Lindenwood Lions vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 14, 6:30 PM ETEvent Center · Neutral site

Final

Closing lineLIN -2.5✓ LIN covered by 3.5

Closing total155.5Over by 4.5

Season records: Lindenwood Lions and Charleston So
LIN	This season	CHSO
0-2	Record	1-2
0-2	ATS	1-2
2-0	O/U	2-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: LIN 77–77 CHSO · ✗ CHSO (50%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
LIN	28	55	83
CHSO	41	36	77

1st half: LIN 28, CHSO 41 (CHSO by 13). The model had LIN by 0.1 and a total of 72.3 (actual 69).

Team stats

LIN		CHSO
28-64 44%	Field goals	28-65 43%
6-18 33%	3-pointers	10-34 29%
21-31 68%	Free throws	11-16 69%
42 12 off	Rebounds	42 10 off
17	Assists	20
13	Steals	5
3	Blocks	6
11	Turnovers	16
13	Fouls	20
38	Points in paint	36
17	Fast-break points	12

Players

LIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jadis Jones G	37	30	8	6	12-17	0-1
Clayton Jackson G	35	14	7	4	3-9	2-5
Mekhi Cooper G	35	7	1	4	2-10	0-3
Milos Nenadic C	31	15	13	1	5-9	3-4
Anias Futrell G	27	5	6	0	1-7	0-2
Bench
Dontrez Williams G	16	6	0	1	2-5	1-1
Robert Lewis F	11	6	2	1	3-7	0-2
Todd Bieg F	7	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jaylon McDaniel F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jalen Bouknight, Jeremiah Talton, Tidiane d'Almeida, William Campbell, Daniel Kwon, Kevin Anthony

CHSO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Brycen Blaine G	35	22	6	5	6-15	5-12
A'lahn Sumler G	30	10	6	6	5-10	0-4
Jesse Hafemeister F	22	10	4	1	4-10	2-5
Jaquias Franklin G	19	9	3	3	4-7	1-4
Lase Olalere F	7	2	0	0	1-1	0-0
Bench
Nate Brafford F	32	10	6	4	4-9	1-4
Reis Jones F	29	6	7	0	3-6	0-0
Jacob Taylor G	13	0	1	1	0-3	0-2
Trent Coleman F	9	8	7	0	1-3	1-2
Armari Carraway G	4	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Devin Brafford, Anthony Gause, Kaleb Lofton, Luke Williams, AJ Gladieux, Easton Hupp

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	LIN -2.5	CHSO -0.1	CHSO +2.6	L LIN covered
Total	155.5	154.4	Under 1.1	L Over
Projected score	—	LIN 77.1 · CHSO 77.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LIN -0.1	CHSO -13.0
1H total	72.3	69
1H projected score	LIN 36.2 · CHSO 36.1	LIN 28 · CHSO 41

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
LIN LL	0-2	0%	—	—
CHSO LWL	1-2	33%	—	0-2

Venue/role: LIN neutral site, as favorite; CHSO neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
LIN OO	2-0	100%	0-2
CHSO OOU	2-1	67%	1-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LINlast 2	0-2 0%	0-2 0%	2-0 100%
CHSOlast 3	1-2 33%	1-2 33%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Lindenwood Lions

2 games played

Straight up

0-2

0% wins

Against the spread

0-2

0% covers · avg −13.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-0

100% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-20%

L L

2 straight losses0 of 2 won

Against the spread

0-20%

L L

2 straight misses ATS0 of 2 covered

Over / Under

2-0100%

O O

2 straight overs2 of 2 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@TTU	L 60-98	+29.5	L −8.5	146.5	O 158
Nov 10	@SLU	L 66-109	+24.5	L −18.5	165.5	O 175

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TTU

L 60-98

−8.5

SLU

L 66-109

−18.5

covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TTU

L 60-98

+11.5

SLU

L 66-109

+9.5

over 2under 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Charleston So

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +11.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

O O U

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@VT	L 67-98	+18.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 165
Nov 10	@CIT	W 96-86	-2.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 182
Nov 13	@AAMU	L 64-68	+1.5	L −2.5	152.5	U 132

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 67-98

−12.5

CIT

W 96-86

+7.5

AAMU

L 64-68

−2.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 67-98

+18.5

CIT

W 96-86

+36.5

AAMU

L 64-68

−20.5

over 2under 1avg +11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Lindenwood Lions vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Lindenwood Lions

Charleston So

Lindenwood Lions

Charleston So