Princeton Tigers at Iona Gaels: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ETHynes Athletics Center · at Iona

#135PRINPrinceton69final

Final

#233IONAIona89▲ winner

Closing lineIONA -2.5✓ IONA covered by 17.5

Closing total154.5Over by 3.5

Season records: Princeton and Iona
PRIN	This season	IONA
1-2	Record	3-0
2-1	ATS	2-1
1-2	O/U	2-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PRIN 76–78 IONA · ✓ IONA (57%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
PRIN	27	42	69
IONA	48	41	89

1st half: PRIN 27, IONA 48 (IONA by 21). The model had IONA by 1.1 and a total of 71.8 (actual 75).

Team stats

PRIN		IONA
25-67 37%	Field goals	29-58 50%
4-24 17%	3-pointers	10-29 34%
15-23 65%	Free throws	21-27 78%
37 13 off	Rebounds	39 6 off
14	Assists	17
7	Steals	12
3	Blocks	5
13	Turnovers	12
17	Fouls	19
38	Points in paint	34
10	Fast-break points	14

Players

PRIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dalen Davis G	31	15	3	5	5-16	1-6
Malik Abdullahi F	30	10	6	0	4-8	0-2
Jack Stanton G	22	3	1	1	1-9	1-6
Jackson Hicke G	21	11	4	5	5-7	1-2
CJ Happy F	14	2	1	1	1-5	0-2
Bench
Sebastian Whitfield G	22	15	4	0	5-10	1-3
Jacob Huggins F	22	5	5	0	2-5	0-0
Landon Clark G	18	2	5	1	1-3	0-1
Jacob Hammond F	8	5	1	1	1-2	0-0
Peyton Seals G	4	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Cash McSweeney F	4	1	0	0	0-1	0-1
Jake Sussberg G	4	0	1	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Ryan Mandes, Cooper Mueller, Zio Kim, Will Kutzler

IONA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
CJ Anthony G	27	10	4	9	2-5	0-2
Denver Anglin G	25	13	1	3	4-8	3-6
Lamin Sabally F	23	10	7	1	4-7	0-0
Kosy Akametu G	22	10	7	1	4-10	0-5
Keshawn Williams G	21	9	2	1	3-5	1-2
Bench
Chase Cormier G	17	11	3	2	3-6	2-4
Toby Harris F	16	13	4	0	4-7	3-5
Alliou Fall F	15	2	1	0	1-2	0-0
Khalil Badru G	12	6	3	0	3-3	0-0
Matt Reed F	11	3	3	0	1-3	1-3
Luke Jungers F	9	2	1	0	0-2	0-2
Connor Horan F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Oscar Hourruitiner Jr. G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Marko Pandiloski, Ore Odutayo, Deondrea Lindsey

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	IONA -2.5	IONA -2.1	PRIN +0.4	L IONA covered
Total	154.5	153.3	Under 1.2	L Over
Projected score	—	PRIN 75.6 · IONA 77.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	IONA -1.1	IONA -21.0
1H total	71.8	75
1H projected score	PRIN 35.4 · IONA 36.5	PRIN 27 · IONA 48

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PRIN LWW	2-1	67%	1-1	1-1
IONA WWL	2-1	67%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: PRIN away, as underdog; IONA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
PRIN OUU	1-2	33%	1-2
IONA OOU	2-1	67%	3-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PRINlast 3	1-2 33%	2-1 67%	1-2 33%
IONAlast 3	3-0 100%	2-1 67%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

PRIN 1–1 IONASeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · PRIN 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 4, 2024-25	IONA 80 @ PRIN 81	PRIN -12.5	IONA W
Dec 13, 2022-23	PRIN 64 vs IONA 70	IONA -7.5	PRIN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Princeton

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-167%

L W W

2 straight covers2 of 3 covered

Over / Under

1-233%

O U U

2 straight unders1 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@AKR	L 69-104	+13.5	L −21.5	156.5	O 173
Nov 11	vsBUCK	W 73-63	-4.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 15	@KU	L 57-76	+22.5	W +3.5	144.5	U 133

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

AKR

L 69-104

−21.5

BUCK

W 73-63

+5.5

L 57-76

+3.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

AKR

L 69-104

+16.5

BUCK

W 73-63

−10.5

L 57-76

−11.5

over 1under 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Iona

3 games played

Straight up

3-0

100% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg +6.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +12.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-0100%

W W W

3 straight wins3 of 3 won

Against the spread

2-167%

W W L

2 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

O O U

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsHOF	W 81-73	+1.5	W +9.5	144.5	O 154
Nov 11	@KC	W 105-91	-4.5	W +9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 14	vsFOR	W 76-71	-5.5	L −0.5	157.5	U 147

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+9.5

FOR

W 76-71

−0.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+39.5

FOR

W 76-71

−10.5

over 2under 1avg +12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Princeton Tigers at Iona Gaels

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Princeton

Iona

Princeton

Iona