West Virginia Mountaineers vs Clemson Tigers: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 21, 6:30 PM ETTD Arena · Neutral site

Final

#35CLEMClemson70▲ winner

Closing lineCLEM -4.5✓ WVU covered by 1.5

Closing total132.5Over by 4.5

Season records: West Virginia and Clemson
WVU	This season	CLEM
5-0	Record	4-1
2-3	ATS	2-3
1-4	O/U	2-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WVU 67–69 CLEM · ✓ CLEM (56%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WVU	32	35	67
CLEM	25	45	70

1st half: WVU 32, CLEM 25 (WVU by 7). The model had CLEM by 0.9 and a total of 63.6 (actual 57).

Team stats

WVU		CLEM
23-57 40%	Field goals	24-52 46%
9-23 39%	3-pointers	7-22 32%
12-19 63%	Free throws	15-19 79%
33 9 off	Rebounds	36 6 off
9	Assists	12
8	Steals	5
3	Blocks	4
8	Turnovers	12
17	Fouls	15
22	Points in paint	32
16	Fast-break points	8

Players

WVU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Honor Huff G	38	17	1	0	5-6	3-4
Harlan Obioha C	26	0	9	2	0-4	0-0
Jasper Floyd G	25	14	1	0	5-9	2-4
Brenen Lorient F	25	4	5	1	1-7	0-3
Treysen Eaglestaff G	17	5	3	1	2-9	1-5
Bench
Chance Moore G	24	16	5	1	6-12	2-3
Amir Jenkins G	19	8	3	4	3-5	0-0
Morris Ugusuk G	17	3	2	0	1-2	1-2
DJ Thomas F	9	0	0	0	0-3	0-2

Did not play: MJ Feenane, Evans Barning Jr., Niyol Hauet, Abraham Oyeadier, Jayden Forsythe, Jackson Fields

CLEM	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dillon Hunter G	29	13	3	4	5-8	1-3
Jestin Porter G	27	14	1	0	4-9	2-4
Carter Welling F	24	13	8	2	4-7	2-3
Jake Wahlin F	19	3	4	1	1-5	0-3
Nick Davidson F	16	0	2	2	0-2	0-0
Bench
RJ Godfrey F	28	14	6	3	6-8	0-0
Butta Johnson G	22	11	2	0	3-5	2-4
Zac Foster G	15	0	2	0	0-4	0-3
Ace Buckner G	13	2	3	0	1-4	0-2
Chase Thompson F	7	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Blake Davidson, Trent Steinour, Dallas Thomas

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CLEM -4.5	CLEM -1.8	WVU +2.7	W WVU covered
Total	132.5	135.8	Over 3.3	W Over
Projected score	—	WVU 67 · CLEM 68.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CLEM -0.9	WVU -7.0
1H total	63.6	57
1H projected score	WVU 31.4 · CLEM 32.3	WVU 32 · CLEM 25

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
WVU LLWWL	2-3	40%	—	—
CLEM WWLLL	2-3	40%	—	2-3

Venue/role: WVU neutral site, as underdog; CLEM neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
WVU UUUUO	1-4	20%	5-0
CLEM UOUOU	2-3	40%	4-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WVUlast 5	5-0 100%	2-3 40%	1-4 20%
CLEMlast 5	4-1 80%	2-3 40%	2-3 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

WVU 1–0 CLEMWVU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WVU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 21, 2021-22	CLEM 59 vs WVU 66	WVU -2.5	WVU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Virginia

5 games played

Straight up

5-0

100% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-4

20% overs · avg −9.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-0100%

W W W W W

5 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-340%

L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-420%

U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsMSM	W 70-54	-19.5	L −3.5	136.5	U 124
Nov 6	vsCAM	W 73-65	-15.5	L −7.5	138.5	U 138
Nov 9	vsLEH	W 69-47	-17.5	W +4.5	139.5	U 116
Nov 13	vsPITT	W 71-49	-5.5	W +16.5	134.5	U 120
Nov 17	vsLAF	W 81-59	-24.5	L −2.5	135.5	O 140

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MSM

W 70-54

−3.5

CAM

W 73-65

−7.5

LEH

W 69-47

+4.5

PITT

W 71-49

+16.5

LAF

W 81-59

−2.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MSM

W 70-54

−12.5

CAM

W 73-65

−0.5

LEH

W 69-47

−23.5

PITT

W 71-49

−14.5

LAF

W 81-59

+4.5

over 1under 4avg −9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Clemson

5 games played

Straight up

4-1

80% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-3

40% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-180%

W W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-340%

W W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-340%

U O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUNH	W 88-38	-29.5	W +20.5	146.5	U 126
Nov 7	vsGWEB	W 97-59	-29.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 156
Nov 11	vsMORE	W 83-56	-29.5	L −2.5	151.5	U 139
Nov 15	@GTWN	L 74-79	-1.5	L −6.5	142.5	O 153
Nov 17	vsUNA	W 81-61	-25.5	L −5.5	144.5	U 142

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNH

W 88-38

+20.5

GWEB

W 97-59

+8.5

W 83-56

−2.5

GTWN

L 74-79

−6.5

UNA

W 81-61

−5.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNH

W 88-38

−20.5

GWEB

W 97-59

+10.5

W 83-56

−12.5

GTWN

L 74-79

+10.5

UNA

W 81-61

−2.5

over 2under 3avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

West Virginia vs Clemson

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

West Virginia

Clemson

West Virginia

Clemson