McNeese Cowboys at Santa Clara Broncos: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 7, 10:00 PM ETLeavey Center · at Santa Clara

#127MCNMcNeese67final

Final

#106SCUSanta Clara79▲ winner

Closing lineSCU -6.5✓ SCU covered by 5.5

Closing total151.5Under by 5.5

Season records: McNeese and Santa Clara
MCN	This season	SCU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MCN 72–77 SCU · ✓ SCU (66%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
MCN	33	34	67
SCU	37	42	79

1st half: MCN 33, SCU 37 (SCU by 4). The model had SCU by 2.7 and a total of 69.8 (actual 70).

Team stats

MCN		SCU
23-51 45%	Field goals	26-66 39%
4-16 25%	3-pointers	12-31 39%
17-23 74%	Free throws	15-25 60%
28 9 off	Rebounds	47 25 off
10	Assists	18
11	Steals	5
5	Blocks	4
14	Turnovers	15
21	Fouls	18
38	Points in paint	26
20	Fast-break points	19

Players

MCN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
DJ Richards Jr. G	29	11	0	1	3-6	2-4
Jacolb Fredson-Cole F	25	6	9	4	2-6	0-2
Tyshawn Archie G	25	11	2	3	4-13	1-3
Javohn Garcia G	21	0	2	0	0-4	0-2
Yanis Ndjonga F	20	4	3	0	2-2	0-0
Bench
Garwey Dual G	26	6	1	0	3-6	0-2
Larry Johnson G	21	18	4	1	4-7	0-2
Carl Cherenfant G	15	4	4	1	2-3	0-0
Jerrell Colbert F	12	5	1	0	2-3	1-1
Peitok Machar F	6	2	0	0	1-1	0-0

Did not play: JJ Rembert, Akim Mazou, Kaleb Brewer, Erik Villarreal, T'Johnn Brown

SCU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Elijah Mahi F	32	19	4	2	7-13	2-5
Christian Hammond G	29	12	8	4	3-8	1-3
Allen Graves F	29	6	13	1	2-9	0-0
Jake Ensminger G	29	11	7	6	4-6	3-5
Brenton Knapper G	22	5	2	3	1-7	1-5
Bench
Sash Gavalyugov G	22	19	3	0	7-13	5-8
Thierry Darlan G	17	4	3	0	1-5	0-2
Francis Chukwudebelu C	11	3	1	1	1-1	0-0
KJ Cochran G	9	0	2	1	0-4	0-3

Did not play: Noah Badibanga, Brad Longcor III, Malachi Douyon, Chris Tadjo, Bukky Oboye, Juan Reyna, Brendan Yarusso, Gehrig Normand

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SCU -6.5	SCU -4.8	MCN +1.7	L SCU covered
Total	151.5	149.2	Under 2.3	W Under
Projected score	—	MCN 72.2 · SCU 77

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SCU -2.7	SCU -4.0
1H total	69.8	70
1H projected score	MCN 33.6 · SCU 36.3	MCN 33 · SCU 37

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2024-25 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MCN WWLWL	16-17	48%	6-6	3-1
SCU LWLWL	18-16	53%	8-9	12-12

Venue/role: MCN away, as underdog; SCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2024-25 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
MCN OOUUU	15-18	45%	26-7
SCU OOUOO	18-16	53%	21-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2024-25

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MCN	9-1 90%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
SCU	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

MCN 0–1 SCUSCU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MCN 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 3, 2024-25	SCU 74 @ MCN 67	MCN -5.5	SCU W

ATS History · 2024-25

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

McNeese

33 games played

Straight up

26-7

79% wins

Against the spread

16-17

48% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-18

45% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

26-779%

L L W W W L L L W W W W W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1748%

L W W L W L L W L W W W W L W L W W L L L L L L L W W L W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1845%

