College Basketball Games Fri, Dec 5, 2025

Day in numbers18 finalFavorites 9-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 9-8Model Favorite 13-5OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1818 final · 0 to play

Lines moved131+ pt since the open · 17 with a line

Totals moved131+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS9-853% covered

Upsets5outright

Over / Under9-853% over

Model Favorite13-572% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
CAN @ SPU	SPU -6.5 → SPU -9.5	3 → SPU	133.5 → 129.5	▼ 4
FAIR @ MAN	MAN -1.5 → FAIR -1.5	3 → FAIR	158.5 → 155.5	▼ 3
CIN @ XAV	XAV -1.5 → CIN -1.5	3 → CIN	144.5 → 147.5	▲ 3
GONZ vs UK	GONZ -3.5 → GONZ -5.5	2 → GONZ	159.5 → 159.5	no move
SCST @ BCU	BCU -11.5 → BCU -13.5	2 → BCU	148.5 → 148.5	no move
NJIT @ HPU	HPU -26.5 → HPU -28.5	2 → HPU	155.5 → 155.5	no move
USA @ ETSU	ETSU -5.5 → ETSU -7.5	2 → ETSU	141.5 → 143.5	▲ 2
BRY @ BRWN	BRWN -4.5 → BRWN -6.5	2 → BRWN	130.5 → 130.5	no move
QUIN @ IONA	IONA -2.5 → IONA -2.5	no move	159.5 → 163.5	▲ 4
SAM @ VCU	VCU -19.5 → VCU -19.5	no move	151.5 → 154.5	▲ 3

Top 10 of 17; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Gonzaga

7-1 · #17 AP #11

Kentucky

5-3 · #19 AP #18

Spread

GONZ -5.5

✓ GONZ W ATS

Total

159.5

▼ Under 153

Projected

81–79

✓ GONZ won

Model: UK by 3.3 ✗ Model: Over 1.0 ✗

FinalNon-conference

SC State

0-8 · #353

Bethune

1-6 · #202

Spread

BCU -13.5

✓ BCU W ATS

Total

148.5

▼ Under 139

Projected

71–82

✓ BCU won

Model: SCST by 1.9 ✗ Model: Over 4.3 ✗

FinalNon-conference

NJIT

3-6 · #316

High Point

6-2 · #90

Spread

HPU -28.5

✓ NJIT W ATS

Total

155.5

▲ Over 161

Projected

66–89

✓ HPU won

Model: NJIT by 5.9 ✓ Model: Under 0.4 ✗

FinalNon-conference

South Alabama

7-1 · #228

ETSU

5-2 · #173

Spread

ETSU -7.5

✓ ETSU W ATS

Total

143.5 ▲2

▲ Over 156

Projected

68–74

✓ ETSU won

Model: USA by 2.0 ✗ Model: Under 1.7 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Samford

4-5 · #184

VCU

5-3 · #61

Spread

VCU -19.5

✓ VCU W ATS

Total

154.5 ▲3

▼ Under 140

Projected

67–86

✓ VCU won

Model: SAM by 0.9 ✗ Model: Under 1.9 ✓

FinalConference

Quinnipiac

4-3 · #241

Iona

6-2 · #233

Spread

IONA -2.5

✓ QUIN W ATS

Total

163.5 ▲4

▼ Under 157

Projected

80–83

✗ IONA lost

Model: QUIN by 0.3 ✓ Model: Under 0.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Mercyhurst

2-5 · #331

Lafayette

1-7 · #310

Spread

—

Total

—

model 133.7

Projected

66–68

✓ LAF won

FinalNon-conference

Bryant

2-6 · #290

Brown

3-6 · #156

Spread

BRWN -6.5

✓ BRWN W ATS

Total

130.5

▲ Over 131

Projected

67–69

✓ BRWN won

Model: BRY by 4.3 ✗ Model: Over 5.8 ✓

FinalConference

Niagara

2-5 · #346

Siena

7-2 · #260

Spread

SIE -12.5

✓ SIE W ATS

Total

129.5 ▼2

▲ Over 137

Projected

60–74

✓ SIE won

Model: SIE by 1.2 ✓ Model: Over 3.7 ✓

FinalConference

Canisius

3-4 · #359

Saint Peter's

2-4 · #269

Spread

SPU -9.5

✓ SPU W ATS

Total

129.5 ▼4

▼ Under 126

Projected

62–72

✓ SPU won

Model: SPU by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 4.9 ✗

FinalConference

Mount St Marys

2-7 · #278

Marist

3-2 · #236

Spread

MRST -8.5

✓ MSM W ATS

Total

136.5 ▲2

▼ Under 120

Projected

62–74

✓ MRST won

Model: MRST by 3.3 ✗ Model: Under 0.9 ✓

FinalConference

Fairfield

5-3 · #239

Manhattan

2-5 · #330

Spread

FAIR -1.5

✓ MAN W ATS

Total

155.5 ▼3

▼ Under 136

Projected

81–81

✗ FAIR lost

Model: MAN by 1.3 ✓ Model: Over 7.1 ✗

FinalNon-conference

East Texas A&M

2-3 · #342

UConn

7-1 · #6 AP #5

Spread

CONN -36.5

✓ ETAM W ATS

Total

141.5 ▲2

▲ Over 142

Projected

53–87

✓ CONN won

Model: ETAM by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.0 ✗

FinalNon-conference

UAB

5-3 · #102

Drake

4-3 · #144

Spread

DRKE -1.5

✓ UAB W ATS

Total

148.5 ▲2

▼ Under 143

Projected

74–76

✗ DRKE lost

Model: UAB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.4 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Cincinnati

