Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida
Closing line
FLA -36.5✓ MRMK covered by 1.5
FLA -36.5✓ MRMK covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Under by 33.5
 MRMK | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 60–95 FLA · ✓ FLA (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 17 | 28 | 45 |
| FLA | 44 | 36 | 80 |
1st half: MRMK 17, FLA 44 (FLA by 27). The model had FLA by 20.7 and a total of 72.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MRMK | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-56 29% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 4-25 16% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 25 7 off | Rebounds | 53 19 off |
| 7 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Dorset G | 38 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-17 | 1-10 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-8 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 30 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Todd Brogna F | 26 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Veillette F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Malik Edmead G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Aliou Cisse F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Munro, Quinn Kwasniak, Jacob Moore, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Alex Condon F | 29 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Boogie Fland G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 27 | 14 | 21 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 22 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| CJ Ingram G | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Olivier Rioux C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: AJ Brown, Cooper Josefsberg, Micah Handlogten
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -36.5
no move
CloseFLA -36.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -36.5 · unchangedmodel FLA -34.5
model FLA -34.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -36.5 | FLA -34.6 | MRMK +1.9 | W MRMK covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 155.1 | Under 3.4 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MRMK 60.2 · FLA 94.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -20.7 | FLA -27.0 |
| 1H total | 72.6 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | MRMK 26 · FLA 46.7 | MRMK 17 · FLA 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMKlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
| FLAlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 0–1 FLAFLA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MRMK 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | MRMK 57 @ FLA 77 | FLA -21.5 | MRMK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@
TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@
BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vs
ME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
over 3under 2avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vs
UNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vs
FSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vs
MIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
over 1under 3avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine72–65
- W@ Boston U91–79
- L@ Tarleton St62–76
- L@ Auburn57–95
- Lvs S Dakota St66–75
2 days since their last game.
Florida
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Miami82–68
- Wvs Florida St78–76
- Wvs North Florida104–64
- Lvs Arizona87–93
5 days since their last game.