Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke
Closing line
DUKE -43.5✓ HOW covered by 6.5
Closing total154.5Under by 5.5
| This season | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 6-0 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 6-0 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOW 55–94 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| DUKE | 52 | 41 | 93 |
1st half: HOW 18, DUKE 52 (DUKE by 34). The model had DUKE by 23.2 and a total of 69.7 (actual 70).
Team stats
| HOW | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-56 30% | Field goals | 36-59 61% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 43 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 22 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harris G | 30 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
| Alex Cotton G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Cam Gillus G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Ose Okojie G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-4 |
| Jeremiah Johnson G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| BJ Powell G | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ed Holland III G | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Stefan Isailovic F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Julian Johnson F | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Shane Frazier G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| River Smith G | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cedric Taylor III
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 26 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10-12 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Dame Sarr F | 23 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Caleb Foster G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 17 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 8-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cayden Boozer G | 24 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Darren Harris G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Maliq Brown F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Sheffield G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ifeanyi Ufochukwu C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Scott G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -43.5
ModelDUKE -38.6
Model edgeHOW +4.9
W HOW covered
Total
Market154.5
Model148.8
Model edgeUnder 5.7
W Under
Projected score
HOW 55.1 · DUKE 93.7
HOW 56 · DUKE 93
Win probability
DUKE 100%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -23.2
DUKE -34.0
Total
69.7
70 points
Projected score
HOW 23.3 · DUKE 46.4
HOW 18 · DUKE 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -41.5
2 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -43.5
2 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open151.5
▲ 3
Close154.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -41.5 · closed DUKE -43.5 · moved 2 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -38.5
model DUKE -38.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% | |
| 6-0 100% | 6-0 100% | 1-5 17% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Howard
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −9.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MIZ
L 67-88
−0.5
9
vs
GRAM
L 70-73
−7.5
13
vs
ALCN
W 72-64
+1.5
19
@
STET
L 60-64
−5.5
22
vs
NIA
W 80-70
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MIZ
L 67-88
−3.5
9
vs
GRAM
L 70-73
−9.5
13
vs
ALCN
W 72-64
−18.5
19
@
STET
L 60-64
−25.5
22
vs
NIA
W 80-70
+11.5
over 1under 4avg −9.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
TEX
W 75-60
+4.5
8
vs
WCU
W 95-54
+4.5
11
@
ARMY
W 114-59
+21.5
14
vs
INST
W 100-62
+0.5
18
vs
KU
W 78-66
+1.5
21
vs
NIA
W 100-42
+18.5
covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
TEX
W 75-60
−18.5
8
vs
WCU
W 95-54
−3.5
11
@
ARMY
W 114-59
+20.5
14
vs
INST
W 100-62
−1.5
18
vs
KU
W 78-66
−5.5
21
vs
NIA
W 100-42
−4.5
over 1under 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Howard
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara80–70
- L@ Stetson60–64
- Wvs Alcorn St72–64
- Lvs Grambling70–73
- Lvs Missouri67–88
1 day since their last game.
Duke
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara100–42
- Wvs Kansas78–66
- Wvs Indiana St100–62
- W@ Army114–59
- Wvs W Carolina95–54
2 days since their last game.