Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke
Closing line
DUKE -39.5✓ DUKE covered by 18.5
DUKE -39.5✓ DUKE covered by 18.5Closing total146.5Under by 4.5
 NIA | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 5-0 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 5-0 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 1-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIA 51–91 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 19 | 23 | 42 |
| DUKE | 47 | 53 | 100 |
1st half: NIA 19, DUKE 47 (DUKE by 28). The model had DUKE by 23.8 and a total of 66.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| NIA | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-48 27% | Field goals | 32-55 58% |
| 7-29 24% | 3-pointers | 17-33 52% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 20 7 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 24 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Trenton Walters G | 25 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Will Shortt F | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Sabino G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Vice Zanki F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Drew Larson F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Brian Griffith G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu C | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Landon Williams G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| AJ McBride G | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gael Dalmau
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dame Sarr F | 22 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Boozer F | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 21 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Caleb Foster G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 20 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 24 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Darren Harris G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 17 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Maliq Brown F | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Sheffield G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jack Scott G | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ifeanyi Ufochukwu C | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -39.5
ModelDUKE -39.7
Model edgeDUKE +0.2
W DUKE covered
Total
Market146.5
Model141.8
Model edgeUnder 4.7
W Under
Projected score
NIA 51.1 · DUKE 90.8
NIA 42 · DUKE 100
Win probability
DUKE 100%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -23.8
DUKE -28.0
Total
66.5
66 points
Projected score
NIA 21.3 · DUKE 45.1
NIA 19 · DUKE 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -39.5
no move
CloseDUKE -39.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -39.5 · unchangedmodel DUKE -39.5 matches the line
model DUKE -39.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIAlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
| DUKElast 5 | 5-0 100% | 5-0 100% | 1-4 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@
BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vs
DSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@
LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
over 2under 2avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
TEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vs
WCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@
ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vs
INST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vs
KU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
over 1under 4avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Niagara
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Le Moyne68–74
- Wvs Delaware St68–57
- W@ Binghamton67–59
- L@ Duquesne63–83
4 days since their last game.
Duke
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas78–66
- Wvs Indiana St100–62
- W@ Army114–59
- Wvs W Carolina95–54
- Wvs Texas75–60
3 days since their last game.