Cintas Center · at Xavier
Closing line
XAV -3.5✓ SCU covered by 22.5
XAV -3.5✓ SCU covered by 22.5Closing total155.5Under by 0.5
 SCU | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SCU 74–79 XAV · ✗ XAV (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCU | 39 | 48 | 87 |
| XAV | 20 | 48 | 68 |
1st half: SCU 39, XAV 20 (SCU by 19). The model had XAV by 2.5 and a total of 71.7 (actual 59).
Team stats
| SCU | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-64 55% | Field goals | 19-56 34% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 25-34 74% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 33 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 11 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ensminger G | 30 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Elijah Mahi F | 27 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Christian Hammond G | 26 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Brenton Knapper G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Thierry Darlan G | 25 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Allen Graves F | 16 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| KJ Cochran G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chris Tadjo, Noah Badibanga, Brad Longcor III, Juan Reyna, Gehrig Normand, Brendan Yarusso, Malachi Douyon
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roddie Anderson G | 36 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-6 |
| Tre Carroll F | 35 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-2 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 22 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| All Wright G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 12 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Mier Panoam G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Henry Thole, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketXAV -3.5
ModelXAV -4.5
Model edgeXAV +1.0
L SCU covered
Total
Market155.5
Model153.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
W Under
Projected score
SCU 74.3 · XAV 78.7
SCU 87 · XAV 68
Win probability
XAV 65%
1st half
Spread
XAV -2.5
SCU -19.0
Total
71.7
59 points
Projected score
SCU 34.6 · XAV 37.1
SCU 39 · XAV 20
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenXAV -3.5
no move
CloseXAV -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SCU +140 · XAV -165
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened XAV -3.5 · unchangedmodel XAV -4.5
model XAV -4.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| XAVlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Clara
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs MCN | W 79-67 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
−5.5
over 0under 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −14 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vs
LEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −14 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
over 0under 2avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Clara
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs McNeese79–67
3 days since their last game.
Xavier
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Le Moyne74–69
- Wvs Marist66–62
4 days since their last game.