Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC
Closing line
UMBC -6.5✓ WAG covered by 5.5
UMBC -6.5✓ WAG covered by 5.5Closing total140.5Over by 0.5
 WAG | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 1-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAG 69–77 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 32 | 28 | 10 | 70 |
| UMBC | 28 | 32 | 11 | 71 |
1st half: WAG 32, UMBC 28 (WAG by 4). The model had UMBC by 4.8 and a total of 68.3 (actual 60).
Team stats
| WAG | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 22-55 40% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 22-32 69% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 42 12 off |
| 3 | Assists | 10 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| WAG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Placer G | 37 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Nick Jones G | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Jaden Baker G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Zavier Fitch F | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bryan Akanmu F | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bin Basil F | 25 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| John Awoke G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Brown G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Makhai Anderson G | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Michael Cooper G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Sam Smith F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Huascar Cuevas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 41 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6-17 | 1-7 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 41 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 28 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 33 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-5 |
| Cougar Downing G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Ceaser G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Ace Valentine, Regimantas Ciunys
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -6.5
no move
CloseUMBC -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 6
Close140.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
WAG +240 · UMBC -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -6.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -8.5
model UMBC -8.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 6 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -6.5 | UMBC -8.3 | UMBC +1.8 | L WAG covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 145.8 | Over 5.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WAG 68.8 · UMBC 77 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -4.8 | WAG -4.0 |
| 1H total | 68.3 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | WAG 31.8 · UMBC 36.6 | WAG 32 · UMBC 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAGlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| UMBClast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wagner
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@
HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@
FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
over 1under 2avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@
MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
over 0under 2avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wagner
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fordham61–63
- L@ Seton Hall61–68
- L@ VCU74–103
5 days since their last game.
UMBC
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Morgan St81–79
- L@ Dayton71–77
5 days since their last game.