Clemson Tigers at Georgetown Hoyas: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 15, 12:00 PM ETCapital One Arena · at Georgetown

#35CLEMClemson74final

Final

#64GTWNGeorgetown79▲ winner

Closing lineCLEM -1.5✓ GTWN covered by 6.5

Closing total142.5Over by 10.5

Season records: Clemson and Georgetown
CLEM	This season	GTWN
3-0	Record	3-0
2-1	ATS	1-2
1-2	O/U	2-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: CLEM 75–71 GTWN · ✗ CLEM (62%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
CLEM	36	38	74
GTWN	33	46	79

1st half: CLEM 36, GTWN 33 (CLEM by 3). The model had CLEM by 2.3 and a total of 68.4 (actual 69).

Team stats

CLEM		GTWN
25-61 41%	Field goals	24-53 45%
10-29 34%	3-pointers	6-17 35%
14-20 70%	Free throws	25-32 78%
36 11 off	Rebounds	35 6 off
14	Assists	16
4	Steals	8
3	Blocks	3
10	Turnovers	8
22	Fouls	17
26	Points in paint	28
13	Fast-break points	18

Players

CLEM	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jake Wahlin F	31	8	7	0	3-7	2-5
Nick Davidson F	30	13	5	0	6-13	1-4
Dillon Hunter G	26	8	6	3	3-7	2-3
Jestin Porter G	16	8	2	1	2-9	2-6
RJ Godfrey F	12	3	1	0	1-3	0-0
Bench
Carter Welling F	27	14	5	3	5-8	1-3
Zac Foster G	19	11	2	4	2-4	2-4
Ace Buckner G	19	6	3	3	2-7	0-2
Butta Johnson G	10	0	1	0	0-2	0-2
Chase Thompson F	10	3	1	0	1-1	0-0

Did not play: Trent Steinour, Dallas Thomas, Blake Davidson

GTWN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Malik Mack G	36	16	3	7	5-9	2-5
KJ Lewis G	36	26	4	2	7-15	1-3
Caleb Williams F	35	13	6	3	5-14	3-7
Isaiah Abraham F	12	4	3	0	1-3	0-2
Julius Halaifonua C	8	2	1	1	1-2	0-0
Bench
Vince Iwuchukwu C	27	14	4	1	4-6	0-0
DeShawn Harris-Smith G	26	4	6	0	1-3	0-0
Jeremiah Williams G	8	0	1	2	0-1	0-0
Langston Love G	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jayden Fort F	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Seal Diouf C	2	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Hashem Asadallah, Austin Montgomery, Mason Moses, Kayvaun Mulready, Michael Van Raaphorst

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CLEM -1.5	CLEM -3.6	CLEM +2.1	L GTWN covered
Total	142.5	146.0	Over 3.5	W Over
Projected score	—	CLEM 74.8 · GTWN 71.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CLEM -2.3	CLEM -3.0
1H total	68.4	69
1H projected score	CLEM 35.4 · GTWN 33	CLEM 36 · GTWN 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLEM WWL	2-1	67%	—	2-1
GTWN LWL	1-2	33%	0-2	1-0

Venue/role: CLEM away, as favorite; GTWN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLEM UOU	1-2	33%	3-0
GTWN OUO	2-1	67%	3-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLEMlast 3	3-0 100%	2-1 67%	1-2 33%
GTWNlast 3	3-0 100%	1-2 33%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Clemson

3 games played

Straight up

3-0

100% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg +8.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-0100%

W W W

3 straight wins3 of 3 won

Against the spread

2-167%

W W L

2 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-233%

U O U

1 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUNH	W 88-38	-29.5	W +20.5	146.5	U 126
Nov 7	vsGWEB	W 97-59	-29.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 156
Nov 11	vsMORE	W 83-56	-29.5	L −2.5	151.5	U 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNH

W 88-38

+20.5

GWEB

W 97-59

+8.5

W 83-56

−2.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNH

W 88-38

−20.5

GWEB

W 97-59

+10.5

W 83-56

−12.5

over 1under 2avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Georgetown

3 games played

Straight up

3-0

100% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-0100%

W W W

3 straight wins3 of 3 won

Against the spread

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

O U O

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMORG	W 87-70	-27.5	L −10.5	154.5	O 157
Nov 7	@MD	W 70-60	+4.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 130
Nov 12	vsBING	W 83-70	-27.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

−10.5

W 70-60

+14.5

BING

W 83-70

−14.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

+2.5

W 70-60

−14.5

BING

W 83-70

+11.5

over 2under 1avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Clemson Tigers at Georgetown Hoyas

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Clemson

Georgetown

Clemson

Georgetown