Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke
Closing line
DUKE -37.5✓ DUKE covered by 0.5
DUKE -37.5✓ DUKE covered by 0.5Closing total163.5Under by 1.5
 INST | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 3-0 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 63–93 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (100%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 32 | 30 | 62 |
| DUKE | 51 | 49 | 100 |
1st half: INST 32, DUKE 51 (DUKE by 19). The model had DUKE by 18.0 and a total of 73.4 (actual 83).
Team stats
| INST | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-61 36% | Field goals | 38-71 54% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 48 16 off |
| 14 | Assists | 22 |
| 11 | Steals | 13 |
| 1 | Blocks | 13 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Hall G | 35 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Camp Wagner G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4-15 | 3-12 |
| Sterling Young G | 26 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Ian Scott F | 25 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Derek Vorst C | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Markus Harding C | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jayan Walker F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Zyair Greene G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Bean G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caden Huttenlocker G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Jo Van Buggenhout, Hunter Harding
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 29 | 35 | 12 | 5 | 13-16 | 2-2 |
| Caleb Foster G | 23 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 21 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Dame Sarr F | 18 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Maliq Brown F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Darren Harris G | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Ifeanyi Ufochukwu C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Sheffield G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Scott G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -40.5
3 → INST
CloseDUKE -37.5
3 pts toward INST
Total
Open160.5
▲ 3
Close163.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -40.5 · closed DUKE -37.5 · moved 3 toward INSTmodel DUKE -30
model DUKE -30
Opened 160.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -37.5 | DUKE -29.9 | INST +7.6 | L DUKE covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 156.7 | Under 6.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | INST 63.4 · DUKE 93.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -18.0 | DUKE -19.0 |
| 1H total | 73.4 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | INST 27.7 · DUKE 45.7 | INST 32 · DUKE 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSTlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| DUKElast 3 | 3-0 100% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@
SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
over 1under 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +10.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
TEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vs
WCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@
ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
over 1under 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SIUE64–55
- L@ Charlotte76–92
4 days since their last game.
Duke
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Army114–59
- Wvs W Carolina95–54
- Wvs Texas75–60
3 days since their last game.