O U O O O U U U U O U U O O U O O O O U U U U U O U O U O O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsSDST	L 73-80	-10.5	L −17.5	144.5	O 153
Nov 11	@ALA	L 64-72	+17.5	W +9.5	168.5	U 136
Nov 18	vsUNT	W 68-61	-4.5	W +2.5	128.5	O 129
Nov 22	vsILST	W 76-68	-10.5	L −2.5	136.5	O 144
Nov 24	vsLONG	W 84-69	-7.5	W +7.5	140.5	O 153
Nov 25	vsLIB	L 58-62	-1.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 120
Dec 3	vsSCU	L 67-74	-5.5	L −12.5	146.5	U 141
Dec 14	vsMSST	L 63-66	+9.5	W +6.5	143.5	U 129
Dec 22	@UL	W 64-56	-11.5	L −3.5	140.5	U 120
Dec 28	vsNOLA	W 86-61	-23.5	W +1.5	144.5	O 147
Dec 30	vsSELA	W 79-51	-14.5	W +13.5	134.5	U 130
Jan 4	@ETAM	W 75-56	-16.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 6	@NWST	W 92-69	-11.5	W +11.5	132.5	O 161
Jan 11	vsNICH	W 80-71	-16.5	L −7.5	143.5	O 151
Jan 13	@HCU	W 75-59	-14.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 134
Jan 18	vsLAM	W 75-64	-14.5	L −3.5	135.5	O 139
Jan 20	vsSFA	W 79-59	-14.5	W +5.5	133.5	O 138
Jan 25	@RGV	W 93-63	-9.5	W +20.5	144.5	O 156
Jan 27	@AMCC	W 74-73	-8.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 147
Feb 1	@NICH	L 63-71	-10.5	L −18.5	144.5	U 134
Feb 3	vsUIW	W 67-65	-15.5	L −13.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 8	vsNWST	W 65-50	-17.5	L −2.5	133.5	U 115
Feb 10	vsETAM	W 67-51	-19.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 118
Feb 15	@NOLA	W 78-64	-19.5	L −5.5	142.5	U 142
Feb 17	@SELA	W 88-82	-8.5	L −2.5	138.5	O 170
Feb 22	vsAMCC	W 73-57	-12.5	W +3.5	140.5	U 130
Feb 24	vsRGV	W 100-65	-14.5	W +20.5	148.5	O 165
Mar 1	@LAM	W 68-66	-8.5	L −6.5	135.5	U 134
Mar 3	@SFA	W 95-64	-12.5	W +18.5	137.5	O 159
Mar 11	vsNWST	W 83-64	-14.5	W +4.5	132.5	O 147
Mar 12	vsLAM	W 63-54	-12.5	L −3.5	133.5	U 117
Mar 20	vsCLEM	W 69-67	+7.5	W +9.5	136.5	U 136
Mar 22	vsPUR	L 62-76	+6.5	L −7.5	141.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SDST

L 73-80

−17.5

ALA

L 64-72

+9.5

UNT

W 68-61

+2.5

ILST

W 76-68

−2.5

LONG

W 84-69

+7.5

LIB

L 58-62

−5.5

SCU

L 67-74

−12.5

MSST

L 63-66

+6.5

W 64-56

−3.5

NOLA

W 86-61

+1.5

SELA

W 79-51

+13.5

ETAM

W 75-56

+2.5

NWST

W 92-69

+11.5

NICH

W 80-71

−7.5

HCU

W 75-59

+1.5

LAM

W 75-64

−3.5

SFA

W 79-59

+5.5

RGV

W 93-63

+20.5

AMCC

W 74-73

−7.5

NICH

L 63-71

−18.5

UIW

W 67-65

−13.5

NWST

W 65-50

−2.5

ETAM

W 67-51

−3.5

NOLA

W 78-64

−5.5

SELA

W 88-82

−2.5

AMCC

W 73-57

+3.5

RGV

W 100-65

+20.5

LAM

W 68-66

−6.5

SFA

W 95-64

+18.5

NWST

W 83-64

+4.5

LAM

W 63-54

−3.5

CLEM

W 69-67

+9.5

PUR

L 62-76

−7.5

covered 16didn’t cover 17avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SDST

L 73-80

+8.5

ALA

L 64-72

−32.5

UNT

W 68-61

+0.5

ILST

W 76-68

+7.5

LONG

W 84-69

+12.5

LIB

L 58-62

−14.5

SCU

L 67-74

−5.5

MSST

L 63-66

−14.5

W 64-56

−20.5

NOLA

W 86-61

+2.5

SELA

W 79-51

−4.5

ETAM

W 75-56

−6.5

NWST

W 92-69

+28.5

NICH

W 80-71

+7.5

HCU

W 75-59

−4.5

LAM

W 75-64

+3.5

SFA

W 79-59

+4.5

RGV

W 93-63

+11.5

AMCC

W 74-73

+2.5

NICH

L 63-71

−10.5

UIW

W 67-65

−8.5

NWST

W 65-50

−18.5

ETAM

W 67-51

−17.5

NOLA

W 78-64

−0.5

SELA

W 88-82

+31.5

AMCC

W 73-57

−10.5

RGV

W 100-65

+16.5

LAM

W 68-66

−1.5

SFA

W 95-64

+21.5

NWST

W 83-64

+14.5

LAM

W 63-54

−16.5

CLEM

W 69-67

−0.5

PUR

L 62-76

−3.5

over 15under 18avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Santa Clara

34 games played

Straight up

21-13

62% wins

Against the spread

18-16

53% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-16

53% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1362%

W L L L W L W L W W W W W W L W W W L W W L L W W W L W W L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

18-1653%

W L L L W L W L W L W W L L W L L W L W W L L W W W W W W L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1653%

