TD Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
WVU -5.5✓ XAV covered by 15.5
WVU -5.5✓ XAV covered by 15.5Closing total140.5Over by 5.5
| WVU | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 3-3 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WVU 72–67 XAV · ✗ WVU (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WVU | 28 | 40 | 68 |
| XAV | 36 | 42 | 78 |
1st half: WVU 28, XAV 36 (XAV by 8). The model had WVU by 3.1 and a total of 65.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| WVU | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 16-25 64% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 12-12 100% |
| 33 7 off | Rebounds | 31 4 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| WVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff G | 35 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Brenen Lorient F | 30 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Treysen Eaglestaff G | 30 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 8-15 | 0-5 |
| Jasper Floyd G | 24 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Harlan Obioha C | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Morris Ugusuk G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| DJ Thomas F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Amir Jenkins G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Chance Moore G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: MJ Feenane, Evans Barning Jr., Niyol Hauet, Abraham Oyeadier, Jayden Forsythe, Jackson Fields
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Carroll F | 36 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 6-11 | 5-6 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 34 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 8-14 | 5-8 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 33 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| All Wright G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 4-4 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 24 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 26 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 2-11 | 1-4 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Henry Thole, Mier Panoam, Pape N'Diaye, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWVU -5.5
ModelWVU -4.9
Model edgeXAV +0.6
W XAV covered
Total
Market140.5
Model139.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
WVU 72.2 · XAV 67.3
WVU 68 · XAV 78
Win probability
WVU 67%
1st half
Spread
WVU -3.1
XAV -8.0
Total
65.4
64 points
Projected score
WVU 34.3 · XAV 31.1
WVU 28 · XAV 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWVU -6.5
1 → XAV
CloseWVU -5.5
1 pt toward XAV
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WVU -270 · XAV +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WVU -6.5 · closed WVU -5.5 · moved 1 toward XAVmodel WVU -5
model WVU -5
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WVUlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| XAVlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WVU 0–1 XAVXAV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WVU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | WVU 74 @ XAV 84 | XAV -3.5 | XAV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
West Virginia
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
MSM
MSMW 70-54
−3.5
6
vs
CAM
CAMW 73-65
−7.5
9
vs
LEH
LEHW 69-47
+4.5
13
vs
PITT
PITTW 71-49
+16.5
17
vs
LAF
LAFW 81-59
−2.5
21
vs
CLEM
CLEML 67-70
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−12.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−0.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
−23.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
−14.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
+4.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+4.5
over 2under 4avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vs
LEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vs
SCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@
IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vs
ODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vs
UGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
over 1under 5avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
West Virginia
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Clemson67–70
- Wvs Lafayette81–59
- Wvs Pitt71–49
- Wvs Lehigh69–47
- Wvs Campbell73–65
2 days since their last game.
Xavier
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgia77–78
- Wvs Old Dominion99–69
- L@ Iowa62–81
- Lvs Santa Clara68–87
- Wvs Le Moyne74–69
2 days since their last game.