Cintas Center · at Xavier
Closing line
CIN -1.5✓ XAV covered by 6.5
CIN -1.5✓ XAV covered by 6.5Closing total147.5Over by 5.5
| CIN | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-3 |
| 2-6 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 73–73 XAV · ✗ CIN (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| XAV | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: CIN 37, XAV 37 (tied). The model had CIN by 0.3 and a total of 68.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CIN | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-69 38% | Field goals | 30-64 47% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 6-28 21% |
| 11-22 50% | Free throws | 13-23 57% |
| 51 15 off | Rebounds | 37 5 off |
| 18 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerr Kriisa G | 33 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 28 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Baba Miller F | 28 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 27 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Shon Abaev F | 25 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Sencire Harris G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Halvine Dzellat, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Jalen Haynes, Grant Darbyshire
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Carroll F | 35 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 14-23 | 1-5 |
| All Wright G | 33 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 32 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 31 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 28 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Henry Thole, Ian Sabourin, Mier Panoam, Michael Wolf
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenXAV -1.5
3 → CIN
CloseCIN -1.5
3 pts toward CIN
Total
Open144.5
▲ 3
Close147.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CIN -108 · XAV -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened XAV -1.5 · closed CIN -1.5 · moved 3 toward CINmodel CIN -0
model CIN -0
Opened 144.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -1.5 | CIN -0.2 | XAV +1.3 | W XAV covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 145.2 | Under 2.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CIN 72.7 · XAV 72.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -0.3 | PK |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 34.1 · XAV 33.9 | CIN 37 · XAV 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CINlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 2-6 25% | 2-6 25% |
| XAVlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 1–3 XAVXAV leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · CIN 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | XAV 65 @ CIN 68 | CIN -7.5 | XAV W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | CIN 79 @ XAV 84 | XAV -1 | XAV W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | XAV 80 @ CIN 77 | CIN +3.5 | CIN W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | CIN 63 @ XAV 83 | XAV -6.5 | XAV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −7.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
over 2under 6avg −8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
over 4under 5avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tarleton St76–58
- Lvs E Michigan56–64
- Wvs NJIT94–67
- Lvs Louisville64–74
- Wvs Mount St Marys72–55
4 days since their last game.
Xavier
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves96–74
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC88–67
- Wvs West Virginia78–68
- Lvs Georgia77–78
- Wvs Old Dominion99–69
4 days since their last game.