O O O U U U U U U U O O O O O O O U U O U O U U U O U U O O O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsSLU	W 85-78	-1.5	W +5.5	157.5	O 163
Nov 8	vsASU	L 74-81	-5.5	L −12.5	151.5	O 155
Nov 13	vsNDSU	L 80-88	-15.5	L −23.5	153.5	O 168
Nov 16	@NEV	L 59-85	+7.5	L −18.5	146.5	U 144
Nov 19	vsUCR	W 96-54	-9.5	W +32.5	151.5	U 150
Nov 23	vsSTAN	L 69-71	-1.5	L −3.5	147.5	U 140
Nov 28	vsTCU	W 69-52	+4.5	W +21.5	148.5	U 121
Nov 29	vsWASH	L 69-76	-1.5	L −8.5	147.5	U 145
Dec 3	@MCN	W 74-67	+5.5	W +12.5	146.5	U 141
Dec 7	vsFRES	W 81-66	-16.5	L −1.5	156.5	U 147
Dec 14	vsBRAD	W 84-74	-2.5	W +7.5	144.5	O 158
Dec 18	vsKENN	W 94-74	-14.5	W +5.5	157.5	O 168
Dec 21	vsSDAK	W 98-81	-18.5	L −1.5	168.5	O 179
Dec 28	vsPEPP	W 91-80	-14.5	L −3.5	154.5	O 171
Dec 30	@SF	L 94-97	+4.5	W +1.5	145.5	O 191
Jan 2	@USD	W 81-80	-13.5	L −12.5	152.5	O 161
Jan 9	vsORST	W 82-81	-6.5	L −5.5	146.5	O 163
Jan 11	vsSF	W 77-54	-2.5	W +20.5	151.5	U 131
Jan 16	@LMU	L 54-57	-4.5	L −7.5	148.5	U 111
Jan 18	@GONZ	W 103-99	+14.5	W +18.5	162.5	O 202
Jan 23	vsWSU	W 93-65	-5.5	W +22.5	158.5	U 158
Jan 25	@ORST	L 69-83	+1.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 152
Jan 29	vsSMC	L 54-67	+3.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 121
Feb 1	vsPAC	W 83-49	-16.5	W +17.5	149.5	U 132
Feb 6	@PORT	W 97-50	-13.5	W +33.5	153.5	U 147
Feb 8	vsUSD	W 93-70	-19.5	W +3.5	154.5	O 163
Feb 11	@SMC	L 64-73	+12.5	W +3.5	137.5	U 137
Feb 20	vsLMU	W 76-61	-10.5	W +4.5	148.5	U 137
Feb 22	@WSU	W 109-79	+0.5	W +30.5	156.5	O 188
Feb 25	vsGONZ	L 76-95	+6.5	L −12.5	163.5	O 171
Mar 1	@PAC	W 97-66	-13.5	W +17.5	148.5	O 163
Mar 9	vsPEPP	L 76-78	-15.5	L −17.5	158.5	U 154
Mar 18	vsUCR	W 101-62	-9.5	W +29.5	158.5	O 163
Mar 23	vsUAB	L 84-88	-6.5	L −10.5	171.5	O 172

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SLU

W 85-78

+5.5

ASU

L 74-81

−12.5

NDSU

L 80-88

−23.5

NEV

L 59-85

−18.5

UCR

W 96-54

+32.5

STAN

L 69-71

−3.5

TCU

W 69-52

+21.5

WASH

L 69-76

−8.5

MCN

W 74-67

+12.5

FRES

W 81-66

−1.5

BRAD

W 84-74

+7.5

KENN

W 94-74

+5.5

SDAK

W 98-81

−1.5

PEPP

W 91-80

−3.5

L 94-97

+1.5

USD

W 81-80

−12.5

ORST

W 82-81

−5.5

W 77-54

+20.5

LMU

L 54-57

−7.5

GONZ

W 103-99

+18.5

WSU

W 93-65

+22.5

ORST

L 69-83

−12.5

SMC

L 54-67

−9.5

PAC

W 83-49

+17.5

PORT

W 97-50

+33.5

USD

W 93-70

+3.5

SMC

L 64-73

+3.5

LMU

W 76-61

+4.5

WSU

W 109-79

+30.5

GONZ

L 76-95

−12.5

PAC

W 97-66

+17.5

PEPP

L 76-78

−17.5

UCR

W 101-62

+29.5

UAB

L 84-88

−10.5

covered 18didn’t cover 16avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SLU

W 85-78

+5.5

ASU

L 74-81

+3.5

NDSU

L 80-88

+14.5

NEV

L 59-85

−2.5

UCR

W 96-54

−1.5

STAN

L 69-71

−7.5

TCU

W 69-52

−27.5

WASH

L 69-76

−2.5

MCN

W 74-67

−5.5

FRES

W 81-66

−9.5

BRAD

W 84-74

+13.5

KENN

W 94-74

+10.5

SDAK

W 98-81

+10.5

PEPP

W 91-80

+16.5

L 94-97

+45.5

USD

W 81-80

+8.5

ORST

W 82-81

+16.5

W 77-54

−20.5

LMU

L 54-57

−37.5

GONZ

W 103-99

+39.5

WSU

W 93-65

−0.5

ORST

L 69-83

+5.5

SMC

L 54-67

−19.5

PAC

W 83-49

−17.5

PORT

W 97-50

−6.5

USD

W 93-70

+8.5

SMC

L 64-73

−0.5

LMU

W 76-61

−11.5

WSU

W 109-79

+31.5

GONZ

L 76-95

+7.5

PAC

W 97-66

+14.5

PEPP

L 76-78

−4.5

UCR

W 101-62

+4.5

UAB

L 84-88

+0.5

over 18under 16avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

McNeese Cowboys at Santa Clara Broncos

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2024-25

McNeese

Santa Clara

McNeese

Santa Clara