Cintas Center · at Xavier
Closing line
XAV -10.5✓ XAV covered by 19.5
XAV -10.5✓ XAV covered by 19.5Closing total150.5Over by 17.5
 ODU | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 0-4 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 0-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ODU 69–81 XAV · ✓ XAV (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ODU | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| XAV | 51 | 48 | 99 |
1st half: ODU 29, XAV 51 (XAV by 22). The model had XAV by 7.3 and a total of 70.2 (actual 80).
Team stats
| ODU | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-62 42% | Field goals | 33-72 46% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 16-36 44% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 48 19 off |
| 18 | Assists | 29 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| ODU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Davis Jr. G | 31 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-14 | 2-10 |
| LJ Thomas G | 27 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| KC Shaw G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Battle G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger F | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zacch Wiggins G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Drew McKenna F | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-3 |
| Scottie Hubbard G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Raymond F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jared Turner F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Stephaun Walker, CJ Parker, Ben Nacey, Cooper Jones, Rieco Hellams, Elijah Flowers
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Carroll F | 30 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 28 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-8 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 28 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 27 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| All Wright G | 26 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 8-11 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 13 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Mier Panoam G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Henry Thole F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Sabourin F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Wolf G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Naser, Gabriel Pozzato, Kason Westphal
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketXAV -10.5
ModelXAV -12.4
Model edgeXAV +1.9
W XAV covered
Total
Market150.5
Model149.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
ODU 68.6 · XAV 81.1
ODU 69 · XAV 99
Win probability
XAV 86%
1st half
Spread
XAV -7.3
XAV -22.0
Total
70.2
80 points
Projected score
ODU 31.4 · XAV 38.7
ODU 29 · XAV 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenXAV -9.5
1 → XAV
CloseXAV -10.5
1 pt toward XAV
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ODU +475 · XAV -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened XAV -9.5 · closed XAV -10.5 · moved 1 toward XAVmodel XAV -12.5
model XAV -12.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ODUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
| XAVlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 0-4 0% | 0-4 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Old Dominion
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
M-OH
M-OHL 72-87
+1.5
11
vs
NORF
NORFW 60-57
−5.5
15
@
GW
GWL 73-96
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 72-87
+5.5
11
vsNORF
NORFW 60-57
−32.5
15
@GW
GWL 73-96
+13.5
over 2under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −13.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-4
0% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vs
LEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vs
SCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@
IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
over 0under 4avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Old Dominion
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ G Washington73–96
- Wvs Norfolk St60–57
- L@ Miami OH72–87
3 days since their last game.
Xavier
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa62–81
- Lvs Santa Clara68–87
- Wvs Le Moyne74–69
- Wvs Marist66–62
4 days since their last game.