29.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 29 | @ PUR | L 64-83 | +21.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ WMU | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | vs EMU | W 90-87 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | vsCMU | W 69-67 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 14 | @AKR | L 78-85 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 18 | @ BALL | W 93-75 | +0.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vs KENT | L 64-83 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | @ BGSU | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 28 | @ OHIO | W 86-83 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 1 | vs NIU | W 89-85 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 4 | vs BUF | W 87-74 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 8 | vsJMU | W 72-69 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 11 | @ M-OH | L 80-92 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 15 | @EMU | L 73-80 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vsBALL | W 67-66 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 21 | vsBGSU | L 68-69 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 25 | @KENT | L 65-105 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 1 | @BUF | L 74-87 | -7.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 4 | vsAKR | L 87-96 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 7 | vsOHIO | W 96-82 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
| Mar 13 | vsOHIO | W 90-85 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 14 | vsAKR | L 90-100 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@TROY
TROYL 74-84
−4.5
9
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-80
+9.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 86-77
+2.5
16
@DETM
DETMW 82-67
+3.5
21
vsSTET
STETW 103-78
+11.5
22
vsJXST
JXSTW 82-80
−2.5
23
vsUCSD
UCSDL 45-80
−36.5
30
vsOAK
OAKL 52-85
−41.5
14
@YSU
YSUL 87-93
−4.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 49-78
+0.5
29
@PUR
PURL 64-83
+2.5
4
@WMU
WMUW 76-70
+3.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 90-87
−6.5
10
vsCMU
CMUW 69-67
−2.5
14
@AKR
AKRL 78-85
+0.5
18
@BALL
BALLW 93-75
+18.5
21
vsKENT
KENTL 64-83
−20.5
24
@BGSU
BGSUW 84-71
+10.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-83
+6.5
1
vsNIU
NIUW 89-85
−9.5
4
vsBUF
BUFW 87-74
−0.5
8
vsJMU
JMUW 72-69
+4.5
11
@M-OH
M-OHL 80-92
−7.5
15
@EMU
EMUL 73-80
−10.5
18
vsBALL
BALLW 67-66
−6.5
21
vsBGSU
BGSUL 68-69
−8.5
25
@KENT
KENTL 65-105
−33.5
1
@BUF
BUFL 74-87
−20.5
4
vsAKR
AKRL 87-96
−4.5
7
vsOHIO
OHIOW 96-82
+15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-85
+7.5
14
vsAKR
AKRL 90-100
−1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@TROY
TROYL 74-84
+3.5
9
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-80
+9.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 86-77
+1.5
16
@DETM
DETMW 82-67
−4.5
21
vsSTET
STETW 103-78
+26.5
22
vsJXST
JXSTW 82-80
+8.5
23
vsUCSD
UCSDL 45-80
−29.5
30
vsOAK
OAKL 52-85
−10.5
14
@YSU
YSUL 87-93
+31.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 49-78
−13.5
29
@PUR
PURL 64-83
−8.5
4
@WMU
WMUW 76-70
−8.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 90-87
+22.5
10
vsCMU
CMUW 69-67
−15.5
14
@AKR
AKRL 78-85
+1.5
18
@BALL
BALLW 93-75
+12.5
21
vsKENT
KENTL 64-83
−1.5
24
@BGSU
BGSUW 84-71
−3.5
28
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-83
+6.5
1
vsNIU
NIUW 89-85
+19.5
4
vsBUF
BUFW 87-74
−2.5
8
vsJMU
JMUW 72-69
−10.5
11
@M-OH
M-OHL 80-92
+15.5
15
@EMU
EMUL 73-80
−4.5
18
vsBALL
BALLW 67-66
−22.5
21
vsBGSU
BGSUL 68-69
−18.5
25
@KENT
KENTL 65-105
+19.5
1
@BUF
BUFL 74-87
+1.5
4
vsAKR
AKRL 87-96
+19.5
7
vsOHIO
OHIOW 96-82
+16.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-85
+15.5
14
vsAKR
AKRL 90-100
+25.5
over 18under 14avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Toledo
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.