6-2 · #30

Xavier

6-3 · #49

Spread

CIN -1.5

✓ XAV W ATS

Total

147.5 ▲3

▲ Over 153

Projected

73–73

✗ CIN lost

Model: XAV by 1.3 ✓ Model: Under 2.3 ✗

FinalConference

N'Western St

0-6 · #318

McNeese

4-2 · #127

Spread

MCN -19.5

✓ MCN W ATS

Total

139.5 ▼1

▲ Over 146

Projected

64–81

✓ MCN won

Model: NWST by 1.8 ✗ Model: Over 5.2 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Notre Dame

6-3 · #71

TCU

5-2 · #40

Spread

TCU -6.5

✓ ND W ATS

Total

141.5 ▲2

▲ Over 172

Projected

67–75

✗ TCU lost

Model: TCU by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

San Diego

2-4 · #146

San José St

2-5 · #143

Spread

SJSU -6.5

✓ SJSU W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲1

▲ Over 155

Projected

70–77

✓ SJSU won

Model: SJSU by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 1.7 ✓

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Gonzaga 7-1 · #17 94 Kentucky 5-3 · #19 59	GONZ -5.5	159.5	GONZ -2.2	UK +3.3	160.5	Over 1.0	58% GONZ	L L	›
Final	SC State 0-8 · #353 59 Bethune 1-6 · #202 80	BCU -13.5	148.5	BCU -11.6	SCST +1.9	152.8	Over 4.3	84% BCU	L L	›
Final	NJIT 3-6 · #316 72 High Point 6-2 · #90 89	HPU -28.5	155.5	HPU -22.6	NJIT +5.9	155.1	Under 0.4	98% HPU	W L	›
Final	South Alabama 7-1 · #228 65 ETSU 5-2 · #173 91	ETSU -7.5	143.5	ETSU -5.5	USA +2.0	141.8	Under 1.7	69% ETSU	L L	›
Final	Samford 4-5 · #184 57 VCU 5-3 · #61 83	VCU -19.5	154.5	VCU -18.6	SAM +0.9	152.6	Under 1.9	95% VCU	L W	›
Final	Quinnipiac 4-3 · #241 89 Iona 6-2 · #233 68	IONA -2.5	163.5	IONA -2.2	QUIN +0.3	162.9	Under 0.6	58% IONA	W W	›
Final	Mercyhurst 2-5 · #331 71 Lafayette 1-7 · #310 79	—	—	LAF -1.2	—	133.7	—	54% LAF		›
Final	Bryant 2-6 · #290 56 Brown 3-6 · #156 75	BRWN -6.5	130.5	BRWN -2.2	BRY +4.3	136.3	Over 5.8	58% BRWN	L W	›
Final	Niagara 2-5 · #346 54 Siena 7-2 · #260 83	SIE -12.5	129.5	SIE -13.7	SIE +1.2	133.2	Over 3.7	88% SIE	W W	›
Final	Canisius 3-4 · #359 57 Saint Peter's 2-4 · #269 69	SPU -9.5	129.5	SPU -10.1	SPU +0.6	134.4	Over 4.9	81% SPU	W L	›
Final	Mount St Marys 2-7 · #278 56 Marist 3-2 · #236 64	MRST -8.5	136.5	MRST -11.8	MRST +3.3	135.6	Under 0.9	85% MRST	L W	›
Final	Fairfield 5-3 · #239 66 Manhattan 2-5 · #330 70	FAIR -1.5	155.5	FAIR -0.2	MAN +1.3	162.6	Over 7.1	51% FAIR	W L	›
Final	East Texas A&M 2-3 · #342 59 UConn 7-1 · #6 83	CONN -36.5	141.5	CONN -34.0	ETAM +2.5	139.5	Under 2.0	100% CONN	W L	›
Final	UAB 5-3 · #102 74 Drake 4-3 · #144 69	DRKE -1.5	148.5	DRKE -1.0	UAB +0.5	149.9	Over 1.4	54% DRKE	W L	›
Final	Cincinnati 6-2 · #30 74 Xavier 6-3 · #49 79	CIN -1.5	147.5	CIN -0.2	XAV +1.3	145.2	Under 2.3	51% CIN	W L	›
Final	N'Western St 0-6 · #318 54 McNeese 4-2 · #127 92	MCN -19.5	139.5	MCN -17.7	NWST +1.8	144.7	Over 5.2	94% MCN	L W	›
Final	Notre Dame 6-3 · #71 87 TCU 5-2 · #40 85	TCU -6.5	141.5	TCU -7.6	TCU +1.1	141.6	Over 0.1	75% TCU	L W	›
Final	San Diego 2-4 · #146 69 San José St 2-5 · #143 86	SJSU -6.5	144.5	SJSU -6.8	SJSU +0.3	146.2	Over 1.7	72% SJSU	W W	›

Day in numbers18 finalFavorites 9-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 9-8Model Favorite 13-5OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Friday, December 5, 2025

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